Russia Ukraine war, page-31284

I initially thought two or three months at the start and thought that Russia would occupy Donbass, Russia looks to have designs on all of the black sea coast which i didnt appreciate at the start.

The timeline was also altered by the flow of weapons and training into Ukraine by NATO since 2018 and the weather from Feb to April was not good for cross country bypassing the well prepared defences in Donbass.

I also think that Ukraine don't have the fuel staging ability anymore to conduct any meaningful counter offensive. They can exploit less well defended parts of the massive frontlines to achieve tactical victories but I think we will see them slowly lose people , territory and equipment until they have had enough or the russians call it done.