Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 10h Feb 2014 (No. 101) Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week). All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).
Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!
Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PPX - Paper Print Distributor,
6/02/2014
Some aggressive selling in the last 2 day has seen PPX fall to a new low of 3.9c a massive sell off from $5 in 2008 During that time operating revenues have fallen from 7 billion across 35 countries to around 3.5 Billion today across 22 countries From the market updates PPX are profitable in 19 of the 22 markets it operates in but is getting smashed in Germany , UK and Luxemburg The company is in the midst of a battle to repair its balance sheet offering its Hybrid holders a share swap for their debt instrument . At the same time PPX is due to report first half earnings around Feb 20 .At this time they will almost of closed their final offer on the hybrids I believe Feb 28 and these holders will have to make a decision on whether to hold off , or take shares in the business The opportunity as I see it is that all the bad news is in the stock price and any sniff of confirmation of a turnaround or a surprisingly reasonable take up of the offer will see PPX spike strongly Revenue of 3.5 billion is a very big business , and if the reconstruction of operations , cutting staff numbers , and changing the sales process is effective under new management then PPX is a bargain at this level I have been reluctant to add any new predictions on the last few weeks as markets softened but at this price I am keen to get on the leaders board again in a long ST PPX prediction of 3.9c towards 10c over the next few months Poster: Firsova (STT Accuracy: 27.3% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
CASH $1.2m + $50m, Exploration facility, MCAP $16mShares 261mRampart Energy is exploring two areas of the North Slope of Alaska for both conventional and unconventional oil. The Company signed an agreement in May of 2013 to earn into leases owned by Royale Energy Inc.(NASDAQ: ROYL).Rampart believes that there is a very large upside in the area, as illustrated by the Prospective Resource numbers published in August 2013 and notes that exploration in the region is heavily supported by the State of Alaska’s incentive system which provides for exploration costs to be reimbursed. The work program currently consists of 3D seismic acquisition in 2014 and the drilling of two wells during 2015.Playing with the big boys TODAYS ANNOUNMENT Executed binding documents with Melody Business Finance LLC to provide US$50m in Funding to Rampart At the conclusion of using such a Facility the Company will have no net debt. Torey Marshall commented “This is a watershed event for the Company and one that is almost unprecedented in the Junior energy space on the ASX. Essentially, the Facility provides for up to US$50m to be spent on exploration with no shareholder dilution, thus creating a massive leverage to Rampart shareholders who are exposed to this money, without the fear of dilution that would come from a raising of its size. Given your company’s market capitalisation of A$15m, its incredibly exciting for both shareholders and the Company alike to have this in place.” Looks like very good value. Poster: Stefan41 (STT Accuracy: 12.5% - Ranking No.21 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$15.2m)
DGX - Construction,
4/02/2014
Once a market darling DGX went south post GFC, and a poorly timed and executed run in the UAE, for anyone who has been watching this turn around story the transformation has been done without fuss and ceremony. For a long time Diploma was run as a family company despite being listed. A cap raising in August last year improved the liquidity of the company - it now has 430 million shares on issue. It is starting to run like a listed company, Diploma has stripped back the layers of it's operations to again focus on what is good at, construction. The cap raised improved the strength of the balance sheet, paid down debt and allowed the company to sell off GFC inventory. In a ravenous housing market in WA fuelled by a combination of cheap money, close to record low interest rates, and a rising population, the appetite for inner city living is growing, bubbling even. Perhaps the most crucial element of the DGX revival has been an influx of skilled workers filtering back down from the mine sites up North and inland as the WA mining industry moves from a largely construction phase into the production phase. An influx in workers will no doubt, in time, see the cost of labor reduce and the fight for tenders intensify, with operators offering more for less. Poster: P87 (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$16.9m)
TIS - Medical device/ Biotech.,
4/02/2014
Early birds should check out Tissue Therapies. Troubled by delay in CE Mark approval to sell its unique healing product (dyor) but has ten million cash, a substantial holder substantially increasing their holding, FDA approval to start a US trial (unfunded atm) and seems to want to form a base at thirty cents. I think it's headed for a tilt at forty two but not quite yet. There is strong support at twenty nine. Very quiet on the announcement front but if/when something positive happens it should do very well. The long term chart is the most interesting IMO. Can put in sudden stellar runs. Poster: J8 (STT Accuracy: 33.3% - Ranking No.16 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$89.2m)
