Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week...

Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 21th Sept 2015 (No. 183)

Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).

Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!



Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects


UCM - Medical Tech Company [21/09/2015]
This is one of my truly unloved stocks with no interest in it at all atm. sp .13c MC around 12.5M sitting at 2c below recent CR price. CR was to purchase THOR an Hungarian manufacturer of respiratory devices. also gives them manufacturing facilities for expanded production of their blood pressure monitoring systems. synergies described in recent release as follows: Thor Acquisition Summary: - Cash flow positive medical technology company with high quality digital Doppler respirometry devices. - Internationally accredited manufacturing, R&D and engineering facilities. - Established distribution network, primarily in Europe. - Multiple CE/TGA/FDA approved products, each with re-imbursement. - Partnership with Cohero (New York) for marketing of Thor developed home care, cloud based, asthma and COPD monitoring technologies. - George Ferenczi and team to join Uscom providing international footprint. - Complementary technologies with synergies of science, technology and operations. their already existing products are USCOM 1A a non-invasive device that measures heart function, detects circulatory abnormalities and guides treatment. and Uscom BP+ measures central and brachial blood pressure and arterial pulse pressure waveforms, this is in the same space as ACG and they have confirmed that the FDA approval applies to their product as well. their product is 1/4 of the cost of ACG from memory. Also their product won the Johnson and Johnson Innovation Award 2015. Currently increased their chain of distributors to 56. From recent interveiw on Proactive Investors both they and the aquisition are cash flow positive. Sales last year were up 56% fro Asia Europe. did taper off over latter half. China there is a 7m over 5 years agreement but delayed due to regulatory issues now resolved. Current Investor Presentation and Procative interviews suggest management are out trying to sell this pup. think the next quarterly could be a catalyst but I have said this before about this one. Lol
Poster: herbalist (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16024612/single (Mcap: $12m)


MOO - User Generated Content [21/09/2015]
MOO = Shareroot - a Silicon Valley based platform that provides big brands access to User Generated Content (UGC) Already has a great bunch of clients Very strong team - great concept Only backdoor a few weeks back Just been thru a CR - share price has come down to 0.2 cents - was at 0.8 cents Exceptional price entry 0.2 cents - cannot be any cheaper - only way is up from here - news flow due - 2 pints of lager and a packet of crisps please
Poster: Techmeister (STT Accuracy: 13.3% - Ranking No.36 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16017706/single (Mcap: $2.7m)


EGL - Environmental Industries [21/09/2015]
Environmental Group Two business units TAPC - air pollution controls Baltec - recently acquired (Gas and Power filters etc) Cap: $2.3m Shares: 215m Price: 1.1c Revenue: $26m NPAT: $500k PER = 5x Cash $1.6m/ Debt similar so net debt neutral. (also paid down over $300k in FY15) Turnaround story, starting to actually turn around. Recently completed rights issue at 1.4c - 80% uptake Trading at lows, trading under raise, very illiquid (owners have 40%) but if you can get some down here over the medium term this looks like a bargain.
Poster: Sector Lead (STT Accuracy: 58.8% - Ranking No.6 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16025217/single (Mcap: $2.4m)


CMY - Shell Company ? [21/09/2015]
SP: 1.1c Mkt Cap: Not sure (data providers should be on to this when more info released) The dog of all dogs has just completed a recon and is back on the boards as CMYDA for the moment. Very interestingly Digital4ge is has emerged as the second largest shareholder at 5%. Digital4ge is the tech incubator that holds 48% of RFN. They've got a number of tech assets which they will look to spin out over the next few years. A new cleaned up CMY looking like the most likely destination for their next RTO. Shouldn't be long before the market wakes up to this one given RFN's performance of late.
Poster: NightWatchman (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16014899/single (Mcap: $1.5m)


ABX - Bauxite Australia [21/09/2015]
Australian bauxite ready to ship there first boatload within the next 2 week Price has gone into an uptrend. Couple easily be trowing off its MC in profit by christmas Market Cap: $30m Cash: $2.5m
Poster: V8 (STT Accuracy: 33.3% - Ranking No.28 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16026255/single (Mcap: $33m)


