Here are 4 questions.
1. What is the percentage chance of the CDC acquisition proceeding?
2. What date will it be announced?
3. What will the price adjust to as a result of the CDC announcement being positive?
4. What will the price adjust to as a result of the CDC announcement being negative?
My guess is:
1. 95%
2. 30th March
3. 54 cents
4. 16 cents
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