Russia Ukraine war, page-27530

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    IMO, while its admirable to barrack for the Battler, we have to be
    realistic about the Ukraine War and the likely ourcome.

    After 2 months fighting Russia has taken about 20% of the Ukrain's
    territory that it wants to control, with another 50-100 Km strip from Kharkiv to the Belarus border
    to the north needed and a 50Km strip from the Crimea to the Romanian border (including Odessa)
    left to accomplish the "Mission". IMO they will knock this over in another 2 months.

    This will effectively render the Ukraine landlocked requiring it to import/export
    -tranship by dodgey rail system via Romania, Hungary, Slovakia or Poland...not an economic
    proposition IMO.

    Moldova is already a Russian vasal State and to cement that relationship, Russia will likely
    gift the Ukrainian territory west of Odessa to Moldova thereby giving Moldova much needed
    Black Sea sea frontage.(If you were a Moldovan what would you want...eh?)

    Then what?

    IMO Russia will then likely give the current Ukrainian Government a Godfather
    offer it cant refuse: Accept the then status quo or well demolish Kiev & Lviv block by block
    like we've done with the Eastern Cities by remote aereal bombardment.

    IMO should the Kiev Government not accept that, then Russia will continue and
    make Alepos out of Kiev & Lviv relegating the Ukrainan armed forces to a splintered guerilla
    force in a war that could last years, IMO.

    IMO that is also what America wants because that would:
    -Weaken Russia
    -Weaken the EU
    -Weaken the Euro
    -Strengthen NATO (Make the Europeans pay the lions share of the NATO bill)
    -And make America look great again (Dont mention China for Mao's sake!)

    And the winner is:..................The United States of America........may God Bless America !





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