Just came for a quick look - some excellent posts. I would add...

Just came for a quick look - some excellent posts. I would add one more to your list. "Eastern Ukr" is lost - forever! And the East is the most productive part of Ukr - the west is essentially agricultural. Also, unless there is a peaceful outcome soon, Zels is likely to lose more land even though I doubt the Russkies want too much more. All IMOO.