Share Price, page-10

i was just explaining previously that recent hype with too many people when io runs too fast 100 to 220, io all over news, that should ignited too much expectations and purchases way beyond normal. I should also believed this year a lot of funds and traders may get trapped with very high leverage due to that. Who didn't get amazed with cheap laggard price of bhp and saw io runs like hell crazy? Sure many were taking leverage too much. For those who survived now, congratulations but well next quarter may be not lol

However the other side, i saw unhealthy gfc seed in making where treasury got traded beyond their normal way. I give easier illustration, we know there are too many trillions of bonds treasury there paying too little amount of return. If we expect inflation and bhp and io runs so very hot, didnt we know those trillions (maybe over 100t) got hurt so badly? Those funds like we hold bhp, is even worst, they cant sell them for many reasons. If they have to survive their life, they should short themselves so badly. Now comes their second nightmare is their liquidity is so low due to central banks purchase over a decade. what should they and central bank do? Central banks had to save them of course. But that means trillion is now suddenly absorbed liquidity from the market super quick. It was hurting bhp and those compnies back. Would it be over? There are too many lies in the street, for sake of the trillions. If short is illegal, how about those (all pensioner funds) which is now supported by the central bank act to safe them alive? They are all literally shorter or die.

This is same problem in 2017 when so many experts told about new normal and i was stubbornly disbelieved on my own numbers. In 1-2 years, i got hurt when fed raised rate but i was then right that until now central banks have to run qe. It taught me not to being stubborn with my view in short term but kept my long term belief alive.
Those acts should now seed next gfc which i will carefully and monitor their number, of course not in next 3-5 years but those LEH bundled of debt may seed next gfc in 8 years.

So now the question is, do we want bhp goes 70$ now and have the world crashes into pieces? Or we enjoy the self healing and lies to run bhp to 150$ in 8 years? (illustration) I don't mind to choose the higher and let it runs slow now. If we expect bhp 70$ now, sure many will quit bhp now, but arent they the real trader? Imagine tomorrow bhp is 100$ and you are not tempted to sell, lies.