The Rasputista mud should have hardened by mid April, and a key looming psychological date is the May 9 'Victory Day' parades and Russian holiday.
So given the above, we should expect Ukrainian offensive operations to commence from mid to late April onwards. I think the Ukrainian side will want to unleash a successful offensive prior to May 9 to really rain on the Russian's parade and make them think hard on the folly of continuing this war.
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