Russia Ukraine war, page-213082

The issue is that at the war to date casualty rate copped
by both sides and if this war lasts another 2 years, which
side is likely to be damaged the most?

IMO the Ukraine because:
(a) Ukraine has quarter the army aged soldiers to draw from
(b) The War is mostly being fought on Ukrainian territory with massive infrastructure losses
(c) The Ukrainian economy has been wrecked already and now is almost entirely dependant on foreign aid

So what are the future events that might change this war from "more of the same"
-that the F16s are successful in decimating Russian lines
-that the Ukraine acquires more sophisticated missiles to attack Russian war supply lines
-that there is a change of policy in Russia

Future events that may negatively impact the Ukraine
-that Trump is elected
-that the US economy is threatened by inflation/recession
-that the Euro NATO members go further into recession (UK & Germany in recession now, IMO)
-that the Farmers protests in Europe will morph into general protests
-that China will increase its war aid to Russia.

So, IMO if one weighs up the potential risks/rewards by both sides, the sane & sensible
thing to do is :
-ceasefire
-let the negotiations begin

IMO these negations should also encompass NATO's ambitions to recruit Georgia,
Moldova & Azerbaijan & Armenia .

Question:
If Russia agreed to vacate SE Ukraine (not Crimea) , the 2 Georgian Oblasts &
Transinistra in lieu of an enforceable NATO guarantee that NATO would not
recruit/accept any more members or block Russian land access to Kaliningrad would that be a deal?