Just came for a quick look - some excellent posts. I would add one more to your list. "Eastern Ukr" is lost - forever! And the East is the most productive part of Ukr - the west is essentially agricultural. Also, unless there is a peaceful outcome soon, Zels is likely to lose more land even though I doubt the Russkies want too much more. All IMOO.
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Just came for a quick look - some excellent posts. I would add...
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