KNO - Client Management Technology [17/09/2015]
Knosys Limited Market Cap: $5.1m Last Price: 20.5 cents KNO is a recent listing on the ASX that has a client management software that allows large corporations with multiple computer systems , many archaic , to be able to pull data from these systems in to a common platform via an indexing method, This is allowing individual users to have access to all the systems in one place , up to the authority level each user is granted to access authorisation level The ANZ bank was the initial client of the business and have several thousand licenses already , and ANZ have solved the problem if having to revamp more than 50 different business systems by implementing this solution . The Knosys platform is known as KNOWHOW at the ANZ , and this provides the ANZ staff the ability to access the data from all 50 separate systems from their single terminal. The user has restrictions placed on them in respect to their authority level , but no longer do they have to move from system to system or transfer calls around data centres to satisfy a client request I recently went in to a westpac branch , which I like the way they have a personal feel for clients , but the IT system to try find my request was a complete farce , which the issues they had in this respect Another recent example for opposition banks was highlighted when banks changed rates on home loans compared to investor loans , and 2 of the banks could not differentiate , as the data could not be accessed for that bank If that bank had the Knosys software solution it would of been simple KNO was listed by the same corporate guys who did DUB , and was wall listing as they no longer need to spend money , the system is fully developed and now it is all about making sales KNO has traded very similar to the first few weeks of DUB , the price of the stock has been soft, around the issue price , but is being accumulated. In the Dub case this took around 4 weeks to elapse which saw the IPO stagger stock tightened up, DUB also had some announcement take place but the
tight register saw the stocks almost double I sense KNO may do the same , at 20.5 there is very little selling and the stock has been steadily accumulated each and every day since the IPO , and the selling volume is small 10000 share amounts which looks like IPO spread selling At 20.5 happy to have this include in the competition for the next few weeks with a target around 30-33c
Poster: firsova (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16006475/single (Mcap: $?m)


FCN - Shell Company [17/09/2015]
FCN Falcon Minerals Ltd Mineral Exploration company looking for IT related Acquisition Market Cap: $2.1m Last Price: 1.2c Currently raising funds at .009 for existing shareholders (closes today 16/9) to raise $580,000. Already has $700,000 in cash and a low burn rate of $46,000 per quarter. Total shares after raising will be only 259,000,000. Well positioned to proceed with an exciting Tech play in the coming months.
Poster: croughy (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16001299/single (Mcap: $2m)


SRT - Shell Company [16/09/2015]
Shell backed by Matthew Walker as he owns around100m shares. Another Cicero Group member joined the board as a Director recently. They have also raised cashed and now have around 550k. The volume has been stunning lately with almost 420-450m shares traded in last between 0.9-1.1c or so along with extensive volume in last couple of weeks. With shells market so hot, I personally think that 1.5-1.7c is quite achievable before the acquisition or if acquisition happens earlier, I would not complain either. Cheers Options for those who know them DYOR please and double check facts and figures
Poster: forrestfield (STT Accuracy: 45.3% - Ranking No.17 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15998477/single (Mcap: $7.1m)


PEH - Environmental technology and consulting company Industry [16/09/2015]
Profitable, new software, global roll out, blue chip customer base, 50% increase in customers in one year. Current customers extending contracts. Plenty of leg work going on behind the scenes to win more contracts. Currently undervalued imho. One major contract and she's away...
Poster: papachango (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15998897/single (Mcap: $17.3m)


CDB - Shell Company [16/09/2015]
Mkt Cap $2m Cash $650k EV sub $1.5m Matt Walkers next shell which he's currently aggressively buying up off market in order to roll the board and set this up as his next shell The lowest EV that a Matt Walker shell trades on is $5m so this one has a long way to go to catch up Market Asleep here target is 6c-7c like BLZ I am not a financial adviser so please DYOR and check the facts and figures for yourself
Poster: strauss (STT Accuracy: 34.8% - Ranking No.26 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15998588/single (Mcap: $1.2m)


MRR - Realestate [15/09/2015]
MC $2m , cash $1m Share Price 14c cashed up shell doing a back door of hello real estate , dubbed ''the uber of real estate'' had strong news coverage this weekend : http://www.news.com.au/finance/real...-estate-industry/story-fndbawks-1227523776828 the IPO will give it a fully diluted market cap of around $14m and is done with a raising to sophis (no consolidation!) of 15c per share Currently trading lower than this at 17c per share but was trading at 14c per share when I had posted this in incorrect format earlier today
Poster: kdicaup (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15989513/single (Mcap: $2.9m)


