Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 10th Mar 2014 (No. 105) Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week). All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).
Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!
Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MTH - Nickel, Copper, Gold,
10/03/2014
Market Cap - $4m @ 1.6cShares on issue - 250mOptions on issue - all way out of the money, Cash balance - around $1.5mEV - $2.5mMajor shareholders - Lion Selection Group, Consolidated Minerals, Minotaur. The Company is actively exploring throughout two highly prospective areas of Western Australia, namely the Meekatharra District for copper-gold (Meekatharra Copper Projects), and the Kambalda District for gold and Nickel (West Kambalda Project Area). While they have quite a few exciting projects, yesterday's announcement has led them to prioritize an EM survey on Kambalda where they were focusing on gold but have discovered some historical high grade nickel drills. Dare I say it - this feels like the run up to SIR which took off after their EM survey in 2012. MTH's grades are far higher than SIR's initial hits. I fully understand MTH's sudden decision to prioritize this project despite having other exciting ones. Near term newsflow (this month):1. EM survey is underway at Kambalda. I expect a run up in price in anticipation of a positive result. Any such result should put a rocket under the share price. Considering the location, previous drill results and low market cap - I expect a major re-rating from here.2. Meekatharra Copper projects Poster: Paprika (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4m)
ANO - Biotech ,
10/03/2014
Antisense Therapeutics Limited (MCap = $24m) Australian biopharmaceutical drug discovery and development company due to release a steady flow of information over the next 6 months. Received approval for a Proof of Concept trial late Jan 14 designed to confirm the potential of ATL1102 Stem Cell Mobilisation (SCM). The development of ATL1102 for the SCM application will be a relatively inexpensive and quick clinical program given it is to be an acute treatment of 1 week drug administration. This adds another key project value inflection point, along with those for ATL1103 for acromegaly and ATL1102 for Multiple Sclerosis, anticipated by the Company within the next 6 months. Will most likely need to raise funds in the not too distant future, probably as results come to hand > possible pump in SP depending on the underwriters etc etc Poster: PAc23 (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$6.4m)
SLR - Gold Australia,
10/03/2014
MC - about $240M at the moment. Fundamental - its core assets at Mount Monger AU has 3.6Moz producing 170k per annual at about 4-5% grade at about $1050 cost. No debts. at the current spot price, they should be valued at somewhere 80c-1 dollar, so good for STT entry. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
Cap 20mStem cell company using mesenchymal stem cells similar to that of MSB stage 3 trialling. Phase 1 trial starts later this year based in Wisconsin Madison they are a Wisconsin alumni research foundation product re Thompson and slukvin the cellular dynamics international men. Stewart Washer ex ISN on board. Poster: MasseyFerguson (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$18.4m)
BBR - Graphite ,
7/03/2014
Excellent results today and a mc of 4 million with about 1 mil in the bank, is doing well today but I feel it should be doing better, definitely worth a look :) Poster: Geffa9 (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4.9m)
MDS - Financial services,
4/03/2014
Cash position: $228,000 with the chairman just providing an additional $250,000 short term funding (p18 of the half yearly report)Market cap: 3.09 million at 0.006 however the next available buy is 0.008 so the market cap there is 4.12 million. First, Introduction of Sequoia Asset Management who underwrite a capital raising and have then increased their stake on market to 15.5% (grouped). These guys have a good track record and are in the process of a reverse takeover of ASX:IDP Second, Board has aligned views with shareholders the chairman is the top shareholder with 20% and the executive director is third with 6.67%. In addition the top 20 owns 86% so if it gets some buying pressure it is going to move quickly. Third, Successful listing of Sino Oil and Gas which the company said "was one of a few lead brokers to successfully complete an IPO transaction in 2013. The success of the listing has resulted in a number of pivotal relationships being developed. Which could lead to increase revenues for the company". They are forecasting revenue growth of 15% with revenue up 33% on the corresponding position last year. Poster: Gijoe99 (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$13m)
CAF - Financial services sector.,
3/03/2014
