Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week...

Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 10th June 2013 (No. 69)

Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).

Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!



Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects
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AVB - Copper Fe in Brazil,

10/06/2013

Company had been expecting news of debt finance approval for mine development (planned production in 2014) and a substantial upgrade to Jorc Copper/Gold resources in Brazil. Currently Jorc is at 60.64Mt at 1.24% Copper, 0.33g/t Gold for 755,000 tonnes of contained Copper and 638,000oz of Gold. The company has gone into a voluntary trading halt on Friday - expected to come out Wed 12 June - with the announcement suggesting it had to do with a “Significant Financing Arrangement”.
Spotted by: Ricdan1985

(Mcap:$60.2m)

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AXE - Graphite South Australia,

11/06/2013

MCG stated that "prices for flake graphite of 99.0% and higher in particle size ranges from 5 micron to -100 Mesh will command between A$2,500 to A$5,000 per metric tonne". Grades of 99.95% carbon command much higher prices again. Baseline flora and fauna surveys have been complete and will soon complete a scoping study with an expectation that it then evolves into a PFS commencing mid this year and leading directly to a DFS commencing in the 2H2013. In March this year AXE reported metallurgical testing of Campoona (South Australia) graphite project achieved outstanding finely crystalline natural graphite concentrate >99% TGA from mechanical cell flotation. Further metallurgical results including the percentages and grades of flake graphite are expected to be released any day.
Spotted by: Tobyjack

(Mcap:$11.1m)

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ESI - Coldry Technology at Loy Yang Gippsland Victoria,

11/06/2013

Potential Funding for CDP Commercial Demonstration Plant Via DEPI to be announced shortly with CSI MCG Monash Capital Group also to be announced shortly. MCG were going to fund the whole amount to build the CDP prior to the ALDP being announced. They are the only ASX listed Co. currently in the public domain who have announced they are short listed to receive a slice of the governments $90M via the ALDP .MOU with AGL at Loy Yang to become concrete and announced where CDP is being built. Currently trading at 12 month lows. Has the potential, if it plays out, to become the new ASX market darling with 12c ST not out of the question. 1st to market new Technology patented worldwide
Spotted by: HCTrader

(Mcap:$15.8m)

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RBR - Iron Ore Copper Gold in Turkey and WA,

10/06/2013

Turkish subsidiary and a strong in-country corporate and technical team established, based in Ankara in central eastern Turkey.? Has Cash $1.6 million and a market cap $1.45 million. Gold JV with SLR. Price catalysts - in advanced negotiations for acquisition of IOCG project in Turkey. Commenced drilling at Peter's Dam in WA. Advanced negotiations on initial Turkish gold, copper and base metal projects in-country.? EM Survey commences on Caesar Hill Joint Venture, Western Australia.? Reverse circulation drilling commenced at the Peters Dam Joint Venture, Western Australia.
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$1.5m)

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RER - Gold in Democratic Republic of Congo,

10/06/2013

Has $7.5 million cash on $3.5 million market cap. Recent drilling results of 46m at 5.4g/t au and 23m @ 3.7g/t au, with grades up to 92g/t au. Dozens of other high grade results. Drilling rig on standby to commence new drilling at KakaduShare price catalysts could be increased market awareness, improved sentiment towards DRC, and confirmation of drilling date for Kakadu.
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$1.9m)

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PNL - Gold and graphite in Brazil,

10/06/2013

Great management team, Quality projects, $8.8 million cash, $4m Market Cap6 of 9 holes drilled in current program (probably all 9 done now) with numerous intersections of hydrothermal breccia (whatever that is) and quartz veining. Assays pending - given lateness and poor chart I’m not really expecting much but even a few reasonable hits may reverse downtrend given cash.
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$3m)

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NFE - Iron , Norway,

10/06/2013

Pros:5.5cQuality iron ore deposit IOOF increased their already substantial stake @ 21c, again at 10c, and probably more since$20 million+ cash. In my opinion, oversold and undervalued. Prime takeover material ConsMill problems (sole cause of sell-off from 21c to 5.3c)$100 million debt (dwarfed by NPV of project)
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$22.8m)

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EQE - Copper in Chile,

10/06/2013

Currently drilling at their 100% owned Yerba project in Chile. Assays pending for visible oxide and sulphide copper in their third hole. Currently drilling their fourth which is the first to target he IP chargeability anomaly’s placement was done at .5 (from memory?) and the have recently sold their gold royalties for $2m. Plenty of cash in the bank.
Spotted by: Abss

(Mcap:$9.9m)

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PPX - Paper, Print , sign and display re sellers,