DUO - Tech - developing a Dropbox similar product [15/09/2015]
Market cap 17m, cash 2m. Reasons of STT: 1. Right sector... trend is your Friend... nothing more nothing less 2. Right acquisition. Ubiquitous, virtualization and secure data transfer between devices... all at one place... all three with large market space. 2.1 Ubiquitous-Dropbox (I have been waiting for something like this to happen at Asx, and finally my own shell did this) has 200m clients, Google Drive around 120m other small players have clients... but how many people use devices? And what is growth ratio? Point is plenty of space in this market alone... plus Google Drive has some security issues... I am not sure about Dropbox... 2.2 Virtualization: this went nuts in 2005 and changed the dynamics of business... plenty of growth opportunities in this market space. However, a tech works well when it offers more than virtualization like DUO. 2.3 data transfer is the hottest thing and interest will increase only. 3. Right management... Peter Wall will stay as aboard member... one thing for sure, he knows how to manage things after acquisition. He proved it with Gal... other management particularly Clay, Jason and the new appointment, all have very impressive credentials. 4. The tech compliments... from mobile devices to cloud virtualization to storage and backup.... 5. It does not protect cyber attacks only but covers human errors and most importantly system glitches... and as a big positive health care (might have a space for a new player) 6. Centralised platforms with 4 pillars. 7. Competitive advantage even on biggies... 8. Some very exciting recent accomplishment... already in presentation 9. The most exciting part is a two pager upcoming catalysts... I think duo has plenty to keep the market on its toes in coming weeks... I personally think a market cap of 40-50m is quite achievable... however, higher end will be defined due to the quality of info released by DUO. Cheers Options for those who know them DYOR please and double check facts and figures
Poster: forrestfield (STT Accuracy: 45.3% - Ranking No.17 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15984491/single (Mcap: $7.6m)


CNW - IT Solution Provider [15/09/2015]
Cirrus Net Hold Ltd I can't accurately work out shares on issue, currently showing 310m, but caps looks around $10m CASH $5m CAP $10m projected revenue looking towards $20m FY16 Big revenue increases MoM and 154% YOY A Fast 50 company also. If they can squeeze 10% EBIT then this looks really cheap down low 2s for a tech co next 12 months. Target same as TA next 4 weeks, 25%+ tops 60%.
Poster: Sector Lead (STT Accuracy: 58.8% - Ranking No.6 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15989807/single (Mcap: $7.4m)


WPI - Shell Company [14/09/2015]
Market cap 3.6m approx. with 300k cash. Another shell which is backed by MW, FR (Cicero Group) and another Cicero member has been appointed as a director. Management along with 1 large holder hold 55-60% of the company. They also participated with 650k plus in recent cap raise. The stock has soaked for days between 1.9-2.3c... since capital raise almost 75-80m shares been soaked between 1.8-2.4c... this means 35m taken by retail holders along with previous hang might well be soaked at these levels hence a move towards 3c is getting imminent. I personally expect a market cap between 8-10m before the acquisition or a share price of 4-5c. Time frame of the acquisition? I think it might take 2-4 months before we actually see the acquisition. But RSL being hot along with other shells I personally think WPI is undervalued... Cheers Options for those who know them DYOR please and double check facts and figures
Poster: forrestfield (STT Accuracy: 45.3% - Ranking No.17 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15973024/single (Mcap: $4.4m)


NTM - Manganese / Gold Explorer [14/09/2015]
Northern Manganese Manganese / Gold Explorer MC-$1.4m SP- 1.2c Formerly known as Groote Resources (GOT), ran into some issues with native title at their Groote Eylandt project a few years back, SP was around 0.86c, and looks like similar issues with their current Blue Mud bay project. Just recently acquired a 51% stake in Redcliffes Gold project for $260K in cash and $13.8m NTM shares . Based on the most recent ANN 10th Sept in relation to Blue Mud bay, I can see this slipping below its 52 week low of 0.008c
Poster: Zandaya (STT Accuracy: 43.8% - Ranking No.18 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15977073/single (Mcap: $0.9m)


CLQ - Scandium, NSW Clean water technology. [14/09/2015]
CLQ Cap $84m Cash $11m approx CLQ is developing the world class Scandium deposit at Syerston, NSW. It will be the worlds first primary source of scandium. Water treatment division through patented technology to remove particles in water Agreement in Place with SIDRI, the Chinese three gorges dam committee for water treatment CLQ has just completed a placement at 18c and has shown late week strength "That Hansel is so hot right now"
Poster: speckledjim1 (STT Accuracy: 36.7% - Ranking No.23 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15980274/single (Mcap: $90.3m)


