running the numbers, page-2

  1. 1,187 Posts.
    Hi Rogar,
    one or two errors there buddy. I ain't the brightest bauble on this thread but I'll try and get ya kick started.

    3 million tonnes pa x 200 = $600,000,000 not $60,000,000.
    Out by a factor of 10 there.

    The current price of rock phosphate is not $200. It is over $400.

    Therefore, if rock phosphate were the same at time of production, revenue would be $1.2m.

    Capex is projected by company to be $50,000,000.

    Opex is projected by company to be around $100 per tonne.

    Then you need to factor in company tax at 30% and any royalties to native title holders.

    It is conceivable that they would earn around $6 per share at current prices, if there is not too much share dilution, and if they are not taken over of course.

    Add a p/e, and there you have it, maybe. We've been over and over this stuff if you check previous posts. Good luck.
 
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