Short Term Trading Week Starting: 27 Jan, page-6

Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 27th Jan 2015 (No. 150)

Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).

Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!

Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects

CAS - Gold and cheap iron ore miner [ in Brazil] [27/01/2015]
Some questions surround financing deals, with the millionaire factory, but nice drill intercepts out prior to Christmas re drilling/gold. Highlights from Last Quarterly had sales receipts circa $5.4m, $1m Gross profit iron ore production costs circa $15/T looking for healthy quarterly report to put it back on the radar after dropping recently from circa 40c to recent 20c lows. Last quarterly - $6m in the bank, quarterly costs of $5.7m with forecast cash burn of $4.6m. Obviously next quarterly due out, Looking for healthy quarterly report to put it back on the radar after dropping recently from circa 40c to recent 20c lows. SP closed at $0.25, can move quickly with limited stock up for sale at times. Usual propagandist analyst reports have price target at $0.54 CAS chairman has skin in the game, using personal funds, always a good sign There are quality HC posts by guns such as JID if anyone wants to do further research
Poster: 383hq (STT Accuracy: 45.5% - Ranking No.6 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14642182/single (Mcap: $35.2m)


PYM - Oil and Gas [27/01/2015]
I know I am crazy to tip something from this sector but it is indeed amongst the best... Market cap 5m, cash 8.4m. Three successful wells been drilled and paid for... The first came into production with 62bopd and increasing... This is the first well amongst the three which will be production tested soon. The other two have got better hits so oil production may be a bit more as compared to this but the worst case scenario of 60b per oil will see them producing 180b from three wells. Another two wells are about to be drilled soon once as early as next week. The development cost of $18 per b and production cost $12 per b equals to $30.00 per b... Even if the worst prediction regarding oil prices of $30.00 comes true PYM will still be break even. However, if oil stays above $50 that will see PYM very profitable. The lease is also surrounded by billion dollar outfits... Surely this represents a very nice investment opportunity
Poster: Forrestfield© (STT Accuracy: 54.2% - Ranking No.4 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14642106/single (Mcap: $5.4m)


PGL - Biotech - Cancer Drugs Victoria [27/01/2015]
Cancer drug Co in Victoria MC:$12M SP: 22c Shares: ~50M (top 20 hold 73%) Cash: $5.5M Recently announce positive news re cancer drug trial: Progen is pleased to announce that it has completed assessment of the third patient cohort in its PG545 Phase 1 clinical trial. Progen together with an independent medical monitor and the co-ordinating investigators have reviewed the safety data from this cohort and have agreed to progress to the next dose level of PG545. With further positive news the sp should see a further rise off the bottom (16.5c)
Poster: Marty386 (STT Accuracy: 27.8% - Ranking No.16 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14640998/single (Mcap: $12.2m)


CYY - Copper in Alaska [27/01/2015]
Recently doubled its landholding. Management falling into place, did have a recent rally and flushed some stale holders out.• Exceptional results in limited drilling to date include:?? 18.1m at 9.34% copper?? 18.4m at 6.25% copper?? 15.4m at 7.01% copper?? 13.1m at 7.20% copper?? 11.0m at 8.20% copper?? 10.4m at 7.94% copper?? 12.8m at 5.78% copper•? Significant exploration upside:?? Mineralisation has been identified over >4,000 metres of strike?? Previous drilling concentrated on just 250 metres of strike?? Multiple drill-ready and underexplored targets. Not many better Cu results around than these....
Poster: Paavfc (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14640966/single (Mcap: $0.8m)


BOK - Gold Producer [27/01/2015]
Price .38 MC $16m Cash $2.7m (LT Debt $5m; $880 k/annum repay) Mining at Manuka for silver has begun, Ag production in weeks; After 6 months, mill will begin treating ore from Mt Boppy Gold mine. