Russia Ukraine war, page-242267

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    Russia lost the second it crossed the border... and will continue to lose for the next decade under thug Putin.

    Too many facts for the pro-Putinists,



    Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the country has faced significant losses and challenges across multiple fronts—military, economic, political, and social. Here’s a breakdown of what Russia has lost or been negatively affected by since the war began:

    1. Military Losses

    • Personnel: Russia has lost tens of thousands of soldiers in Ukraine, though exact numbers are contested. Some estimates suggest more than 100,000 Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded since the conflict began, which has had a significant impact on military morale and recruitment.
    • Equipment: Russia has lost large amounts of military hardware, including tanks, armored vehicles, aircraft, and drones. The conflict has revealed vulnerabilities in Russia’s military technology and logistics.
    • Reputation: The war has damaged the global perception of Russia’s military prowess. Before the invasion, Russia was considered a near-peer competitor to NATO, but its struggles in Ukraine have exposed significant weaknesses in planning, supply chains, and command structures.

    2. Economic Losses

    • Sanctions: Western nations and their allies imposed severe economic sanctions on Russia. These include bans on Russian oil, gas exports, and financial transactions with major Russian banks. The sanctions have isolated Russia from global markets, cut off access to crucial technologies, and frozen Russia’s foreign reserves.
    • Energy Exports: Energy (especially oil and gas) is a crucial part of the Russian economy. The war has significantly reduced Russia's ability to sell energy to its traditional customers, particularly in Europe. While Russia has redirected some sales to Asia, it does so at discounted rates, cutting deeply into its revenue.
    • Foreign Investment: Major multinational companies and investors have pulled out of Russia, reducing foreign direct investment and access to new technology. Companies like McDonald’s, BP, and IKEA have exited the Russian market entirely.
    • Rubles & Inflation: The ruble initially plummeted in value after sanctions were imposed, leading to inflation and a spike in prices for everyday goods in Russia. The economic sanctions have hit sectors like technology, aviation, and manufacturing, which rely on imported goods and components.

    3. Political and Diplomatic Isolation

    • Global Reputation: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has damaged its reputation on the global stage, particularly in the West. Russia is seen as a pariah state by many Western governments, which has led to its exclusion from international forums and diplomatic circles.
    • Expulsion from International Organizations: Russia was suspended or expelled from various international organizations, including the Council of Europe and some parts of the UN system. It has become increasingly isolated in terms of international diplomacy.
    • Deteriorating Relations with Europe: Before the invasion, Russia had significant diplomatic and economic ties with Europe. Since then, Europe has moved away from its reliance on Russian energy, especially natural gas, and has imposed sanctions, which have fractured long-standing relations.

    4. Loss of Influence Over Ukraine

    • Geopolitical Influence: Before 2014 and even more before the 2022 invasion, Russia wielded considerable influence over Ukraine’s political landscape. With the invasion, Ukraine has grown closer to the West, receiving significant military and economic support from NATO and the EU. The war has made Ukraine’s Western integration more likely, especially in terms of its desire to join NATO and the EU, undermining Russia’s strategic goals.
    • Loss of Crimea or Eastern Control: Should Ukraine retake Crimea or the territories in the east (Donbas), Russia would lose hard-won gains from its 2014 annexation. Ukrainian counteroffensives, combined with Western support, threaten to reverse these territorial claims.

    5. Internal Stability and Domestic Issues

    • Brain Drain: Since the start of the war, hundreds of thousands of educated Russians have fled the country due to fear of repression, conscription, or a lack of future economic opportunities. Many tech workers, scientists, and business professionals have left, depleting Russia’s intellectual capital.
    • Political Dissent: Although Russia has cracked down on dissent, protests and opposition to the war have emerged. Figures like opposition leader Alexei Navalny and others have called the war disastrous for Russia. Increased censorship and repression have eroded civil liberties and free speech.
    • Public Discontent: The war’s duration and the growing number of casualties have led to discontent among some segments of the population. Though the Russian government has controlled much of the media narrative, conscription efforts and economic hardships have sparked unrest in some areas.
    • Cost of Mobilization: The partial mobilization announced by Putin in 2022 sparked protests and increased public fear. Tens of thousands of men were drafted, with many trying to leave the country to avoid service. This undermined public support for the war and created new challenges for the government.

    6. Potential Long-Term Consequences

    • Economic Decline: Over time, sustained sanctions and Russia’s isolation from Western markets may lead to economic stagnation. Although Russia has pivoted to China and other partners, it is still cut off from many high-tech industries, which may hamper future development.
    • Diminished Global Standing: Russia’s international standing has diminished, particularly in Europe and North America. The loss of prestige, combined with the growing perception of Russia as a destabilizing force, may affect its influence in the long term.
    • Weakened Alliances: Some of Russia’s traditional allies, such as former Soviet republics, have distanced themselves from Moscow, fearing the precedent that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sets for their own sovereignty.
    Last edited by trousergecko: 09/10/24
 
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