short term trading week starting - 21st apr

Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 21st Apr 2014 (No. 111)
Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).

Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!



Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects
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CXO - Silver in NT,

21/04/2014

shares on issue 106,800,740 cash $1.7MMC $5.1M Share price 5c I think that CXO must be very close to being ready to drill their Bluey's and Inkheart prospects at their Albarta Project in the NT. Given the extremely high silver in soil geochem results for both prospects I am confident that they should be able to come with some very high grade assays for silver akin to what IVR found in their initial drilling at their Paris Prospect. Furthermore with the huge difference between the two companies respective MC's I think we should see CXO achieve at least an increase of 25% in their SP whilst drilling is underway. If they can emulate the grades of IVR then I expect we will see gains of at least 100% in their SP and MC
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 43.8% - Ranking No.10 )
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(Mcap:$5.1m)

KNL - Graphite and nickel projects in Tanzania.,

16/04/2014

Mcap ~$19m Shares on Offer ~105mGraphite is regarded as a critical material for future global industrial growth, destined for industrial and technology applications including nuclear reactors, lithium-ion battery manufacturing and a source of graphene. In comparison to some of the other runners in the sector this graphite play still has some catching up to do imo. Main price drivers for KNL in the short term are the expected completion of a fully funded drilling program and an announcement regarding possible JV - see below. The Company’s primary focus is its 100%-owned Epanko deposit, located within the Mahenge Graphite Project. Epanko currently has an Inferred Mineral Resource Estimate of 14.9Mt, grading 10.5% TGC, for 1.56Mt of contained graphite, defined in accordance with the JORC Code. This initial estimate only covers 20% of the project area. Metallurgy has found Epanko graphite to be large flake & expandable in nature.
Poster: Pac23 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$14.9m)

PDY - Iron Ore in WA midwest,

15/04/2014

Current SP of 3.3c and Market Cap of $111m.The story; PDY holds the intellectual property rights for developing the Oakajee port near Geraldton in WA. It is envisaged that the port will export approximately 40mt of iron ore per year, that being magnetite concentrate or DSO product. The stock is currently in trading halt with the identity of equity funding partners for the port and rail to be released by PDY to the ASX tomorrow (Tuesday 15th April).
Poster: Rainmakerfaker (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$109.5m)

SPZ - Smart Parking ,

15/04/2014

Business - the future of smart connected car parking in high population areas. Business in England, ME, Australia, NZ, and Europe (Spain and The Netherlands) Cash recently raised $12.5m – add that to this pic, less spending since Dec. low cost income. At the bottom of this post is a roughie idea of how the tech. works - previously posted. Again - note that Chris Morris AND Penelope Maclagan - his sister are heavily investing in this company -- the ONLY time they have invested since being together as a multi billion corporation team who built CPU - never underestimate a winning team - especially when the win is a SP that went from cents to over $12 - you reckon they haven't got a bit of experience?
Poster: Pintohoo (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$33.3m)

ICG - Copper Gold in Chile/Australia,

15/04/2014

Currently major projects in Chile and western Australia Chile copper and gold porphyry project in progress. Drilling starting next week. Majors showing interest in project through confidential approaches. Latest project in western Australia dingo range nickel project Sampling and drilling in April or May.
Poster: Forrestfield (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$9.1m)

CTP - Oli and Gas in Australia,

14/04/2014

Cash $12.5m and generating approx $25k per day from Oil sales. Company has been very active of late with the switching on production of Surprise west oil well (Flowing well above the forecast 400 BOPD), Acquisition of a producing gas field and one about to go into production and associated pipeline infrastructure from Magellan. The planned drilling of Surprise East which is expected to to be multiple times (5x?) the size of Surprise west. The drilling of 4 unconventional wells due to start in 6 weeks by JV Partner Total ...and last but not least going into a "trading halt" today with the possible success of the MT Kitty well . IF Mt kitty is a success it could be huge with a seismic structure "...The structure at Mount Kitty, if filled to spill, would cover an area of 229 km2 and would host nearly 3 Tcf of gas resource-in-place..." Some of it is touted to be the very valuable Helium (Maybe) .. That is "IF" its a success we will find out on Tuesday.
Poster: Freehold© (STT Accuracy: 36.4% - Ranking No.14 )
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(Mcap:$163.9m)

