Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 23rd Nov 2015 (No. 194)
Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).
Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided by the Hotcopper posters that have contributed leads/tips to the Short Term Trading Competitions below as I do not have the time, nor resources to research and verify the information that has been provided by them. Best of Luck.!
Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects
TV2 - Shell Company [23/11/2015]
Galicia Energy Corporation (ASX: GAL), a Peter Wall shell, is estimated to complete its acquisition of TV2U International Limited on 30 November 2015 and is schedule for Re-quotation on ASX under the proposed ASX code of TV2 on 8 December 2015. “TV2U’s main business model involves: (a) building content hubs that can offer next generation TV experiences on all screens including phones, tablets, laptops and TVs; and (b) providing a managed service to operators who acquire (either outright or in partnership with TV2U) the content hubs so that they can provide premium TV grade live and video on demand (VOD) services to end users.” Prospectus 10/11/2015? From the Prospectus: “For a public offer of 200,000,000 New Shares at an issue price of $0.02 per New Share to raise a minimum of $4,000,000, with the ability to accept oversubscriptions of up to a further 300,000,000 New Shares at an issue price of $0.02 per New Share to raise up to a maximum of $10,000,000 (the Public Offer). This Prospectus also contains an offer of up to 130,000,000 New Shares and 50,000,000 Options (exercisable at $0.03 each on or before 31 December 2018) to the holders of Convertible Notes on conversion of the outstanding balance of their Convertible Notes (the Convertible Note Offer). The Public Offer is scheduled to close at 5.00pm (WST) on 23 November 2015 unless extended or withdrawn. Applications must be received before that time to be valid.” Prospectus 10/11/2015? As at the date of this Prospectus, the Company has 381,123,662 Shares and 3,941,181 Options on issue. My approximate estimate of the Market Capitalisation, based on a share price of $0.02 with minimum raise is 11.5 million; with a maximum raise is 17.5 million. Note the last close, which was prior to a 2:1 consolidation, had a share price of $0.012. Reasons for tip: I am tipping this so early because I thought some of you may wish to take advantage of the Public Offer that closes imminently. TV2U looks like it has the potential to generate real excitement in the market.
MC: $54.14m Shares: 200.55m Cash: $5.114 m Blackham Resources Limited is a near term gold producer based in Western Australia. BLK has a 4.7 million ounce gold resource with a further 780 km2 exploration tenement package which has historically produced over 4 million ounces. Focus is on the Matilda Gold Project with an expansion to the project including a combined resource of 44mt @ 3.3g/t for 4.7 Moz gold. Milan Jerkovic has been appointed as the new chairman as the company moves from explorer to producer. Polo Resouces has also agreed to take 10m shares for a total cash injection of $2.1 m indicating that a resource investment company has significant confidence in the resource and the transition to producer in the near term.
POP - Online Legal Content distribution channel [20/11/2015]
Market cap - 5mil Assets - one web asset, but effectively a shell Been watching this one for a few weeks now ever since the 700k raising on 22/10 and the new appointments of Hugh Robertson and Tony Robinson onto the board. I could be calling it a bit early, and that's the issue with this competition, you have to call it and be right within the next four weeks! But I think due to proximity to Christmas, the recent interest as shown by recent SP and volume movement (of which I am partially to blame...) I think now is the time to get on board... Hugh had a few stunners in recent months with ONC and HUB both going balistic, and Tony is another supernova of the finance industry. I could only suspect that the combination of the two means that some sort of finance'ish asset is going to be backed into this shell that has been a dog for so long. Given prior experience of both of these new directors, and their current affiliated board positions (and thus conflict of interests), and what is popular at the moment (disruptive tech), you could roughly imagine what could it could be... my money is on some sort of payment platform or credit related thing like nimble or something along those lines... My blessings in life... the S*R Lifechanging Portfolio: SFR, SYR, SIR - which * is next?
