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s & p downgrades us debt , page-5

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    Shane Oliver is AMP Head Economist and his view quoted prior to the downgrade:

    "A ratings downgrade would probably have less impact on US
    borrowing costs than feared. The experience of other countries
    downgraded from AAA to AA suggests just a 0.2% rise in long-term
    bond yields; forced selling of US bonds is likely to be limited as
    most investors can still hold AA-rated debt as it?s still investment
    grade; the uncertainty involved in the economic outlook would
    likely see continued safe-haven buying of bonds; and if US bond
    yields do back up too much it?s likely the US Federal Reserve (Fed)
    will start buying them again (via a third round of quantitative
    easing, i.e. QE3). Certainly, talk of a downgrade is not presently
    worrying bond investors as US 10-year bond yields have fallen
    to just 2.6% from 3.7% in February.
    While a ratings downgrade may not be a disaster for the US,
    the debt ceiling debate and talk of a downgrade has focused
    attention on America?s public debt problems and brought
    forward momentum for fi scal austerity at a time when the US
    economy is fragile. This in turn has adversely affected business
    and consumer confidence".

    Link: http://www.ampcapital.com.au/K2DOCS/site_ampci/89A2F6B6-7B2D-4EB3-9667-A40EC256B105/2011-Aug-05-Olivers-Insights-Slumping-global-share-markets-and-debt-debacles.pdf?DIRECT
 
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