Russia Ukraine war, page-64347

well the sharing of central asia between Turkey and China has already started as Kazakhstan particularly takes the opportunity to re-position to escape russian control and has been discussed here already .
But unless russia goes one step too far and actually uses strategic weapons their actual borders won't be violated by anyone .(while they stll have a large nuclear inventory)

There several (possibilities) that may or may not play out and perhaps sooner or more likely later .
One is the possibility some republics ,(or group of republics), in the russian federation may choose the opportunity to try and break free.
Another is the possibility of a coup to remove putin .
A third possibility is pressure placed by China for russia not to use nukes .

If any of these things hapened, and they are hard to predict , it would effect the result of the conflict and what follows markedly .