7/06/2013

Very wide range of trading in PPX today , the price actually ranged from 5.8c to 8.2c on spiked volumes , a positive announcement yesterday albeit small suggests this business is far from rolling over and debt has been renegotiated to beyond 2014 The board stated at the AGM that it intended to either fix , sell or close its business in countries it could not turn around , and there has been little news to suggest that has changed The company seems to be tracking to still have somewhere in the vicinity of a massive $3 billion in revenues , yet has a market cap of almost nothing .The drop in Aussie dollar is very positive ,and at 6c PPX might have legs for a 25% + next few weeks if today's spike in volume is an indicator , the hybrids also moved up this afternoon signalling a possibility of where there's smoke there might be fire be very interested to hear a view on how the chart is looking after basically going sideways just under 6c for quite a while lately I hold both PPX and PXUPA but think the shares are
the better option whilst the hybrids remain separated
Spotted by: Firsova

(Mcap:$35.9m)

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SXY - Oil/Gas Cooper Basin,

5/06/2013

Holds impressive onshore oil & unconventional gas acreage in the Cooper Basin, as well as coal seam gas acreage in the Surat Basin. SXY recently announced it expects to deliver record net oil production of 1.2 million barrels for the 2012/13 financial year. Major new conventional gas field identified at Hornet containing up to 2.9 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of prospective resource. Hornet Block is approx. 7 km’s SE of Kidman gas field, operated by STO and less than 30 km’s from the Moomba to Sydney gas pipeline. Recent media reports suggest majors are sniffing around the emerging shale sector in the Cooper Basin, suggesting Apache has met with several of the players, including SXY which is ripe for a link up with a major. James Crowley, SXY’s GM Exploration, was appointed last year (commenced in January 2013). He previously held snr exec roles with Apache for 18 years. Has a strong cash position and no debt
Spotted by: Tobyjack

(Mcap:$644.6m)

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RXM - Copper in South Australia,

4/06/2013

Have just gone into trading halt re potential funding for their Hillside project. The SP has recently seen 52 week lows as their has been doubt over finding the $$'s to support the project. Depending on the terms this should see a re rate in the SP.
Spotted by: Abss

(Mcap:$58.6m)

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WKT - Coal, and Copper, in Botswana and Tanzania. ,

3/06/2013

About to drill it's copper prospect in Africa @ kigoma copper. Proven area and high oxides already. Aside from prospect has already found and sitting on 6.88b tonnes of coal at Botswana prospect and awaiting rail details and approval from govt. Refer presentation released on ASX on 9 may. Have previously also announced they have no need to cap raise this year.
Spotted by: BrookeCE

(Mcap:$6m)

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TTE - Oil/Gas in US and WA Aus,

3/06/2013

Company has been acquiring larger Working Interest and more acres in the Allen Dome Salt Dome where they have been having success with well recompletions. Current producing recompletion wells have already paid for themselves latest Ann stated that these wells are producing at 60bopd total Company have just completed there first exploration well in the area and have had great success the well has been online for one month and has been producing under its own pressure initial flow rates were Announced as 331bopd restricted to 250bopd. More than triple current production. Only oil is currently being sold from this well with the company looking at opportunities to commercialise the 196mcfd being flared off from the well. This well is to have a pump jack put online in the next week or so for this well so further updates on this well are due. Also further updates on new spuds in the Allen dome could be a possibility. Share price has been sold down to 12 month lows on this news so should be due for a re rate on any more positive news. Updates on other us projects could also be expected soon.
Spotted by: Fekko

(Mcap:$13.5m)

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JKA - Oil and Gas in Africa, Tunisia. ,

3/06/2013

Currently drilling The bargou block with Cooper energy. Have drilled 2788mRt Snd wA preparing to cement case last Thursday and run wire Line logs. Reservoir penetration is expected at 3000 mRt. The hammamet west 3 that's taking this on has an objective to drill this horizontal well near where hammamet west 2 encountered oil in a naturally formed vertical formation. Hot copper also tipped this stock 6-9 months ago due to this prospect and management proven background with other explorers and producers. Watch for a run on big volume IMO it will go hard.
Spotted by: BrookeCE

(Mcap:$26.5m)

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GRR - Iron ore in Tas and WA,

3/06/2013

Has been sold down since 31 December 12 due primarily to the tanking I/o price. Has moved slowly from 12c back to 20c with large levels of buying from major shareholder. Of 1.2b shares on offer the major is now holding some 790mil of this and continuing to acquire. Long mine life left and solid grades. Trigger events for sharp rise include the falling AUD which will give a massive kick to earnings and none are hedged. Trigger of major s/h making takeover bid is possible also given recent activity. Final trigger event may include upgrade to dividend, as this producer has been paying good level divi's for past 5 half years. Note, I am a long term holder so whilst opinion may appear biased, it is recommended to dyor and look at events in past quarter, as well as last QR.
Spotted by: BrookeCE

(Mcap:$208.2m)

