Current assessments are based on the situation on ground a few weeks back. Russian shelling superiority was ten-fold at the time with complete air and naval dominance Ukrainians unable to counter without effective air defense systems. UAF hardware capabilities have grown massively since not only in quantities more important in quality.
Same period Russian capabilities have dwindled considerably, thanks mostly to Himars. Ukrainians have opened up a second counter offensive towards Izium would not have been possible without sufficient hardware. Next few weeks will tell the story mean time Russia’s inevitable economic crisis looming large to have a greater effect on the outcome of the war than the battlefield itself.