SP-$0.32C Market cap-$31 millHad CAF recently in the STT list but HY results didn't come out til late Friday. Centrepoint Alliance Limited operates as a non institutionally-owned financial services company in Australia and internationally. It primarily funds insurance premiums for corporate and retail clients, as well as is involved in asset finance operations. The company also offers financial advice and investment product solutions; and funds management, investment platform. Backing CAF as a turnaround after past legacy issues with the highly regarded John de Zwalt leading the turnaround story. Have large offsets on books including taxable income of $39 mill before paying tax and $29 mill of franking credits. Feel there is plenty of upside in the SP following on from Fridays results. Centrepoint returns to profit28/02/2014Centrepoint Alliance Limited (Centrepoint) has reported pre-tax profit of $2.2m, up 229% on the prior corresponding period with overall revenues increasing by 2% to $27.4m. 'The Group holds strong positions in segments of the financial services market which are fast growing and high margin. The business has an experienced team that is growing market share in each segment, building capabilities and delivering superb service to customers and clients. 'A significant investment is being made in our people and technology to meet our customers' needs, whilst assisting brokers, financial advisers and accountants to operate efficient and profitable businesses,' says de Zwart. Poster: Ormond (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$33.2m)
HOG - Ukraine gas exploration and gas supplier,
3/03/2014
The Ukraine is now in political upheaval and its getting worse. This is simply a short on sovereign risk. I believe holders, especially newer ones, will desert the ship. Poster: J8 (STT Accuracy: 37.7% - Ranking No.13 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$9.8m)
AUQ - Mineral Exploration in Saudi,
3/03/2014
Awaiting well overdue announcement regards jv agreement with manajem to take second most advanced base metals project one step closer to a working mine. Company recently appointed Saudi prince to their board and he is very keen to see this project progress. Next step would be application to Saudi investment development fund SIDF for large low interest loan to develop mine. With jv sorted, major milestone achieved and I expect brokers and market to support. Poster: Deltatrader (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$16.9m)
SUR - Oil and gas in Texas; Centreville area,
3/03/2014
ash as at end December 13 was around $16mil. Spends around $4mil per quarter. Has Gina on register now as sub holder. Currently drilling....from last Feb. update....... Sun advises that completion operations at the F. Thompson #1H well are continuing with the flow back of fraccing fluids from the horizontal well bore ongoing. The first recovery of crude oil and gas has been reported.• The Operator Amerril expects to complete construction and full commissioning of permanent production facilities and a jet pump to facilitate the continuation of flow back operations. FA trigger. Upon reporting flow rates, SUR is expected to get a good boost in sp. Was sold down last year due to delays. As time was trading around 8c. Delta oil project is also due to spud soon' and should see positions starting to be taken by current and new holders. In area that's proven for oil. Sun has 100% of this one, so may even farm in a local oiler Poster: BrookeCE (STT Accuracy: 14.8% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$66.1m)
GRR - Iron ore producer in Tasmania ,
3/03/2014
Grange announced its half yearly on Friday, which had a small attraction of a 1c dividend, 1c special dividend, and total forecast of 3c for the year. Has been a divi payer since 2011. At current prices is equal to a >10% yield excluding sp appreciation. FA trigger. Cashed up with +$150mil and solid contracts in place. Ex div date is 12 march so expecting yield hungry players to drive price back up to levels of 2 years ago. Further drops in Aud will not only offset I/O price drops, but also act as good catalyst for further efficiency gains in aud. Grange has an iron ore project 8x current size of taz mine, in WA. Southdown appears to have a $0 price attached to this asset in current sp. Asset backing per security is $0.62 so current prices on all above would appear a real bargain. Expecting to re rate in next fortnight Poster: BrookeCE (STT Accuracy: 14.8% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$346.9m)
ETE - Oil and Gas in Wyoming, Collarado.,
3/03/2014
uring the past few weeks, Entek has lifted its sp by around 25%. Remains a long way from its highs of 16c from past few years. Sp has been depressed and sold down as it was denied access to one of its main leases of significance at Niobrara. Now also has around 32000 net acres at its focus ranch unit in addition to a 42% interest in the Slater Dome Export pipeline. FA event trigger. Directors have been buying in past week with significant purchases since the access has been re granted to Focus Ranch. . Appraisal to soon begin on these interests which are reportedly large in oil.. Further drilling this quarter is reported to be starting soon. Cash is around $10mil. Spends around $1.35mil quarter. Income around $750k per quarter at current Poster: BrookeCE (STT Accuracy: 14.8% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$19.4m)
CKK - Drilling technology,
3/03/2014
Litigation verdict should favour SH's..Perth supreme court ruling due imminently..{my belief within a month}...A few disgruntled long termers only posting negative sentiments are looking for cheaper EP}....Trading below shelf value...Still interested parties in BHP, Chevron, Woodside and 1 or 2 others...Way more upside than downside at these prices.. Poster: Bluegouldian (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$1.9m)
PDN - Uranium producer (Namibia & Australia),
3/03/2014