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CTR - Oil and Gas in Guatamala,

3/06/2013

Currently in a trading halt regarding it's drill at Aztam #4 Well and awaiting results on it's flow testing program. Previously sold down on small volumes and suspect this has been more about impatience than fundamental reasons. Independent experts from past quarter declared that the wells they are sitting on have probable estimates of 2.3 million barrels of oil. Nearby oil field has produced Over 30mmbbl to date and located only 17km away. Trading halt will come off Monday. Greater than 200bopd is expected to see this junior run like crazy back in excess of 4c.
Spotted by: BrookeCE

(Mcap:$9.8m)

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QBL - Bauxite in Queensland ,

30/05/2013

Seven DSO-target bauxite projects in QLD and NSW, all close to existing infrastructure and alumina refineriesJust a pure nanocap value play, Cash $4 million, No debt, Someone mentioned it on the DT thread today - too illiquid to just go and buy a decent parcel so I don’t hold but hoping someone puts 500k or so at .008/.009...
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$1.7m)

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NFE - Iron Ore Norway,

28/05/2013

100% owner of Sydvaranger Iron Ore Project, Norway? Operated from 1910 to 1997 (200Mt of ore mined) ?Listed on the ASX in Dec 2007, mining commenced in May 2009 and the first shipment was in Nov 2009 ?High quality magnetite concentrate ?Portion of production subject to long term offtake contract with key European customer in place ?Long mine life expected. IOOF increased their already substantial stake @ 21c $20 million+ cash In my opinion, oversold and undervalued Prime takeover material Large seller in the queue today disposed of Well over 4 million traded today - someone is buying them. Cons:Mill problems (sole cause of sell-off from 20c to 10c)$99 million debt (dwarfed by NPV of project)
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$22.8m)

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ZGL - Oil services & Construction, Engineering. Singapore,

27/05/2013

Precision Engineering is growing at blistering speed ( over the last 3 years it grew from 5% to 40% of the whole business)In addition...ZGL spent $14m to acquire 2 promising biomedical & 1 semiconductor outfit that are currently in commercialization phase with actual sales being generated.....Their products are being manufactured in house by the PE division. Exponential growth is guaranteed in the P.E. Division & the new acquisitions. When ZGL fires on all cylinders with a "turnaround" in Construction & Oil services , it will be in the league of the Mid Caps. Well worth a look....Safety ...Dividend yield ...& most importantly GROWTH......Just a nice stock to mention because of its solid foundations & blue sky potential.....Not just a mature boring business with a good balance sheet, but a badly mispriced growth stock
Spotted by: "3500"

(Mcap:$51.5m)

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SDL - Iron Ore in West Africa,

27/05/2013

Previous takeover offers at multiples of current price Continues to be a likely takeover target Compelling buying activity today - somebody with deep pockets wants in. Price rallied hard, 3 times, and included a few line wipes of 2 million+ units Disappointing Chinese economic data caused only a momentary lapse in buying strength
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$261.1m)

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OTC - Professional Services/Construction in WA,

27/05/2013

Plenty of cash New $29 million govt construction contract (and as Clive Palmer said, tenders for government work are generally inflated across the board, = very healthy profit margin for the job)Price earnings ratio of ... 1.5!
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$9.7m)

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IVA - Manganese Producer ,

27/05/2013

Amazing selloff from $4 to 10c.I think its done. I've been accumulating since 16c so it'd wanna be!$45 million cash Thought the bottom was probably in based on fundamentals at 16c hence my initial purchase. But what finally made me confident enough to enter it into the prestigious STT list was the buying and price action today. Despite a terrible day on the ASX and disappointing Chinese data, buyers swarmed in around the 10c mark. I bought my largest parcel yet at 11c today so I was very happy to see that!
Spotted by: Fibonarchery

(Mcap:$126.8m)

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ELM - Potash in Republic of the Congo,

27/05/2013

The company is focused on its 93% owned Sintoukola Potash Project, which, having completed a Scoping Study in August 2011 and a Pre-Feasibility Study in September 2012, is currently working towards completion of a Definitive Feasibility study With construction due to begin in 2014, Elemental Minerals is expected to begin initial potash production in 2017 and reach full capacity in 2018.12 April 2013, ELM has received an indicative, non binding, incomplete and conditional proposal from Dingyi Group Investment Limited, an investment company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. ELM has entered into exclusivity and agreed to customary ‘no shop’, ‘no talk’ conditions – ends 31 May 2013 If it were to proceed to a formal offer this could result in an offer being made to acquire all of the outstanding shares for a cash price of A$0.66/ share. ELM’s sp is currently sitting at 40c.Potash is receiving favourable coverage of late with reports saying – “Goldman Sachs sees potash as the commodity for the next decade. In
its latest report, Evolution of the super cycle: what’s changed and what may, Goldman places potash among the top 10 future themes in commodities.”
Spotted by: Tobyjack