SP - 6.5c Market Cap - 10 mil Net asset - 14 mil Recent share price movement and director buying has got me a bit curious. Facts: 1. Contracted cash flow out to 2032 of around 50M, NPV it, time value erodes say half over 15 years, so NPV = 25M with reliable counterparty - i.e. Origin 2. Mr Trevor Stoney, director just bought $1m, 10m units at 10c, SP is 6.5c! Analysis: 3. Carbon farming is just a bad business at the moment due to the uncertainty around pricing and just the political environment in general 4. As a result of (3), I highly doubt the Mr Stoney's buy was due simply to the value play listed in (1). There has to be more to the story... 5. $1m is a big parcel. Not sure how wealthy this guy is but you don't buy at such a premium to market unless you're seriously backing yourself or trying to signal the market. 4. The company's website provide some clues as to what may be happening: 4(a) Mr Trevor's profile: "Mr Stoney brings cumulative knowledge, acumen and relationships from more than 50 years in agribusiness. From 1962 until a sale in 2009, he managed numerous family owned mixed farming enterprises across the Western Australian and Victorian agricultural zones. Mr Stoney is also a founding director of an innovative renewable energy business based in Perth, Western Australia and continues to have an active interest in agriculture via his two sons.
AUQ - Gold and Base metals in Saudi Arab and Oman [20/11/2015]
MC - $7.1m Cash - ~500k before prospectus @ 1c ($2.48mil) SOI - 474mil AUQ legal proceedings hearing occured on the 17th (18th our time). Claimant (Manajaem) Chairman coincidentally purchased $295k shortfall shares in AUQ, leading me to believe that AUQ will win in court. Strong newsflow to follow in that case; Mining Licence, JV developments and feasibility study in Oman. Salty. Look left, structure leaves clues.
Market Cap $10m, Cash $2.3m. Currently drilling Joshua porphyry in Chille Why would you do all the things listed below if you had not found something? Hole 1 was completed to a depth of 684m versus originally planned 500m. Samples have been delivered to the laboratory and results are pending. ? Hole 2 has commenced and is being drilled to a depth of 600m versus originally planned 500m. ? A second diamond drill rig arrived and commenced drilling hole 3 in October to expedite the drilling program and will remain for the rest of the drilling campaign. ? Further drilling will extend along strike towards the Carmelita Mine Zone where copper enrichment was identified by Helix earlier this year. Today anned drilling followup holes at collerina projest in the cobar district A Down Hole EM survey will commence this week to follow up the significant massive sulphide intersection of 12m @ 5% Cu and 2.1% Zn1 in the main high grade zone. ? A maiden Diamond Drilling program will also commence in the last week of November. Blanco Y Negro Deposit (ByN): ? An updated Resource2 estimate was completed for the ByN deposit. The results were: Indicated: 0.8Mt @ 1.5% Cu, 0.5g/t Au for 12,000t Cu and 12,000oz Au Inferred: 0.7Mt @1.3% Cu, 0.6g/t Au for 8,000t Cu and 12,000oz Au Total Resource: 1.5Mt @ 1.4% Cu, 0.5 g/t Au for 20,000t Cu and 24,000oz Au Currently accessing offers to purchase Blanko Y Negro TOO much going on to stay down for my money.