MNC - Copper Chile,

14/04/2014

Total Mineral Resource 1.419 billion tonnes at 0.47% copper and 0.022% moly. Activities for the quarter ending 31 December 2013 largely focused on advancing the Mollacas Copper Leach Project, and preparatory work for the planned Pre-Feasibility Study at Los Calatos. Mollacas Project - Chile: Results from the column leach testwork recently completed by SGS (Chile), and supervised by an independent expert, concluded the following: • A recovery rate of approximately 85% of the average “sequential” assayed copper grade for the deposit should be attained; • The recovery rate for the supergene ore could be as high as 90%;Los Calatos Project – Peru: On 12 August 2013, the Company announced the results of further optimisation work undertaken by RungePincockMinarco at its 100% owned Los Calatos Project, the key results of which are summarised as follows: • Life of Mine of 34-years; • Comprises an open pit and underground block cave operation; • Total tonnes treated over Life of Mine of 811Mt at 0.47% copper and 0.03 % molybdenum; Open pit with a life of 7-years and underground operation with a life of 24-years at a mining and processing rate of 21.9 million tonnes per year. Cash operating costs of US$1.12/lb Cu inclusive of by-product credits. Net assets $209 million$8 million cash Market cap $38 million EV $30 million for NTA of $201 million
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.3% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$38.5m)

ALY - Gold in WA,

14/04/2014

The Bryah Basin Project comprises a 630km2 ground package, located 130km NE of Meekatharra, Western Australia. The Project is located along strike and west of Sandfire Resources’ DeGrussa copper-gold mine and southeast of Horseshoe Metals’ Horseshoe Lights copper-gold project, and adjacent to Peak Hill where about 1Moz of gold has been mined from several deposits. The Project currently has Indicated Resources of 300,000oz gold (4.7Mt @ 2.0g/t gold) at Hermes and Wilgeena. Alchemy holds 100% in the majority of the landholding with the exception of several tenements held in joint-venture with Jackson Minerals Pty Ltd (20%), a subsidiary of Fe Ltd. Currently drilling in bryah basin near sandfire last holes ended in very high grade gold mineralisation small market cap of $6 million
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.3% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$4.2m)

BOA - IOCG explorer Fraser Range WA,

11/04/2014

Boadicea Resources is one of many Australian explorers on the ASX that has fallen out of favour in a market not to keen on holding on to Aussie listed explorers for more than 20 minutes at a time .BOA is situated 5 km to the North east of the world class Bollinger and Nova nickel discoveries owned by Sirius resources .Most investors still prepared to buy and hold Aussie explorers would realize SIR has appreciated in value by 200-300 times since the Nova discovery was proven up BOA will have results on their initial drilling of their project out to the market in 2-3 weeks , the BOA market cap has 23 million shares tradeable at tonight's close of 20c is now about $5 million . A few More might be issued dependant on how many options are exercised 20c on the March 2014 series .BOA don't spend money ,they were actually cash flow positive last quarter and hold about $3 million in cash .The quarterly released tonight certainly was short as follows :Symons Hill – Fraser Range, WA ? Drilling Program of Work (POW) app
roved by Department of Mines & Petroleum. ? Mark Creasy to sell 30% of adjoining Nova Licence to Sirius Resources for approximately $188 million in cash and shares. ? Drilling commenced on 18 March 2014 and has recently been completed. ? Results of the drilling are expected late April 2014Ends As far as I am concerned despite a really poor market for explorers and a board that is not a promoter of any kind , any sign of even half reasonable results out later this month could see the market cap of $5 million rise in multiples not cents Long at 20c for me looking to take out the top position 2 months in a row Freehold .I hold BOA and did buy some more shares just below 20c recently but did not elect to exercise my march 20c options as I am happy to see less shares on issue .
Poster: Firsova (STT Accuracy: 30.4% - Ranking No.17 )
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(Mcap:$4.6m)

CSS - Aquaculture in S.Aust,

10/04/2014

Company’s main activities include the propagation of Kingfish, producing fingerlings for sale and grow out; the grow out of Kingfish for sale; and Southern Bluefin Tuna research and development. Should benefit from free trade agreements with Japan recently? and is showing continued progress with fingerlings with reports due soon hopefully! Has a reasonable cash balance sheet and income hopefully growing with the fish size. Technically looks to be forming a higher low now in the charts with a 52 week high of 0.077 Who knows with this market currently but a bit of long term pressure could come on the price as investors sift through the free trade agreements and where value can be found . This one i think should benefit long term and with blue fin tuna tariffs gone its in a box seat if its successful sometime in the future breeding them . Currently is the largest king fish producer in the world?
Poster: Valen1828 (STT Accuracy: 40% - Ranking No.12 )
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(Mcap:$59.7m)

