XJO 1.25% 7,777.7 s&p/asx 200

Sat/Sun 7/8 Nov., page-6

  1. 9,435 Posts.
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    Sat. a.m. 7/11/20. Election Rally in U.S. begins to stall.

    In Australia Yesterday.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2628/2628450-f4554d6dc1d00102d2b8880c1b369645.jpg


    XJO was up yesterday +0.82%. It has now finished opposite the congestion zone which formed in mid-October.


    RSI(2) is above 95 - that's into the danger zone.


    I'm looking for a consolidation or pull-back. Plenty of near-by support exists, so any pull-back is likely to be bought.

    Overnight:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2628/2628455-99e35ef2ee4d9bfff7d8ff6ee93803a3.jpg

    Dow Jones -0.24%. SP500 -0.03%. Nasdaq +0.04%. Small Caps -1.04%. Banks -2.05%.


    This looks like a case of "buy the rumour, sell the fact".

    SP500:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2628/2628460-efea099c00a53acd1da1527007ee2523.jpg

    On cue, SP500 has stalled at oblique, down-sloping resistance. RSI(2) yesterday was above 95 - that's into the danger zone.


    Plenty of support lies below. Any pull-back is likely to be bought.


    At this stage the short-term up-trend remains intact.


    COMMODITIES
    :

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2628/2628466-ec3dd4d8bc4fed7ef90d5bf518536072.jpg

    Commodities Index -0.38%. Base Metals +1.13%. Energy -2.05%. Gold +0.14%.

    Base Metals was a strong result, but the gap up followed by an "evening star" candle might suggest exhuastion. So the strong result in Base Metals might not translate into a strong day for our miners on Monday.


    AAII Sentiment:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2628/2628471-46856ec6f83f5530fafeb4efc8746ed4.jpg

    American Association of Independent Investors Survey shows they are the most bullish since late February. That could be a contrarian sign that the current rally is under threat.


    (Don't use contrarian indicators by themselves to guide investment decisions.)

    I wonder how DCT is feeling today?

 
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