AGS - Uranium gold Australia,
3/02/2014
market cap 55millioncash in bank 22,650,000own 20% of ors who recently made a nice gold discovery at Maldon Construction commenced at the Four Mile project during the quarter In situ recovery mining commencing April 2014 First uranium sales scheduled for July 2014 On 31 January 2014 (post-reporting) Alliance announced that Quasar, with ACE dissenting, approved the Four Mile (ML6402) Revised Start-Up Plan and Program and Budget on 29 January 2014. The Revised Start-Up Plan and Program and Budget includes production guidance relating to the current or forthcoming year based on as series of assumptions Poster: Vogliobene (STT Accuracy: 35.7% - Ranking No.14 ) Click Here for originating post
Market cap $45m, SP 3.8c, 1Bn shares, 500 optionsFY13 sales to date $20m from approx 500T of sales. CY 2014 planning a total of 1500T of sales, with plant now proven at 22T per day and margin targets of $5-$8 Kg to convert tungsten to Fe W. Historical margins converting W to FeW are circa $8-$10 Kg. Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway unit IMC International Metalworking agreed to invest $80M in a different tungsten project in South Korea a few years ago, this provides me with some confidence in this market given significant majority portion of global feedstock originates from China. CY15 target for HAZ 2000Tand the next quarterly should provide an accurate cost base. Other benefits include low labour cost ex Vietnam, solid upstream distribution channel with Wogen onboard for global sales. ST Risk in that capital may be diverted to downstream HAZ owned Tungsten mine supply, with usual capital draining risks, potentially offset by reduced feedstock prices. Longer term, could see 10 cents out of this if free cash flows are banked. Not sure 25% upside will come in 4 weeks, but I've taken the punt that MC will get up this year... Poster: 383hq (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$39.4m)
AUQ - Zinc/Copper in Middle East,
29/01/2014
MC $17mCash, somewhere between $6-8m at this point i think. Sorry to be unimaginative, but there's only a few weeks left till His Royal Highness intervenes and officiates the long awaited mother of all JVs, with anticipated revised equity commitment terms making the project more profitable for Alara, while retaining their full exposure to 50% of $2b anticipated revenue. News flow is supposedly lined up like ducks waiting to be rolled out as soon as this landmark agreement is signed. both the prince and the MD have 15c performance options riding on this outcome. expecting to see a gap up to those levels in anticipation of pending developments with off take partners and other funding sources Poster: Mowibble (STT Accuracy: 76.9% - Ranking No.1 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$20.1m)
RGU - Uranium in Australia,
28/01/2014
SP - $0.025 Market cap - $1.7 million Cash ~ $700,000No Debt*A very out-of-favour sector showing signs of a 2014 rebound.*High quality management for a nano cap. Includes former President of the Federal Liberal Party and former Chief Minister of the Northern Territory - Shane Stone. Also includes managing director of the Transcontinental Group of companies - Simon Trevisan.*Hand-picked scientifically targeted uranium exploration portfolio. Of particular interest is the Paroo Range Project in close proximity to Paladin's "Skal" and "Valhalla" deposits.*About 70 million shares on issue, with the Top 20 holding 80% of the stock. Katana Capital have become a recent substantial shareholder (#2) for what appears to be the long-term.*Possibility exists for a project acquisition with minimal dilution to deliver near term shareholder value. Poster: Verce (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$1.5m)
MBE - Mobile coms products and services,
28/01/2014
Mobile Embrace Limited: is a business-to-business and business-to-consumer provider of an integrated mobile and digital communications products and services. Australia, USA & Asia. Revenue from their Overseas expansion should have built up quickly during January 2014 and I would expect an update around mid February if that was the case. This should give the share price a good kick up. Guidance on the December quarterly and half year results could also be released shortly. Poster: RetiredYoung (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$93.7m)
CAF - Financial Services Company,
28/01/2014
Centre point alliance. SP-$0.36C Market cap-$34 mill Centrepoint Alliance Limited operates as a non institutionally-owned financial services company in Australia and internationally. It primarily funds insurance premiums for corporate and retail clients, as well as is involved in asset finance operations. The company also offers financial advice and investment product solutions; and funds management, investment platform. Backing CAF as a turnaround after past legacy issues with the highly regarded John de Zwalt leading the turnaround story. Have large offsets on books including taxable income of $39 mill before paying tax and $29 mill of franking credits. Upcoming HY will certainly indicate if the transformation of CAF is gathering pace. Poster: Ormond (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$33.7m)
BUR - Oil and Gas,
28/01/2014