ITT - Cloud based Recruitment Software ,

10/04/2014

Resource exploration company that has just entered an exclusive option agreement to acquire 100% of the issued capital of 1-Page, which is a USA online cloud-base recruitment system (yes that is some change of business direction). Lots of buying today without any real increase in SP, but the deal appears to have potential. Deal will be paid for by issuing 50,000,000 post-consolidation ITT shares.
Poster: Srb123 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$3.1m)

MZI - Mineral Sands in WA and Twiw islands,

10/04/2014

We could see a rise for MZI after it comes out of Trading Halt. One of my dog stocks that I've held for a while. Looked promising at the back end of 2012 but management struggled to get financing over the line and over-promised and under-delivered. In the TH announcement today, it mentioned 'completion' of Financing. If a favourable deal has been secured, the Keysbrook Project is de-risked.
Poster: Dlm696 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$27.2m)

SGQ - Nickel/copper sulphides,

8/04/2014

79.48m shares on issue ,current cash about $800k. I think we must be due news soon as to a start of their next drill campaign targeting exceptional and strong conductors(see announcements March 13 and February 24)St George have also been conducting a property wide EM survey looking to identify further conductors. Their head geologist is Tim Hronsky who is also an executive director and I think the brother of Jon Hronsky who recently joined the borad of CZI and was formerly BHP's principal nickel sulphide consultant. St George hold a commanding ground position in the Stella Range-Minigwal area. Below are a couple of maps showing the tenement positions in the area. A start to drilling in the area should raise interest and awareness of the whole area and any success by St George should really rub off on another recent pick of mine RVR as well who hold 2 blocks southeast along the main Stella Range Fault system. See map in Link
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 43.8% - Ranking No.10 )
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(Mcap:$9.5m)

CTR - Oil explorer/producer in Guatemala ,

7/04/2014

I already have an FA tip, but I'm adding extra info it. Aztam-5 well is extremely close (24 hours away according to latest Ann) from hitting the first targeted oil zone. There is also a deadline of approx four weeks to spud the well at 4100ft. Four zones are being targeted, and oil in the background has risen from 1% to 15%. The well will also be multi-zone tested. There has also been a brokers report suggesting a price target of anywhere between 4.6-15c.
Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 28% - Ranking No.18 )
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(Mcap:$16.7m)

IDZ - Indoor Skydive,

7/04/2014

MC $47mCash $8m. IDZ have just officially opened the doors to their world class wind tunnel facility in Penrith. These wind tunnels generate revenue in the order of $1500-2500 per hour and can be operational 7 days a week. There are successful skyventure facilities across the globe catering for specialist skydiver needs and the general public, along with the new emerging sport of tunnel flying, which opens up the art of "bodyflying" to a wider base. Generally speaking, bookings need to be made many months in advance to secure tunnel time at any of these facilities.
Poster: Mowibble© (STT Accuracy: 68.8% - Ranking No.1 )
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(Mcap:$47.4m)

AUQ - Base metals
Saudi Arabia and Oman
,

7/04/2014

March saw announcement of the confirmation of the JV HoA . ALARA came away with 60% and the market reacted accordingly with a spike to 11c from 6.9c pre announcement TH. SP has steadied between nine and ten cents and supply seems to have dried up. Catalyst for the next big bump IMO will be imminent further announcement that formal agreement has been inked. This will please brokers and offshore investors alike. Expect to see 12c ++..... possibly much higher.
Poster: Deltatrader (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$24.2m)

SOC - Gold explorer NSW,

7/04/2014

MC $14 Mill SP 8.2 centsDebt ~1 mill [convertible notes] Currently doing a cap raise. In the last few days SOC has announced they are IPOing the Mt Adrah asset [to fund further drilling]. SOC's percentage will drop from 72% to either 61% or 57% depending on the amount raised. The valuation of Mt Adrah is set very low [about 11 mill] so I do not see them having trouble getting the IPO away. Current shareholders have a priority for $2000 worth @20 cents [record date 10 April]The sentiment on the HC SOC page is now decidedly sour. I am definitely feeling the odd man out. I am convinced this is a goer.... but I do have to admit I have fallen in love with the stock. It is a gamble that these particular results will surprise but the chance is there. Mt Adrah is consistently being promoted by management as potentially a major gold discovery .... they have not budged one bit about that. I believe them. Apart from Mt Adrah the company holds 3 other good prospects + it has an 80% ownership of another ASX listed Co [P
MR]
Poster: Dazedandconfused (STT Accuracy: 33.3% - Ranking No.16 )
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(Mcap:$10.7m)