Uranium stocks are deserving a long overdue recovery after Japan's nuclear disaster in March 2011.PDN is the worst performed U stock with a 90% loss over last three year's period even after 37% recovery from its 52 week's low. Billionaire George Soros’s Top 3 Canadian Stock Picks By Robert Baillieul - February 28, 2014 CamecoIt’s difficult to see any reason to be bullish on the uranium market. Following Japan’s Fukushima disaster three years ago, uranium prices remain in the doldrums and most industry operators are bleeding money. Yet this fact hasn’t discouraged Soros. Last quarter he added to his position in uranium mining giant Cameco (TSX:CCO)(NYSE:CCJ) by 42%. Today, Soro’s total stake is worth $55.4 million. Why would anyone be bullish on the uranium market? Commodity expert Rick Rule told the Motley Fool Canada earlier this month that the uranium mining industry cannot recover its cost of capital at current commodity prices. That means either prices have to rise or the lights go out. Today, low quality outfits are closing down projects and scaling back production. And this creates the very conditions needed for higher prices in the future. Once this situation plays out, higher quality operators like Cameco stand to make a fortune as they have the financial strength needed to weather the storm. Poster: Accearic (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$583.3m)
RXL - Nickel Explorer,
3/03/2014
Pure gamble on further Nickel Sulphide drill results over coming month. Longer term, zinc at Teena (30% share, Teck 70% share) could play out for SP increases if mine development costs and further drill results play well. Poster: 383hq (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
C: 1.5 millionshare price 0.025shares on issue: about 60 million onlycash: between 500000 and 80000025% share in mollehuaca gold processing plant in Peru. Plant ready for first production after refurbishment. High grade ore up to 454g/tslow and steady business model with as little as possible dilution for share holders. first production will be about 10000 ounces per year and increase to about 17000 ounces the year after.net return for the first year to cgu about 1 million profit exciting ground in Australia as well in the Lachlan ford belt hosting several high grade gold deposits. one of cgu's tenements is the old BHP Cowarra goldmine with grades between 10-16 g/t which closed down in the 80th due to low gold price. Directors getting paid in shares for 4 cent, nearly double of the share price atm. big sign of confidence on behalf of the directors. Announcement due any day now to start production in Peru. Brilliant geology team with good track history. Expecting at least a 100% return in short term Poster: Hedrox (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$1.4m)
TCN - Technolgy Company investment,
24/02/2014
About Techniche---- delivers value to shareholders by investing in profitable technology companies that improve business performance. We employ an active management approach by working with and incentivising management, to successfully grow the businesses organically and via strategic acquisitions. Then just over six month later on 6th Feb: Half year to December 2013 NPAT is $1.5-$1.6 million. If second half is the same as first half, then NPAT for Full Year will be $3 million instead of the $1.5m announcement in September 2013. That is 100% improvement in just a short time frame. Business must be growing fast.2014/2015 should be even better. .Company’s policy is to start paying regular dividend of approximately 25% of its after tax profit. TCN is not only a growth company but also paying dividend. Way too cheap under 10c.Directors bought heaps on market. Now, It was expected that the final half year report was meant be published in the third week of February, at which time a more detailed update on the results will be provided, as well as updated guidance for the full year. There was a run up in share price, pushing through the 10cent resistance level in anticipation for this report. Late sell off today after no announcement. I'm having a stab the report will be out next week and be a blinder. To reiterate......anything under 10cents is a bargain imo. In the right space at the moment and low to no debt. Poster: Wallup (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$15.7m)
BBR - Graphite explorer in Sri Lanka,
24/02/2014
An illiquid minnow with a lease over an area which has the highest known graphite grade content in the world - a whopping 90% plus. It is in Sri Lanka. Market cap is a measly $6m at 25c.They have just flown a helicopter VTEM survey to pick up new occurrences of graphite. Results due any day. The lease area they have has plenty of untapped potential with figures available from old mining. The grades and quantities are exceptional. 18m only shares available makes this a prime target for massive gains. Worth going into a little DD with these guys! Poster: J8 (STT Accuracy: 37.7% - Ranking No.13 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4.9m)
FXR - Coal Explorer,
24/02/2014
MC 5MmillionCash 1.1 m Access to them3.8m facility Same coal seams equivalent to icx and close to glencore mine Huge potential Poster: Forrestfield (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4.3m)
TAS - Mineral exploration Cu-Au-Ag-U IOCG South Australia,
24/02/2014