(Mcap:$124.1m)

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CSE - Graphite/vanadium in Mozambique,

27/05/2013

SE - major shareholder in SYR (Mozambique/graphite/vanadium), has a minerals sands project in Victoria in its own name. CSE’s main asset is 11 million Syrah Resources Limited shares, currently priced @ $1.75 - worth circa $19mil. Both SYR & CSE went into a trading halt on Friday – “in relation to the Balama East JORC Resource estimate at the Balama Graphite and Vanadium Project. Copper Strike owns 11 million SYR shares and is heavily leveraged to SYR price movement.” yrah had an exploration target at Balama East of 300-400 million tonnes at 11% TGC and 0.30% V2O5. Suspect the ann will cover a resource estimate for Balama East. As well, the Balama Scoping Study is due to be released very soon. Other than shares in SYR, CSE’s only other asset is a Mineral Sands project at Warracknabeal, Victoria, where currently they are conducting a drilling program.
Spotted by: Tobyjack

(Mcap:$18.7m)

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SLR - Gold/Copper in WA,

24/05/2013

The SLR thread has been in hyper drive lately with longs getting desperate for a reprieve from the relentless sell down and calling for the madness to end verses the shorts who are getting worried that a turn around is due and desperate to keep the negative sentiment alive...One thing that both longs and shorts don't dispute is that SLR is an excellent company with good management and outstanding assets m no expert but I sense a turnaround and have taken a punt. Adding to my optimism...- director Brian Kennedy buying $385 620 worth of stock on market in the last two weeks-Infill drilling at Hollandaire announced yesterday...-12.0 metres at 8.7% Cu including 5.0 metres at 3.1 g/t Au -12.0 metres at 8.1% Cu including 5.0 metres at 2.1 g/t Au -10.0 metres at 8.8% Cu & 2.8 g/t Au -8.0 metres at 10.8% Cu including 4.0 metres at 2.0 g/t Au -17.0 metres at 5.9% Cu -12.0 metres at 4.4% Cu including 4.0 metres at 3.2 g/t Au -2.0 metres at 14.9% Cu & 3.1 g/t Au
Spotted by: Knowbs

(Mcap:$320.3m)

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TSV - Oil and Gas in WA,

23/05/2013

Tsv is going to earn 14m over the coming days from its sale of land assets in Duvernay Shale in Canada to CPO and its JV, MKE. Will be using the money to drill it's own prospects.6m vol traded today, after sitting a low of 0.005 for some time. CR was done at 0.006, but once that clears, there could be some blue skies.
Spotted by: Ricdan1985

(Mcap:$16.1m)

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Weekly Technical Analysis Prospects
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AVB - Copper Fe in Brazil,

10/06/2013

Currently sitting at 5.4c. Moved up to 7.5c only a few weeks ago before drifting back down to these levels. Target could be around 9-11c if everything comes true.
Spotted by: Ricdan1985

(Mcap:$60.2m)

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CIX - Insurance,

11/06/2013

Looks like a screaming buy (on technical’s) 1. Steady rise. 2. 14 day MA above 26 day MA. 3. MACD about to cross. 4. Both Guppy Darvas and regular Darvas scan say that the next box may be forming (Buy signal)
Spotted by: RainMakerFaker

(Mcap:$66.9m)

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BLT - Biotech / Australia ,

3/06/2013

New technology , ddRNAi gene silencing. Broken out of long term down trend and trading above 200 day line . Needs to clear 2.1 to confirm uptrend and further resistance expected circa 2.4c . Recent attempt at 2.1c resistance met with plenty of sellers but uptrend looks to be still in place
Spotted by: J8

(Mcap:$13.1m)

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AVH - Biotech Aust/ US,

3/06/2013

Biotech , spray on skin . Game changing technology under trial in the US . Another oversold stock possibly getting set for recovery . Moving average now moving in the right direction . Higher highs and higher lows recently confirm a breakout is possible . Expect resistance at 13 cents .
Spotted by: J8

(Mcap:$32.5m)

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ZGL - Oil services & Construction, Engineering. Singapore,

27/05/2013

Consolidating nicely near the yearly high despite an area of strong resistance that has been in place for 6 months. No much overhead resistance on a break of 30c.Buy now/on a retrace.... or on a break of 30c.
Spotted by: "3500"

(Mcap:$51.5m)

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Links to Previous Weeks Lists


No.68: Short Term FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 3rd June) Click HERE

No.67: Short Term FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 27th May) Click HERE

No.66: Short Term FA & TA Leads (20th - 24th May) Click HERE

No.65: Short Term FA & TA Leads (13th - 17th May) Click HERE