The Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based think...

The Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based think tank, reckons Ukraine will need to launch a series of counteroffensives, not just one, to get the upper hand.

The operations would have “the twin aims of persuading Putin to accept a negotiated compromise or of creating military realities sufficiently favourable to Ukraine that Kyiv and its Western allies can then effectively freeze the conflict on their own regardless of Putin’s decisions”, the institute said in an assessment published this week.

Nixey has no doubt each side will keep “tearing chunks out of each other” over the coming months in the hope of gaining an advantage at the negotiating table.

A make-or-break period may lie ahead: if Kyiv fails to make progress on the battlefield with its Western-supplied weapons, allies may become reluctant to send it more of the expensive hardware.

The stakes are high. Defeat for Ukraine would “have global ramifications, and there will be no such thing as European security as we [currently] understand it”, Nixey said

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/4/1/russia-ukraine-war-will-there-be-a-spring-counteroffensive