he company has provided many great trading opportunities over the years with the excitement and disappointment of drilling their Vulcan prospect north of Olympic Dam (OD).The company has had plenty of technical successes confirming all of the relevant IOCG OD type alteration, mineralisation and metal zonation but without the success of a discovery. The trading opportunity comes of the back of Rio Tinto handing down the decision to continue on to the next phase of exploration which would entail a 25 million dollar spend over the next 3 years. Given that the company has spent 5 million in the last year and a bit and managed to drill 8 holes a spend of 25 million would result in 40 holes being drilled over 3 years. Here are some reasons why I feel confident that Rio will continue with the farm in. As a major mining firm Rio Tinto is lacking in regards to large Greenfields copper plays compared to its peers and especially BHP. They have a number of large mines most of which they are a part owner in but little in the way of the ability to expand production. Of these there is the La Granja, Resolution and OT underground production/expansion plays. Given the company's focus on underground block cave operations especially in the case of Resolution and the opening of their block cave training research and training centre at the UNSW it would seem that the company is very much looking towards large underground bulk operations to sure up future production. According to TAS ann 24/01/2014 the company should get an answer from RIO within 60 days putting the cut-off at the 25/03/2014. Poster: Crimsoncarp (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$6.6m)
JMB - Online Social Media in UK,
24/02/2014
Market cap: $5.5millCash: $4millNew business called 'Primary opinion' which is a UK based online business in the social media space, focussed at a global business audience of professional advisors who practice in the legal, tax and accountancy, and regulatory & compliance markets. Directors hold a significant majority of shares. Jeff Kennett on the board. Tom King, who's record in the IT space speaks volumes and has backing from China, has personally put in over $1.2million. Poster: AceOfSpades (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4.2m)
CZZ - Copper in Chile,
20/02/2014
Reborn in 2013 with a new board and new focus, this company is now a Copper explorer with significant copper projects in Chile. They had 80m shares on issue and recently completed a capital raising, issuing 350m shares at 1c. So they have decent cash to drill with. Stats: Cash - approx $1.8m at 31 Dec Market cap - $3mShares on issue - 424m and no stupid low options :)Results due any day from the Resguardo prospect which is a copper porphyry project. Previous small scale high grade (2%+ copper) mining had occurred here and they are now sinking 2 x 250m holes vertically into the breccia pipe. What will happen if they announce good lengths of high grade copper I wonder? Is there a good chance of this based on the previous mining here and the fact that this is a breccia pipe? I think so. Will they find good grades then go deeper into the actual porphyry with diamond drilling? I hope so. They’ve stated that chalcopyrite and bornite is evident underground here. In addition to Resguardo they are currently diamond drilling a large geophysical anomaly at the Posada copper project, again results will be due soon.IMO big potential for some great results in the short term and little downside given the EV. 424m shares on issue is not too bad given they've completely changed the company. IMO $3.5m raised shows a pretty high level of confidence. Currently under the radar but with some shares available to buy now less than the recent raise. IMO liquidity will improve with price increases. Poster: Prestonian (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
Anteo specialises in the development and commercialisation of proprietary surface coatings for applications in the diagnostics and biotech industries, using a molecular glue called Mix&Go, which immobilises biological molecules such as antibodies to synthetic surfaces. Many more uses envisaged. ADO has been consolidating between .14 and .19 since Dec last year after a big run. It broke out of this channel last week on higher volume, then back tested the channel on lower volume ... then broke out on high volume. It looks set for the next run up, possibly targeting the 100% fib extension of .36ANTEO completed a $5.5 million capital raise in Dec 14 and it currently has just over 7 million cash now. Poster: Success4l (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$171m)
MTH - Nickel, Copper, Gold,
10/03/2014
Weekly Chart. Pain has already been worn by previous/old time holders many of who sold out prior to this recent Nickel discovery.1. Trend Line break after basing pattern2. Cross above 10 week SMA3. Held support and pushed off out from it's base on high volume. This looks like a new trend in its embryonic stage. I don't think that this will spike without news which is due this month but there should be a steady rise beforehand. The registry is tight with 250m shares so there could be an almighty scramble considering the pricing of each share. Poster: Paprika (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4m)
BLT - Australian biotech,
6/03/2014
Looking like a pennant formation, with increasing volume on the flagpole and decreasing volume within the pennant. Flagpole base starting at .92 and finishing at $2.38 giving a projected move upwards of $1.46Benitec have just completed a $31.5 million capital raise with US institutional investors to fund further projects Poster: Success4l (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$163.4m)
HOG - Ukraine gas exploration and gas supplier,
3/03/2014
Recent push led to massive gap which the SP has been heading back towards since the top. First gap at 2.4c and another at 2.2c. Was as low 1.6c very recently. Poster: J8 (STT Accuracy: 37.7% - Ranking No.13 ) Click Here for originating post
TAS - Mineral exploration Cu-Au-Ag-U IOCG South Australia,
24/02/2014
The company has broken a recent downtrend of some 6 months (OBV confirmation) and managed to hold the 3c mark. Admittedly building a position bellow the 3.5 c mark has been difficult. With the stocks all time low sitting at 2.5c the upside is a lot higher that the downside. Poster: Crimsoncarp (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
