Time,
Thank you for your response.
In regards to your suggestion that SWL is coming off a low base, I'm more inclined to the view that the stock has already come off a low base, and that the market has already priced the cleaning house effect in. Remember when SWL traded at $0.68c? We have seen substantial upside since then.
McAdam's has not demonstrated his capacity to take this company forward. Furthermore, he is a new recruit, relatively unknown to the rest of his team, and has had a well thought of (yet unremarkable) corporate career.
You mentioned the upcoming election and the likelihood of the coalition taking power, and the chance that SWL will see some upside as a result of it's infrastructure plans.
This type of speculative reasoning is exactly why I believe the stock is fairly valued. Upside, by your logic, is hinged on a series of uncertain outcomes:
1. Coalition winning the election (likely but not a certainty)
2. Coalition designating spending towards QLD roads and infrastructure
3. That spending being directed towards areas where SWL has a presence
4. SWL tendering and winning those contracts
5. McAdam's being able to deliver projects on time and profitably. (He's yet to be tested)
You're essentially laying a multi bet, where as I am looking for compelling value. I believe sub $0.90, SWL offered compelling value, but at these levels any upside is pure speculation.
Good investing to all.
Time,Thank you for your response.In regards to your suggestion...
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?