POZ - Multi-commodity in NT and WA,

7/04/2014

C: $2.7mCash: $2mEV: $700KFour main projects:1. Phosphate: Highland Plains NT JORC inferred resource of 55m tonnes of phosphate rock with Scoping Study for 3m tonnes pa grossing $100pt (current price).2. Gold: Tuckanarra in Central Murchison, WA. Maiden indicated and inferred JORC resources of 2.02m tonnes at a grade of 1.55g/t Au for 100,700 ounces of gold. Pit design underway. Permitting imminent.3. Iron ore: Nicholson iron/manganese project, NT. Large area of 1300km with sample grades to 63.7pc Fe. JV option agreement with Jimpec Pty Ltd. POZ 20pc free carried.4. Copper/Nickel/PGM: Musgrave, WA. Farm-in with Anglo American (MC $A23b) for 30pc free carried. Area covers 619km some 30km north of Cassini Resources' Nebo Babel project just acquired from BHP Billiton. Cassini plans a Musgrave mining hub. CZI newsflow to benefit POZ.
Poster: Cadence1 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$2.3m)

CCZ - Copper Chile,

3/04/2014

Early days and micro capped porphyry play in Chile. First drill holes appear to be finding the right geology;' Consideration of the large extent of the alteration and occurrence of copper and gold in the drill core, and the size of the geophysical anomaly (Figure 2) has led to the interpretation that the intercepts are peripheral to an important porphyry copper occurrence. This interpretation is consistent with the presence of Mesozoic age porphyry copper deposits in the Coastal Ranges, many of which overprint IOCG assemblages, such as Inca de Oro and Carmen, north of Copiapo.' Drilling holes 3 - 6 at present.
Poster: Bomber78 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$1.7m)

RTD - Energy Conventional and unconventional,

1/04/2014

Focused on the acquisition and development of energy assets globally. Targeting both conventional and unconvential oil and gas, the company aims to identify new opportunities within mature provinces that have established infrastructure and sophisticated investment environments. Upcomming newsflow:3D seismic SurveyCommenced Feb of 2014 completed March of 2014 (according to preso) this states:- Completed on time and on budget- First Arctic program a success- Processing underway- Data processed and interpreted Q2 2014North Slope Alaska: Key Project Highlights:- Rampart Energy to earn into 38,000 net acres of the highly prospective Shublik/Kingak/Hue River shales with further scope for future dealings- Region hosts the largest oil field in North America- Significant upside potential for both shale oil and conventional oil prospectivity- Substantial shale oil play surrounded by Major and Supermajor companies- Extremely low sovereign risk- Excellent surrounding infrastructure- Well established industry skills base, stakeholder and access protocols- Well costs comparable to unconventional in Australia, But with huge conventional potential AND the 85% rebate.
Poster: Samwiise (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$13.1m)

RVR - Shell Company Nickel Copper ?,

1/04/2014

MC $ $485k cash $200ksmall junior with ground adjacent to SGQ in Stella Range. Previously has suffered because of the colourful reputation of it's previous board. In the last week we have seen that IRM who held 69% of shares on issue sell their holding offmarket. Earlier this evening an announcement of appointment of new directors :Erling Sorenson (ex Nystar) Donald GarnerPaul HartSeems that some group has picked up this as a shell and a very attractive shell it is.I will be watching closely for new substantial holder notices to emerge to see who now holds IRM's 69% of RVR. Worth checking the background of Erling Sorensen. I have a feeling big things are in store for this junior. It will be interesting to see what projects the new owners bring along with them. Given Erling Sorensen's past association with Nystar I reckon something in the zinc sphere might be likely. Below is a map showing their ground holding in the Stella Range
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 43.8% - Ranking No.10 )
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(Mcap:$1.2m)

