Sorry but if each trial is independent, then each trail has a 44% to 50% success rate. The probability of none success for each of them remains 50% to 66%. It is like tossing coins. You can have 1000 heads but the next toss having head is still 50%. I'd double check your math. Statically speaking, dependant or not the likelihood none of them is successful is NOT small
Sorry but if each trial is independent, then each trail has a...
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