I'll have a crack...
Total annual global addressable market for HIV and Covid - $45B
Assumptions (big):
- BIT225 is significantly more affordable than current treatments, therefore total addressable market is say $22B
- Biotron - BP partnership has 50% of global market say $11B
- Biotron negotiates 10% as their share - say $1B
- PE ratio of 10
- BIT valuation $10B or SP of $10.00
- Assume release of successful trial results with no partnership announced is 10% of ultimate valuation - so $1.00. Could say spike to $2 after announcement.
- On release of BP partnership but with stage 3 trial outstanding say $3 perhaps peaking at $5
Obviously valuation is highly sensitive to the assumptions... interested in others views and happy for all of the above to be challenged
GLTAH
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I'll have a crack... Total annual global addressable market for...
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