Champ,
I have a subscripton to the Diggers and Drillers and the "money morning" newsletter from Port Phillip Publishing)
Last week in their "money morning" newsletter, they clearly stated both ERA and PDN are well undervalued and potential opportunities. For me, I'd be cautious of ERA (but have not done much homework), as for PDN, and your comments that EXT may be going backwards I am not so sure.
Copy of the text from the (free) newsletter of 21 Sept attached below - sorry for lack of images.
- - - -
In Today's Money Morning: Uranium stocks hammered... Uranium price completes three-week rally... Handy barometer for small-cap uranium plays... A Chinese elephant in the room... The Curse of Euromoney...
Contrarian Investors: Add This Sector to Your Buy List
There can't be many investors that have done it tougher than uranium stock investors this year.
The two 'Blue Chip', Aussie uranium stocks, Paladin (ASX:PDN) and Energy Resources of Australia (ASX:ERA), are both down by 70% since the start of the year.
Paladin (red) and ERA (blue) both slammed by 70%
A big reason for the sector-wide fall has been a sliding uranium spot-price in the wake of Fukushima. Uranium buyers stood on the sidelines until the demand picture became clearer. It's been a rough ride, but it is always darkest before dawn.
For the first time this year, the uranium price has climbed - for three weeks running.
Uranium spot price at $53.50 - up 10% in three weeks
Source: Cameco/UXc data - D & D chart
Three weeks ago the spot-price was $48.85/lb. This crept quietly up to $50.50 the next week. By last week it was $52.50, and is up again this week at $53.50.
So it's now up 10% in three weeks -this has happened without much press, but is huge news.
Right or wrong, the spot-price is a big driver of the uranium sector's sentiment. So we may have finally found the floor for the uranium sector. And we'd be happy for it to stay above $50 for a while.
But if uranium continues to creep up, then we may see the uranium sector finally turn a corner and start the next leg up.
We like to use Extract Resources (ASX:EXT) as a good barometer for what to expect from Aussie uranium juniors. In the last six weeks it has gained 15%. There have been rumours of a takeover, but nothing has been confirmed.
But we have seen the start of some corporate activity, which is another good sign for the sector. For instance...
Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) is the biggest power utility in South Korea, and operates dozens of nuclear plants. It also runs coal-fired plants so is interested in thermal coal as well as uranium.
A few months ago at the Fremantle Uranium Conference, Kepco announced it was looking for acquisitions so it's good to see this happening. It has just done a deal with Strathmore Minerals (TSE:STM) to fund exploration of one of its uranium assets.
Another deal involves global uranium leader, Cameco. It's bidding for Canada-based Hathor Exploration (TSE:HAT).
These merger and acquisition deals should be a clear sign that the sector is alive and well.
But that's not all. China is the elephant in the room in this department.
Recently, China National Nuclear Corporation, Guandong Nuclear Power Company, State Nuclear Power Technology Corporation and China International Capital Corporation all said there will be no major slowdown in their nuclear plans.
But the bigger question mark over uranium was figuring out Japan's next move.
Less than 12 of its 54 reactors are currently operating. This has caused demand to fall and lots of uncertainty.
But Japan's new Prime Minister, Mr Yoshihiko Noda, has just announced plans to switch the reactors back on.
"We must bring them back up as best as we can, because if we have a power shortage, it will drag down Japan's overall economy."
We like the guy already! And it completes the list of the big uranium users that are publicly backing uranium.
The charts for most uranium stocks may be ugly, but the fundamentals of the uranium market are strong. This is exactly the time the contrarian investor gets the shopping trolley out!
There's a huge opportunity for investors here with enough patience to stick around a year or two.
Dr. Alex Cowie
Editor, Diggers & Drillers
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Last
1.0¢ |
Change
-0.001(9.09%) |
Mkt cap ! $20.72M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | 1.0¢ | $23.94K | 2.367M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 150000 | 0.9¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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1.1¢ | 5313178 | 9 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 150000 | 0.009 |
3 | 2290000 | 0.008 |
6 | 2508700 | 0.007 |
3 | 1350000 | 0.006 |
2 | 1280000 | 0.005 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.011 | 5313178 | 9 |
0.012 | 1482124 | 5 |
0.013 | 314500 | 2 |
0.014 | 1000000 | 1 |
0.015 | 200000 | 1 |
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