worth keeping an eye... successful admission on asx after name change and capital raise... brick laying robot.. It has offered two trades in the past and I think another one is ready... Interest received from 50 plus countries in their technolog along with a billion dollar company as a seed investor.. so far 7m spent to prove the technology and patent register in 7 countries as well... small market cap (13m) with reasonable cash (3.5m approx)... some large buy orders today... seems like it's ready to make a move... Options for those who know them DYOR please and double check facts and figures
Some time this quarter (next 6 weeks) the results of the venous ulcer trials will be released. Reasonable expectation that they will be positive. What was TIS marketcap on a treatment for that alone. Something like 100m or twice AVH without the burns, vitiligo, and cosmetic uses of AVH. No issue with CE approval either. Today announced they had patents till 2033. Should also announce in Dec the completion of enrollment in the FDA burns trial. I am getting the tip in early on the basis there will be a run up as the results approach (no evidence of that currently) or the results will be released within the next month and will result in a spike. Currently trading around 2.1c ( 17.5%) below recent highs. has been a major holder selling down. very low volumes at current levels. You don't lead by pointing ... You lead by going to that place and making a case. kesey
MW shell with a market cap of 5.5m at 2.2c and 1.3m cash approx. EV of 4m... the directors will be getting 5m shares each by paying 100k after AGM on 24th November. capital has recently been raised at 2c providing a solid base. on top of this, its practically trading at the same value as VTX early this year. so practically no value is being given this shell which is better than VTX as it does not have loads of options on issue and has lesser shares on issue as well. On top of this, management and top 5 are holding heaps... also with Srt now has a market cap of 18m and EV close to 14m, Wpi offers a very good investment opportunity. Further, if srt makes a good acquisition, wpi will get the benefit and will become the next in line for acquisition. And it looks cheap in comparison to few shells when it comes to EV... cheers and all the best Options for those who know them DYOR please and double check facts and figures
DUO - Secure mobile solutions based in Canada [18/11/2015]
Zyber Secure mobile solutions based in Canada - Ubiquitous secure file sharing solutions Market Cap - 4.7 Mil - post acq - 10.2mil Cash - 1.387 mil as of 30/9/15 ZYBER APPOINTS KEY ADVISOR AND EXPANDS SENIOR MANAGEMENT TEAM Highlights ? High level sales executive from TELUS (Canada’s second largest telco), Paul Assaly, is the first appointment to the Company’s advisory board ? Assaly brings extensive experience and contacts within the North American Enterprise market to drive Zyber’s sales and market strategy ? Two additional senior management hires, with Tony Louie as Sales Lead and Karim Noorani as Product Manager ? The three appointments add significant capabilities to fast-track commercialization of Zyber’s security solutions Dourado Resources Limited (ASX: DUO) is pleased to announce that Zyber Secure Mobile Solutions Inc (Zyber) has significantly strengthened its management capability with the appointment of Paul Assaly to its Advisory Board. Mr. Assaly will join the Advisory Board effective November 1, 2015. Mr. Assaly is the first of a number of key appointments to the Zyber advisory board and he brings over 20 years of expertise in sales, marketing and contract negotiation in the North American enterprise market. His role on the Advisory Board will be to assist Zyber in its sales and market strategy across the information security market, estimated by Gartner to reach $US86 billion by 2016. Mr. Assaly is currently one of the most senior sales executives with the second largest Canadian telecommunications services company TELUS and was recently awarded TELUS's most prestigious National Leadership Award in Sales and Marketing, TELUS Executive of the Year. He has been with TELUS for over nine years and is responsible for some of TELUS’ largest accounts. Prior to TELUS, Mr. Assaly worked for Bell Canada, Canada's largest Telecommunications Company, Alcatel/Lucent and various start-ups in the technology sector. DJ PIN[?IMG]Oct'15
Executed binding agreement to acquire Integrity Systems Inc. Total shares post acquisition (excluding options & milestone shares) = 662,264,295 Market cap post acquisition = 662,264,295*$0.035 = AUD $23.18 million Current ANNUAL revenue of integrity systems is US $12.5 million (equals to AUD 17.5 million) Check notice of AGM (AGM Date is 27/11/15) - Company issued 1,000,000 shares @ $0.04 in lieu of cash payment of consulting fees, - Issue price of convertible note shares is $0.04 Price catalyst > AGM will be on 27/11/15, so I expect company update about Integrity Systems Inc > Company presentation > Any new contracts or revenue update for Integrity Systems Inc. After EDE & RAP, I am hoping for a nice trade in this. Always DYOR
AUQ - Gold and Base metals in Saudi Arab and Oman [18/11/2015]
A number of news items are expected in the coming weeks and months. The speeding ticket today was uncharacteristically positive for Alara as we wait for further news on a number of items. "Today’s trading may reflect increases in these shareholders’ positions, or trading by others who have drawn conclusions from the potentially positive implications of these developments" Should hear back soon regarding the lawsuit with Manajem (hearing scheduled for today). Interestingly, Mr Nasser Ali Al Agel, who is a major shareholder of Manajem, became a substantial holder with 29.5mil shares (5.83% voting power). Finally, a Mr Vikas Jain has loaded up to the tune of 100 million shares (19.76% voting power). Should be an interesting few weeks with updates on the feasibility study and progress on the joint venture with Bayan.
