This is my latest iteration of the cash flow, including the conversion of USD revenue to AUD, and calculating a target share price for each year based on that year's net cash earnings.
FY: 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 1 Total Revenue $USm 134.350 241.688 368.188 423.781 706.250 757.781 1,001.656 1,393.969 2,019.563 2,097.563 2,121.563 2 $A m 197.574 355.423 541.452 623.208 1,038.603 1,114.384 1,473.024 2,049.954 2,969.945 3,084.651 3,119.945 3 less Costs: $m 4 Corporate & Staff 7.00 8.40 10.08 12.10 14.52 17.42 20.90 25.08 30.10 36.12 43.34 5 R&D 20.00 28.13 44.64 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 6 Accumulated losses 70.88 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 Taxable Earnings: 99.69 318.89 486.73 561.11 974.09 1,046.97 1,402.12 1,974.87 2,889.85 2,998.53 3,026.60 8 less : income tax expense: 29.91 95.67 146.02 168.33 292.23 314.09 420.64 592.46 866.95 899.56 907.98 9 Net Profit after tax: 69.79 223.22 340.71 392.78 681.86 732.88 981.49 1,382.41 2,022.89 2,098.97 2,118.62 10 Net Cash Flow $m = 11 revenue - cash expenses 140.67 223.22 340.71 392.78 681.86 732.88 981.49 1,382.41 2,022.89 2,098.97 2,118.62 12 13 earnings per share: $1.08 $1.72 $2.62 $3.02 $5.25 $5.64 $7.55 $10.63 $15.56 $16.15 $16.30 14 PE multiple 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 15 target share price: $43 $69 $105 $121 $210 $226 $302 $425 $622 $646 $652 16 17 discount factor: 1.000 0.880 0.774 0.681 0.600 0.528 0.464 0.409 0.360 0.316 0.279 18 discounted cash flow 140.67 196.44 263.85 267.67 408.91 386.76 455.81 564.96 727.50 664.28 590.04 19 20 earnings per share: $1.08 $1.51 $2.03 $2.06 $3.15 $2.98 $3.51 $4.35 $5.60 $5.11 $4.54 21 PE multiple 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 22 target share price (disc'd): $43 $60 $81 $82 $126 $119 $140 $174 $224 $204 $182
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$14.05 |
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-0.510(3.50%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.795B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$14.38 | $14.42 | $13.94 | $6.419M | 454.6K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 500 | $13.99 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$14.07 | 6644 | 4 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 500 | 13.990 |
1 | 300 | 13.970 |
1 | 1432 | 13.950 |
2 | 1230 | 13.900 |
1 | 720 | 13.890 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
14.420 | 175 | 1 |
14.500 | 2985 | 2 |
14.800 | 2850 | 2 |
14.860 | 500 | 1 |
14.960 | 445 | 1 |
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