it looks like a close call, maybe the money will run out first?

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szaba_the_hut

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06/12/23

08:34

Post #: 71293007
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Originally posted by szaba_the_hut: ↑

You make some points worthy of comment.

I agree regime change of Putin is one of the primary US goals in the conflict and if their global hegemony project is to succeed, Russia must be weak and dominated (as per 1990s). Even though the Ukraine proxy forces are running low on equipment and trained manpower the US are sending them just enough, pushing the Ukraine forces into almost suicidal advances in the hope that they do enough damage to the russians and kill enough RF forces to de-stabilise Putin at home.

Inflation is happening globally.
Economic growth is slowing and IMO we are likely to see a global recession within 12 months.

Russia makes its own weapons. Ukraine is dependent on both the domestic politics of its benefactors and the profitability of the investments of US congress members in the US military industrial complex, if the US people grow tired of the cost of the conflict and the neglect of the economy at home there may be political pressure to ease up with the democracy at any price to the last Ukrainian.

If Russia has success on the battlefield demonstrating that US export armour and planes are just as vulnerable as theirs in a 21st century conflict with a well armed adversary we may see US arms makers exports tank (pardon the pun). If politicians see no point in continuing to escalate - no more investment profits and just increasing domestic political risk at home its game over for Ukraine as they are no longer in the US national interest to support.

Ukraine is a proxy, their job is to fight Russia until the US stops funding and equipping them, or they run out of troops, which ever comes first.

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it looks like a close call, maybe the money will run out first?
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