Burleson is in the energy sector and is in discussions with third parties for the development of the Heintschel Field which has so far been beset by excess water problems. Consultants DeGoyler and MacNaughton found that the Heintschel field contains 2P reserves of 34 bcf gas and 1 mmb condensate (6.7 million barrels of oil equivalent mmboe), based on three wells and an area of ~900 acres. Burleson’s share is 2.5 mmboe net to its 38% working interest and 2 mmboe net to its ~30% net revenue interest. Burleson and the AKG (the operator) believe the total field (which covers 4460 acres) contains 100 to 160 bcf of gas plus condensate. BUR’s NRI share in these cases would be 5 to 10 mmboe. (This is a lot of money to a company with a $5m market cap) n addition to the Heintschel field development opportunity, in the September Quarterly they advised that the Joann 1 well was about to be restarted and when squeezed off it was flowing at 1040 mcf and 42 barrels of condensate. The recent production update confirmed 5 wells in operation but they omitted to confirm the production rates from Joann. This will have to be disclosed in the Quarterly report due out by the end of the week and it seems it could give Burleson a bit of a lift. The market is still valuing Burleson on four wells and not the five in operation and so there is a chance to expect a re-rating once the information comes out. So short term there are two chances for re-rating. 1. from the production rates from the restarted Joann well2. more significantly from the partner announcement for the development of the Heintschel field Director buying and T20 buying suggests that this stock has some upside and it represents both a STT opportunity and something which can be held in the bottom drawer for a rainy day. Poster: Markeewan (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$5.1m)
CGU - Gold in Peru,
24/01/2014
C: 1.5 millionshare price 0.025shares on issue: about 60 million only cash: between 500000 and 800000, 25% share in Mollehuaca gold processing plant in Peru. Plant ready for first production after refurbishment. High grade ore up to 454g/t slow and steady business model with as little as possible dilution for share holders. first production will be about 10000 ounces per year and increase to about 17000 ounces the year after.net return for the first year to cgu about 1 million profit exciting ground in Australia as well in the Lachlan ford belt hosting several high grade gold deposits. one of cgu's tenements is the old BHP Cowarra goldmine with grades between 10-16 g/t which closed down in the 80th due to low gold price. Directors getting paid in shares for 4 cent, nearly double of the share price atm. big sign of confidence on behalf of the directors. Announcement due any day now to start production in Peru. Brilliant geology team with good track history. Expecting at least a 100% return in short term Poster: Hedrox (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$1.4m)
ABU - Gold in the NT,
21/01/2014
Just finished trial mining 10g/t nuggetty gold at surface in central NT. Looks like grade is much better than expected, maybe total costs will come in at about $700 an ounce, cash costs about $500.Price mover will be continuing POG recovery and issue of Mining License. FUNDED TO MINING !All up they have about 3.5 million ounces of which 700k ounces is grading better than 10g/t FROM SURFACE - just a stunning story Poster: V8 (STT Accuracy: 34.5% - Ranking No.15 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$91.9m)
PRU - Gold in Turkey,
20/01/2014
Debts free, operated in turkey, current all in cost is about $400-500, current EV equals about 2 years of mining return. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$183.2m)
PAN - Nickel and gold,
20/01/2014
No yet spike yet, not sure about today though. current EV probably equals to 1 year of nickel mining at current US price. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$75m)
SBN - Biotech,
20/01/2014
Sun Biomedical Market Cap - $4M @ $1.6M in cash. Should have just done a deal, negotiations of which were due to finish 15/01/14. Poster: LastoftheMohicans (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$3.3m)
GRR - Iron in Tassie and WA,
20/01/2014
Tip courtesy of the GRR thread with an outstanding summary and trigger of quarterly with a market that will clearly wake up soon.......Cash at 30 Sep = $138.6m; Pellet Production = 446937t; Sales = 536503t; Price = $145.87 ; Revenue = $78.26; mInventory = 181778t; Cash at 31 Dec = $159.9m Dividend Payment = -$11.6m; Pellet production = 619414t; Sales = 594291t; Price = $161.42; Revenue = $95.93m; Inventory = 235452t; Change in Cash position = 159.9 + 11.6 - 138.6 = $32.9m; Total Expenses = 95.93 - 32.9 = $63mTotal cost per production unit = AUD $101.75got an extra 50kt in inventory build-up worth an extra $8.5m. The lack of interest is amazing, over $40m in profit for the quarter against a market cap of $272m which is $160m cash backed. Annualising this quarter's profit gets you $160m profit against an EV of $112m... unbelievable. Taking the opportunity, Divi payer around 10% at current price and speculated to increase Poster: BrookeCE (STT Accuracy: 14.3% - Ranking No.20 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$323.8m)
GTE - Copper,Gold & Nickel in Kazakhstan and Australia,
17/01/2014