AJQ - Oil nad Gas in Qld and NT [14/09/2015]
NT and QLD gas and oil play and soon to be producer with assets bought from Origin in QLD (and looking to capitalise on the North East gas pipeline). MC - $38m Shares - 305m (no options to worry about) Cash + marketable securities - $13m Catalyst for the entry is a sale by AJQ (farm in deal) of some NT tenements to American Energy which significantly includes the issue of 33.7m AJQ shares to them at 20c, which values AJQ at $67m. Also of note is that this is in the context of a take over bid by Westside for AJQ that values them at $36.6m. The board rejects Westside's bid and supports the American Energy transaction which is subject only to shareholder approval and also gives them a huge free carry for first phase development and represents a massive vote of support in the quality of AJQs tenements and projects. I think the SP will naturally (and also with competing bid tension) move towards 20c with some risk premium being built in for shareholder approval. cheers
Poster: Ryphil (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15980668/single (Mcap: $38.1m)







Weekly Technical Analysis Prospects

KKL - Cyber Security and Asset Tracking [21/09/2015]
First leg basing was done at 0.6c avg before a move up to 1.2c or a doubling Second leg basing was 0.8c before again doubling up to 1.6c/1.7c Current basing is at 1c so we should see a doubling up to 2c on next leg up I think as with the previous 2 moves stock will await news but with so much news flow on the horizon it could come any day [?IMG] I am not a financial adviser so please DYOR and check the facts and figures for yourself
Poster: strauss (STT Accuracy: 34.8% - Ranking No.26 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16020600/single (Mcap: $10.2m)


BUX - Exploration Nickel (near SIR) [21/09/2015]
MC- $12.07 mill SP – 0.13 TA Bouncing of 76.4% fib retrace line from overall rise (0.070 – 0.325) Hammer on increased volume should signal turn around to positive ground. May try to close gap to 0.115, but I doubt it. CHART BUX.png
Poster: Trevor12 (STT Accuracy: 33.8% - Ranking No.27 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/16019246/single (Mcap: $10.1m)


SRT - Shell Company [16/09/2015]
New name STAR STRIKER - started trading today (ex RSL) Cap $7m getting in the tip after a close on 1.1c. reached 1.3c Smoke, smoke and more smoke...no fundamentals. Total smoke. Picking test of 1.5c (recent spike) next 4 weeks without acq news. I'll leave fundamentals to FF as there are none
Poster: Sector Lead (STT Accuracy: 58.8% - Ranking No.6 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15997791/single (Mcap: $7.1m)


SPI - Geospatial tech [16/09/2015]
Current SP 6.7c MC 45.27 mill 368million shares trading range 5.5c -9.1c Has currently got evaluation agreements with a number of Australian and international co.Price has moved above mmas may have positive news due
Poster: wa waverider (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15997225/single (Mcap: $4.2m)


LNG - Liquified Gas [16/09/2015]
LNG (52 week high $5; low $1.60) Currently: $1.67 Cash: $180m Market cap: $835m I expect LNG to recover shortly based on, 1. American shareholders including renowned Baupost hold collectively almost 50% shares. 2. Recent capital raising $4.35 3. Baupost average cost base $2.14 4. LNG smashed 66% over last 4 months. 5. Fundamentals didn't change much.
Poster: accaeric (STT Accuracy: 37% - Ranking No.22 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15994387/single (Mcap: $853.4m)


DUO - Tech - developing a Dropbox similar product [16/09/2015]
Current Market Cap - 7 Million, Market Cap post Zyber Acq - 15.4 Million Cash - 2.204 Million (as of 30/6/15 qtrly plus $1 Mil from placement on 21/7/15) Volume decreasing and share price basing tells me the bottom is either in or very close.... Please see @forrestfield - FA entry also if looking at this company. DUO.png [email protected] I'm only human & my posts are IMO & please DYOR. Profit is profit!
Poster: globe_trader (STT Accuracy: 54.5% - Ranking No.8 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15998433/single (Mcap: $7.6m)


