A smaller, poorer, country that is surrounded almost entirely surrounded by a hostile major power that seeks it's total destruction.
A country that is not able to prevent saboteurs from said major power from conducting an ongoing clandestine war.
A country whose access to the sea is totally at the whim of said major power.
How long do you think the Ukrainian people are going to put up with that, until they reach breaking point and the country caves in on itself, and Vlad sweeps in to scoop up the remains? A Generation? Less?
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