The maps and reported news from multiple sources suggest you are...

The maps and reported news from multiple sources suggest you are wrong. The eastern fronts are of course fluid ATM.

Kherson is looking like a Putinist defeat because Russian troops don't want to fight for Putin any more and are refusing orders. If their commanders join them a broader revolt against Putinism can begin.

Zelensky needs to suss the situation out carefully. If there is a true revolt, Ukraine should allow these troops safe passage in an organised manner, back into Russia with their heavy weapons.