VPC - Cloud based employee training/education [17/11/2015]
Software as a Service: Cloud based employee training/education targeted at corporate clients. Market Cap $21m, SP: 7.8c *Company Listed on ASX 12.11.15 * Raised Initial $4,000,000 Dollars with ease * Has a World Class Product of the only kind in the world (Cloud Based E Learning for Corporate Sector) *Not only is the VPC product aimed at the Big Corporate Sector but its also about to launch a small and medium sized business Product Strategy to be rolled out in the near term. * VPC has current $2,000,000 p/a income from the product that is growing and has been growing 30% month on month for the past 13 months straight *Russell has simply created a killer team including Xero executive Ms Leanne Graham whom has world class credentials within Saas based businesses so much so, just alone in NZ she grew the customer base for Xero from 4,000 to 120,000 customers just in 3 years and grew revenues over 500% in that small timeframe. *Place Affiliate Agreements and Resellers in place * VPC Currently fully diluted has about 500million shares on issue and a current market cap of just of $20million AUD. (Credit to @johnno261 for their post in the VPC forums)
PNV - Developer and manufacturer of patented biodegradable polymer medical devices [17/11/2015]
Developer and manufacturer of patented biodegradable polymer medical devices Devices are made of a patented biodegradable polymer; helps generate a new dermis leading to improved survival and function/comsetic outcomes. In house production; strong product pipline outside of burns, US$8b market opportunities. High margins, hard to replicate through reverse engineering, owns patents, no debt, scalable production, revenues forecast to come in from 2016. Cash in hand 2.8 million; market cap with plenty of room to grow. Two immediate products - Novopore, discussions with multinationals ongoing, sales to start 2016; BTM for surgical wounds- multinational partner interested in US rights, firs sales in 2016. Expectation of sustained positive news flow which could lead to strong re-rating. This one of those companies you want to invest in an hold for 5-10 years I reckon. Investment not a trade. P.S. Look through the recent investor presentation to see some really gross but amazing pictures of what this technology can do in terms of functional/cosmetic healing compared to today's standard of care.
MC $12 Price: 0.07 Cash at Qtr: $1.7M Drilling for Graphite in Mozambique. Largest size flake in the world. Maiden JORC just released with only 5% of the tenement so far drilled. 2 other prospective tenements as yet undrilled with sampling showing large content at shallow depth. Already in offtake discussions with end users Capture.PNG Minus Salts of the Earth, who, where, what would we be
Marketcap-13mill Cash 2.6mill+ Assets - 2mtpa Bronz Gold Plant / camp /large exploration eastern Gold fields (old NAV) Top-20 85% In discussions regarding the treatment of ore resources held by several parties and located within haulage distance of the 100% owned Bronzewing Gold Plant (“BZW”) at the Yandal gold project. A number of site visits were undertaken by interested investment and mining delegations with discussions focussed on both toll treatment and joint venture mining, plus ore treatment through the mill. No conclusive outcomes have been realised as yet. The Company is focussed on the advancement of the Yandal gold project towards commercial production and is considering divestment options for its Kalgoorlie gold project. There continues to be strong interest in the Kalgoorlie project and several Confidentiality Agreements have been executed between Metaliko and third parties during the quarter.. Very Under the radar ..Mgmt major investors Next to nil shares on offer ...major gaps on offer .....100-200% move on the right ann. not out of the Question with such a tightly held register
Lucapa diamond alluvial mining and kimberlite explorer. Market cap 90 mil Friday close 33c Lom spiked to 61c on Chairman Miles Kennedy stating hang on to your hats Reached low on Thursday of 29c and then big volume buys came in. 67 million Lomob options on market end of week. News void whilst prospectus for options out. Target price 80c plus if news flow indicates source of big diamonds close,