No Of Shares on Issue : 131 million (46% held by top 20)Market Cap : 13.75 million GTE is basically a Copper, Gold & Nickel exploration company with multiple projects in Kazakhstan and Australia. Currently exploring Copper in Kazakhstan with 50:50 JV agreement with Kazak Government ( State owned enterprise ) and GTE. Maiden JORC will come out in first quarter of 2014. So far the copper exploration results are one of the best sets I have seen in a long time. They also have a JV agreement with WSA ( WSA earning 70%) to explore Nickel project in Australia. I have a conservative price target of 35 to 40 cents by end of first quarter of 2014. Poster: Vkumar (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
Anittel provides Cloud, Internet, Telecommunication and IT services for organisation across regional and metropolitan Australia. The company is expanding through organic growth and targeted acquisitions to offer scale, geographic reach and expertise for existing and prospective customers MC = $12.8mShares Outstanding = 2.6bn Current SP = 0.006 Debt = Approx. $10m Company is in the MSPmentor Top 501 - Number 21Launched in February 2013, the MSPmentor 501 is a global ranking of the world's top 501 managed services providers. ST Price catalysts : - Finalisation of transaction with BGL (by 31 Jan) - including announcement of detailed terms with regard to distribution agreement.- Increases in revenue/profit resulting from PWC strategic review (Quarterly due by end Jan) - Potential for further significant transaction announcements resulting from PWC review- Potential further large contract announcements Poster: Rexhunt (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$10.2m)
NGY - Coal bed methane in Indonesia,
13/01/2014
Indonesian CBM play with a distinguished board. Short term production cash-flow and expected farmin partner. First more in East Africa CBM .Capital raising complete with Board members stumping up cash... Poster: Lucky7Country (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$9m)
CZD - Health/Biotech,
13/01/2014
I hate goldies, always keep me awake in the even, but I think it is their turn now, and PRU should be the leader in producing without debts. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$31.3m)
CZD - Health/Biotech,
13/01/2014
30Mil MC 6Mil cash. The company product: heals late stage burn injury. one of its product TNP is await for FDA 510k approval due in Jan, and second product BTM is to submit app for FDA 510k this month as well. so a lot to look forward to in a short term, look for EV somewhere around $70Mil. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
RER - Mineral Exploration in Australia and the DRC,
6/02/2014
Coming off a wide base with recent close above the 10 mth moving average. looks set for continuation based on confirmed recent respect of the 50 DEMA are recent golden cross, 50 DEMA is just starting to point in the right direction. Indicators just starting to show the all important higher trough that if confirmed in the next few days will signal continuation to the targets marked below on the weekly chart. FA trigger for continuation has been sprung on market with a surprise recent drilling ann. 12 week wait for confirmed results if all goes well but the speculators are already starting to nibble. DYOR Poster: Pilsner (STT Accuracy: 38.5% - Ranking No.11 ) Click Here for originating post
Starting to build in strength under the 200 DEMA 2 previous attempts to get is head above that level, third time lucky will prove the case if volume follows through next week. Closed on Thurs/Friday on good volume above the 50 DAY average. That 50% gap above from approx. 5-7c looks tempting......maybe a target for another trade!? See charts in Link Poster: Pilsner (STT Accuracy: 38.5% - Ranking No.11 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$2.9m)
CZN - Minerals exploration Gibson Desert,
13/01/2014
Talk of "sleepers" and "RMX style runs" this week got me looking for an example to try and put forward for the benefit of the discussion of a basing pattern with a bullish divergence. case in point, Corazon. I honestly don't know much about the merits of their assets, but I know that they hold some good ground with massive sulphides. I believe they are waiting on some sort of assay results, but the delays are not encouraging on the other hand, both RSI and Momentum are rising while the share price is basing, which to me indicates that people are quietly buying in anticipation of something. whether this translates to a positive ST trade remains to be seen, but in the context of the discussion that was being had, if I was going to buy a "sleeper", this one has allot going for it, with solid support, a bit of cash, a lucrative bit of land for speculation, etc. Mr 5%, if you are reading the thread, I am not recommending this as a buy and hold per se, I would first be getting in touch with directors to try and get a feel for the company, but at the risk of diluting my new found seat in the hall of fame, I am putting this one out there as a demonstration of what I would be looking for technically in a chart. if this one does breakout on news, it would probably fly off the handle, (along with my ranking:) probably to somewhere near 7c on the other hand, it may just go sideways for another few months, as the bullish divergence may be nothing more than blind speculation from retail clients. Poster: Mowibble (STT Accuracy: 76.9% - Ranking No.1 ) Click Here for originating post