CAV - Base etals Explorer [16/09/2015]
(52 week 4c high 1c low ) Carnavale Resources Limited (ASX: CAV) is an Australian based junior explorer concentrating activities on the Red Hills Project in eastern Nevada. current SP - 1.2c Marketcap-3mill Cash 1.2mill june (est. 800k end of Sept qtr) Both CAV current projects are located in highly prospective areas – Red Hills, prospective for precious and base metals is located on the world class Carlin Gold Trend in the Basin and Range Province, and is marked by historically mined poly-metallic shear-hosted mineralisation with an overprint of Carlin style surface geochemistry that is yet to be tested. -Currently drilling on two shear-hosted poly-metallic targets with a good chance of returning impressive grades, and of hosting a significant resource. (Cu, Pb, Zn, Ag, Au) -Analytical results of the first hole, 15RHD01, have now been received with no significant results obtained. Results for the remaining two holes 15RHD02 and 15RHD03 remain pending. (on this news CAV fell some 50% on low volume) -Only 4 of 5 results to come ,Additional drill holes are currently being considered to test alternative structural orientations or potential strong plunging shoot controls -Mgmt. / directors hold 18% -187 million 3c unlisted options on issue = 5.6mill
Poster: Sharetrader78 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15996288/single (Mcap: $3.1m)


OCC - Bio-therapeutics [15/09/2015]
OCC (Orthocell Ltd) Bio-therapeutic company based in WA Market Cap: $28.5M Last Price: 53c Share price has been on a run and retrace. The price is currently around a previous level of resistance at 52c. Volume has been decreasing consistently and is now at lows. A new uptrend may start. 2015-09-14 OCC Daily Chart - Retrace.png
Poster: Ibza (STT Accuracy: 32.2% - Ranking No.29 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15991649/single (Mcap: $53.6m)


CVT - Data Encyption [15/09/2015]
CVT (Covata Limited) Technology company - their platform provides encryption of data at the data source and manages security keys Market Cap: $113M Last Price: 28.5c There seems to be a support and resistance line on the chart at the moment, as shown in the chart below. The share price is currently at the support line. It may travel upwards to the resistance line over the next few weeks. 2015-09-14 CVT Daily Chart - Support and Resistance.png
Poster: Ibza (STT Accuracy: 32.2% - Ranking No.29 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15991559/single (Mcap: $118.3m)


CNW - IT Solution Provider [15/09/2015]
Cirrus Net Hold Ltd SP 2.2c IT solutions provider backdoored into old coal miner Steep retrace off 3c placement and 3.9c recent high. Have been watching for a test of support at 1.9c to enter but today am tipping early as looks like support is forming around 2-2.2c Can see this having a bounce to around high 2s (25% +) over next 4 weeks...potential around 3.6c tops, around 60% gains.
Poster: Sector Lead (STT Accuracy: 58.8% - Ranking No.6 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15989774/single (Mcap: $7.4m)


ANP - Biotech [15/09/2015]
ANP (Antisense Therapeutics Ltd) Bio-pharmaceutical drug discovery and development company. Market Cap: $13.4M Last Price: 8.2c Share price has been travelling in a falling wedge. The chart shows that the price is currently at the apex of the wedge and is starting to break out. Volume has been decreasing consistently. Volume traded is currently at lows. 2015-09-14 ANP Daily Chart - Falling Wedge.png
Poster: Ibza (STT Accuracy: 32.2% - Ranking No.29 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15991087/single (Mcap: $13.9m)


AHZ - Health Care [15/09/2015]
Business:- Healthcare MC- $120.2 mill SP – 0.069 TA Been ranging between 0.066 – 0.07 for past 2 weeks. Has established a support line at 0.066 which is the 0.764% fib retrace line of rise from 0.057 – 0.098. Today broke upper range, but closed within range. Increased volume today. RSI also on increase. Setting up for a nice rise. CHART – AHZ.png Cheers Trevor12 17
Poster: Trevor12 (STT Accuracy: 33.8% - Ranking No.27 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15991232/single (Mcap: $121.9m)


TON - Graphite Explorer [14/09/2015]
Business:- Graphite MC- $100 mill Cash – $8million as at 30.6.2015 SP – 0.165 TA Breakout of channel on graphene news. Recent double bottom. CHART – TON 11.9.png
Poster: Trevor12 (STT Accuracy: 33.8% - Ranking No.27 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15979544/single (Mcap: $97.9m)


MOZ - Graphite miner with main prospects in Tanzania & Mozambique plus Coal in Qld [14/09/2015]
Mozambi Resources - Australian Graphite miner with main prospects in Tanzania & Mozambique plus Coal in Qld. MC - $6.027m Shares on issue - 278m Qtrly (expected) cash burn - $550k Options - 153m @ 0.02 exp Dec 2017 Top 20 - apparently hold 72% MOZ.gif
Poster: Wazza3006 (STT Accuracy: 22.9% - Ranking No.32 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/15973019/single (Mcap: $11.3m)