summer and the Ukrainian shortages suggest a russian offensive soon
shells supply set to boost Ukrainian defense so that window is small for russia
the impact of the F-16's making gliding bomb delivery more dangerous for russia
ATTACM's supply by US suggest Kerch Bridge should be nervous as well as russ oil refineries , wepons manufacturers in russia and oil and ammo depots
Ukraine must start preparing for replacing generating capacity or suffer next winter - smaller units locally that don't provide good targets for russ missiles