Market Cap: 3.9M Cash: 1.3M Net Assets: 0.7M EV: 2.6M Shares Issued: 259M (bit bloaty, but that's because of the recent CR) They're actively seeking a non-resource acquisition. From their Quarterly: As previously announced, the Board has broadened its scope of enquiry to include non-resource related projects and investment opportunities and the capital raising will ensure the Company is appropriately financed to pursue such opportunities. In an effort to expedite this process, the Company has entered into a mandate with GTT Ventures, a specialist corporate advisory firm with extensive knowledge in the mining and technology sectors, to identify new business opportunities for the Company’s consideration. The funds will also provide the Company working capital to maintain its current mineral interests and continue to pursue JV opportunities for its resource projects Here's a clip from a 'The Australian' news article regarding GTT's Ventures focus as at Jan 2015: Charles Thomas, director of the Perth-based GTT Ventures, expects continued investor interest in “quality” tech offerings. “As always with any sector that is receiving increased investor interest there will always be opportunists trying to make a quick buck,’’ he says. “We are focusing on quality technology plays that represent good value and are niche players in the markets that they operate in.’’ History: STT - Best Newcomer: 05/10/2015 STT - 4 Week Leaderboard - #1 (WKT): 12/10/2015
Business:- Telecommunications MC- $44.4 mill SP – 0.71 TA Broke down through 61.8% fib retrace of long uptrend and then bounced convincingly back up through the fib line on 18.11.2015. Since then has retraced slightly and ready for next run. The four days prior to final fib breakthrough were on increasing volume, indicating final sell-off. Cheers Trevor12 I am not perfect. I do make mistakes. Please don't rely on me. Do your own research.
TMP - Online marketing and Advertising [23/11/2015]
Big ascending triangle on the chart with a top of 75/76c and a lead-in of 40c. Should hit atleast $1.10 if not $1.20 (40c off the previous high) STT COMP DUB, FA LONG Massive AGM today and big buys going through. not many shares on issue (~50million currently) there is plenty of space in the market cap for upward appreciation. This company has IP for scalable cloud voice recording which is integral to telcos and banks and other service providers under regulatory environments (services) which require an ombudsmen. Currently this costs telco's a lot of money in maintaining their own services and using their own storage, similar story with other big businesses including banks and insurance. By switching to Dubber they can cut direct costs and liabilities involved with staffing for this service and just rely on Dubber to comply with regulations. Pretty much as we've seen before with disruptive technologies in regulatory areas, this can go high and fast. if you treat this post as advice it could get us both in trouble.. DYOR
Business:- Biotech providing diagnostics MC- $45.6 mill SP – 0.024 TA Continues to bounce off 76.4% fib retrace line of recent high volume rise. Has bounced off 0.022 3 times and has had 2 consecutive green days. Cheers Trevor12 I am not perfect. I do make mistakes. Please don't rely on me. Do your own research.
Market Cap 5mil Cash $1.3M - end of Sept Burn $32k per qtr Debt $22k 259M Shares Tech acquisition coming rumours. Minnow mining coy but doesn't look to take it seriously. Price aggressively broke north of the upper Bollinger to provide an opportunity whilst the rumour is in play.. TC. Screen Shot 2015-11-20 at 9.10.59 AM.png [email protected]
DUB - Now Cloudbased software Sound recording [20/11/2015]
Business:- Was Crucible Gold – Now Cloudbased software MC- $28 mill Cash – just raised SP – 0.63 TA Breaking out of a lovely pennant. Estimated target is 0.95 based on pole (0.275 – 0.65) and breakout point 0.575. CHART - DUB.png I am not perfect. I do make mistakes. Please don't rely on me. Do your own research.
