I agree with Rocket's observation that OMH share is now being shorted and the short seller is holding down the price at $0.82-0.84. The short selling in the past (at different levels $0.34, $0.41, $0.57, $0.68) have all been crushed.
The reason that the short is unable to hold much longer is that the short seller is going against the tide in the case of OMH:
1) FeSi prices has surged from a recent low of US$1,000 to now US$1,500++. This is equivalent of huge GPM of 50%, generating strong cashflow for OMH in 2021/2022. This FeSi price was achieved in 2018 when the company reported profit of A$160m, and OMH share price hit a high of $1.70. Current price of $0.80 is supported by the recovery of FeSi prices. Even now, OMH is still grossly underpriced with forward FYE 2021/22 PE of only 3-5x and its current price of A$0.80, is still 50% below its high of A$1.70 in 2018.
2) The share price of Ferroglobe has more than doubled since 29 Jan, and jumped 55% on 2 Feb, and a further 20% on 3 Feb. OMH has stronger profitability track record than Ferroglobe and definitely a better bet from all aspects.
3) When compared to its industry peers, OMH should be trading closer to $2-3. If you look at Lynas, their production level at 75% (quite similar to OMH), net loss of A$19m for FYE Jun2020, yet their share price is all time high at $4.66 (more than double its all time high before Covid), raised A$400m share placement, 8x bigger than OMH. It is especially so when you compare with Press Metal (listed on KLSE) at PE 72x. AT PE 20x FYE 2021/22, OMH should be trading closer to $2-$3.
4) Commodity sector to go into multi-year super cycle (Goldman Sach) will provide support the backdrop for strong profit in 2021/22
5) OMH Bursa listing should be the key catalyst event that will propel the stock price to a new high which could drive its PE valuation closer to that of Press Metal (PE 72x) Bursa listing will bring OMH into the spotlight and the path of liquidity flow.
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- Share price blocked at $0.82-0.84. OMH share being shorted
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I agree with Rocket's observation that OMH share is now being...
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Last
28.5¢ |
Change
-0.005(1.72%) |
Mkt cap ! $218.3M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
29.0¢ | 31.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $71.78K | 244.3K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 50000 | 28.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
28.5¢ | 30240 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 50000 | 0.280 |
1 | 36363 | 0.275 |
2 | 151481 | 0.270 |
4 | 21626 | 0.265 |
7 | 183899 | 0.260 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.285 | 30240 | 1 |
0.305 | 28130 | 1 |
0.320 | 30573 | 1 |
0.330 | 11079 | 1 |
0.345 | 46 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 28/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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OMH (ASX) Chart |
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