"I have no idea whatsoever when this one will "pay off". Unfortunately I'm not in the "pay off" guessing business.
That's the domain of the really clever cookies."
SO if you're not confident of a "pay off" why bother?
Sorry if I hit a raw nerve but the rest of your post leaves a lot to be desired and reeks of sour grapes.
Anyway enjoy your intrinsic value game but I'll stick to making money as that's my only interest in any market.
As far as I can see TPI has been a real fizzer which imploded only to be saved in return for selling it's soul.
Great short though and one of the best payoffs from the GFC.
Texbook stuff.
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scenario analysis highlights return potential, page-24
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