Business:- Medical MC- $5 mill SP – 0.29 TA CHART - Has just tried breaking out of pennant formation. There has been a capper at 0.03 for the last week and has now gone. bxn.png I am not perfect. I do make mistakes. Please don't rely on me. Do your own research.
AUQ - Gold and Base metals in Saudi Arab and Oman [20/11/2015]
MC - $7.1m Cash - ~500k before prospectus @ 1c ($2.48mil) SOI - 474mil Breakout from .9-1c level with 50% retracement to 1.5 on close yesterday. This is a strong support area and I'd expect it to go on from here. AUQ.JPG Salty. Look left, structure leaves clues.
VPC - Cloud-based video e-Learning platform [19/11/2015]
Market Cap 35.5mil Cash 4.68 mil About the Velpic Group The Velpic Group consists of two related entities: Velpic, a cloud-based video e-Learning platform, and Dash Digital, a brand technology agency. Velpic has developed a unique online platform that provides a scalable, cloud-based training, induction and education solution for businesses. Developing Wedge - Price is at the lower end of the two points hence I'm calling it a falling wedge which is a bullish formation and more likely to break on the high side then low. [?IMG] DJ PIN[?IMG]Oct'15
Looks to have formed or forming a pennant after the sharp rise on 11 Nov. If so would test the previous intraday high of .098 on the 12/11, looking for .103. pmd3nka (holds)
DUO - Secure mobile solutions based in Canada [18/11/2015]
Zyber Secure mobile solutions based in Canada - Ubiquitous secure file sharing solutions Market Cap - 4.7 Mil - post acq - 10.2mil Cash - 1.387 mil as of 30/9/15 Volume as dried up and stock appears to have based first sign of volume today DUO.png DJ PIN[?IMG]Oct'15
CM8 - Tech mobile Co - m-content, m-payments and m-commerce sectors [18/11/2015]
Strong volume and price spike after recent announcements but has retraced on much lower volume. Weekly chart shows it is currently sitting on the close of the recent large volume week which should act as support. A lot of volume went through above current prices, the way the chart is playing out looks to me like the big buyers have left it to settle for a while to coax the impatient retail traders into jumping ship. Might see some signs of accumulation around these levels before another move up. I don't currently hold, I'd probably wait for a bit of confirmation but then it may be too late to enter this tip. Weekly chart: http://s20.postimg.org/lcilii7l5/CM8_Chart.jpg][/url]
AUQ - Gold and Base metals in Saudi Arab and Oman [18/11/2015]
Breakout today on volume that hasn't been seen in many months. A few more high volume days should see this test resistance at 2c again, before testing 2.4 and ultimately 3c in the coming weeks. SMAs likely to cross over if we see a green day tomorrow. Screen Shot 2015-11-17 at 7.57.06 pm.pngScreen Shot 2015-11-17 at 7.57.17 pm.pngScreen Shot 2015-11-17 at 7.57.34 pm.png
PNV - Developer and manufacturer of patented biodegradable polymer medical devices [17/11/2015]
PNV – PolyNovo’s focus is on the development of innovative medical devices for a number of medical applications utilising our NovoSorb™ biodegradable polymer technology. NovoSorb™ is a family of proprietary medical grade polymers that can be utilised to manufacture novel medical devices designed to support tissue repair and then degrade in a defined fashion in-situ to harmless by-products. NovoSorb™ has significant advantages over competitor biodegradable polymers in terms of its design flexibility. PolyNovo is able to manufacture NovoSorb™ polymer devices with a range of mechanical properties and flexible degradation times from months to years that are suitable for many different medical applications. MC - Approx 67M SP - 0.175 Shares: ~ 418m - T20 hold 40% COH - Approx. $3.4m PNV 16.11 Ichi.PNG PNV 16.11 Kaji.PNG PNV 16.11 Pivot.PNG “The four most dangerous words in investing are ‘This time it’s different.” - Sir J Templeton
* VPC Currently fully diluted has about 500million shares on issue and a current market cap of just of $20million AUD. (Credit to @johnno261 for their post in the VPC forums)
