second wave down since gfc about to start, page-7

  1. 7,117 Posts.
    Caution is good and is IMO better than optimism especially if that optimism is misplaced or unfounded

    But I would say that fear is never good especially when that fear is misplaced or unfounded



    History is a great teacher and while never showing us the future it does show a patter to human behaviour. Let us look at past "crashes" since this is what you are talking about


    Tulip Mania 1590's
    South Sea Bubble 1710-1720
    The Great Depression 1929-1930
    The Great Crash October 19th 1987
    Asian Crash late 1990's-2000
    Dot Com Crash 2000-2002
    GFC Credit Crunch 2007-2009

    The undeniable fact is that we will definately have another crash

    Just like a forest fire is needed to purge and replenish the forrest so too in a way a market crash is required to purge the investment markets


    IMO we wont see a crash because firstly its too soon and secondly the US Fed is providing a backstop or support level to the markets

    So my conclusion is be cautious perhaps extra cautious as all this easy money printing will end in tears



 
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