BCI 4.00% 24.0¢ bci minerals limited

The bottom is not yet "in" for iron ore. Has come off 25% in the...

  1. 7,119 Posts.
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    The bottom is not yet "in" for iron ore. Has come off 25% in the past six weeks to be at 10 yr lows (in USD) so another 25% in the next six weeks is possible and the NJV perhaps goes into care & perhaps Iron Valley also.
    In that scenario she becomes a dormant company pretty much waiting out a price cycle and doing the odd bit of exploration for non-iron resources. Keep the cash burn down to $5-$10 million p/a and they can survive 7-10 yrs which is hopefully long enough to see a new price cycle in iron ore.
    So... In that scenario I can see the share price slipping well below 23c, below 20c, easy to see 10c-12c if this scenario eventuates.
    They aren't a takeover target just as AGO hasn't attracted a sniff even at 5c. Stokes can also easily block a predatory bid.
    Just keeping it real - Don't risk any more than you are prepared to lose here - BCI is becoming higher risk and more speculative by the day.
    Thinking only about the potential upside to this share price could be a big mistake.
    Last edited by SuperWealthy: 26/11/15
 
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