Don't know who you're responding to with your challenge as all the previous 120 posts to yours are from people I have on "ignore". But I'll take a stab. On 18th April 2024 Russia will have recently started a big offensive and broken the stalemate in terms of land taken by Russia. However over the previous year [the next 12 months from now] much more of Ukraine will have been destroyed and Ukraine's active troop numbers have been irreparably reduced.
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