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$19.84 neuren pharmaceuticals limited

I’m thinking probably dropping back to $80m for q1 and then...

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18/04/24

22:45

Post #: 73416104
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Originally posted by Epichemist: ↑

Certainly there are some betting on Acadia struggling to get Daybue sales growth back on track. I imagine they should make Q1 guidance but that will mean a need for $100 million quarters the rest of the way to hit the annual and there will no doubt be much attention on the predicted Q2 sales. Currently the numbers sit where Neuren should earn one lot of $50 million for exceeding annual sales of $250 million but not the second for $500 million and I imagine this will stay that way based on Acadia's expectations. The overall value for Neuren shouldn't hinge on minor swings in revenue but the sentiment regarding longer term growth will be affected with these results and could have a significant impact on share price. In concert with this announcement will be the conclusion of the Pitt Hopkins trial and build up to those results about a month later I guess. The success of Phelan Mcdermid should build hopes so will be interesting how these two key things play out and where we're sitting when it's all settled and done. Everything else is basically noise

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I’m thinking probably dropping back to $80m for q1 and then growth at about $14m per quarter gets them to midrange guidance.

$80
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$108
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NEU Price at posting: $19.67 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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Last $19.84		Change -0.140(0.70%)		Mkt cap ! $2.548B

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$19.92	$20.04	$19.81	$726.0K	36.44K

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No.	Vol.	Price($)
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Price($)	Vol.	No.
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No.	Vol.	Price($)
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3	254	19.810
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Price($)	Vol.	No.
19.840	59	3
19.850	491	6
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19.880	221	3

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