I am a third party observer, only interested in the mechanics of propaganda and hypocrisy.
As far as I'm aware, the military and financial world operates exactly on the same calculation metrics. You look at the management of the present from its past and make calc on odds but not how direct math formula is used since the data are somewhat unquantifiable.
No one besides those living under the Bakhmut ruble thinks the odds are in AFU favor. I leave predictions and hope for you to digest and simmer.
Let Biden's Kabul chicken run be a model of an off ramp when it isn't in US interests. Two things that can tear them away from Kiev, Taiwan and a banking crisis if the latter is not cauterised. FRC is either the ongoing symptom or the final block of the weak link in the regional banks.
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