BLT - Biotech/pharma.,

1/04/2014

Owns the IP for ddRNAi. Gene silencing technology promising cures for genetic diseases, viruses and various cancers with a single treatment. The "first in man" P1/2 trial of this unique process is about to begin. First patient should be dosed this week after a three week delay. A very important vote is due next week to complete a $30m funding opportunity. The stock has been volatile of late and a buying opportunity appears to exist as weak hands give way. A successful vote and a first dosing announcement should see the share price consolidate and stabilise. The extra money coming in will greatly accelerate the pre-clinical work being done on many fronts. This company is headed for the billion dollar brigade and is worth plenty of DD. Looking for a solid April with targets above two dollars as the announcements flow. Also looking forward to US broker support as this new money is supported by the well to do US investment house, RA Capital.
Poster: J8 (STT Accuracy: 44.9% - Ranking No.8 )
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(Mcap:$101.4m)

Weekly Technical Analysis Prospects
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SPZ - Smart Parking ,

15/04/2014

Now - as posted earlier today ----------- if you believe that stocks have a personality and repeat patterns - then this is a winner - MACD weekly of SPZ. How more perfect a breakout for it ------and, it's habit is to break up a week or so before the MACD crosses the line ----------- that makes it now on the way -on the way to about 35 if history is a guide - certainly 28.
Poster: Pintohoo (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$33.3m)

CTP - Oli and Gas in Australia,

14/04/2014

Cash $12.5m and generating approx $25k per day from Oil sales. The Stock has developed a very strong base over the last several months at around the 36-40c mark then broke up into a Uptrend on the Start of production and the Acquisition.. That strong uptrend was broken to the downside recently possible by a single trader dumping and triggering stops. The stock is now poised to re-enter that uptrend and possible even break out the top if it depending of FA. Personally I think it should never have dropped out of it.
Poster: Freehold© (STT Accuracy: 36.4% - Ranking No.14 )
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(Mcap:$163.9m)

MNC - Copper Chile,

14/04/2014

Stock has just touched double bottom, retrace on low volume, corresponds with various fib levels from various recent highs
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.3% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$38.5m)

ALY - Gold in WA,

14/04/2014

Formed solid low at 2.1clow volume retrace from 12c in December obv increasing after drilling commencement announced
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.3% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$4.2m)

CTR - Oil explorer/producer in Guatemala ,

7/04/2014

After having a base near 1-1.1c in mid feb, the sp has been rising with volume supporting it. Currently at 1.6c, the region is the pivot for an attempt at 2c. Should positive news come from the company, 3c, 3.9, 4.6 and 5 are resistance zones.
Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 28% - Ranking No.18 )
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(Mcap:$16.7m)

IDZ - Indoor Skydive,

7/04/2014

MC $47mCash $8mindoor skyventure (windtunnel facility in Penrith).Technically IDZ has just pulled back to support price on its LT trendline. I would anticipate a bit of a buzz over the coming weeks as the facility goes operational and live. Not a lot of volume, but a consistent and well defined trend.
Poster: Mowibble© (STT Accuracy: 68.8% - Ranking No.1 )
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(Mcap:$47.4m)

POZ - Multi-commodity in NT and WA,

7/04/2014

POZ's share price has climbed 38.3pc in two days in response to CZI's Musgrave deal announcement but is still 70pc below its 52 week high. With an EV of just $700K a re-rate may be imminent.
Poster: Cadence1 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$2.3m)

PBT - Biotech,

3/04/2014

I think probably everyone noticed PBT announced a poor trial results yesterday, and sp smashed by 75%.Today, it shed another 9%. It meets what normally market reacts to a bad news, two consecutive drops. Then big bounce ahead? Similar situations happened:1). PXS Dropped 75% first day, Dropped 7% second day, Bounced 29.5% third day, Bounced another 51% fourth day.30 May 2011 1.02 1.39 0.98 1.17 15,687,60027 May 2011 0.72 0.96 0.72 0.92 19,895,100 26 May 2011 0.81 0.85 0.71 0.71 14,181,200 25 May 2011 0.99 0.99 0.76 0.76 25,034,500 2. QRX In June 2012, announced the issue of Complete Response Letter. Dropped 70%,Bounced 84% within 9 days.
Poster: Accaeric (STT Accuracy: 50% - Ranking No.5 )
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(Mcap:$77.5m)

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Links to Previous Weeks Lists

No.110: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 14th Apr) - Click HERE

No.109: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 7th Apr) - Click HERE

No.108: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 31st Mar) - Click HERE

No.107: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 24th Mar) - Click HERE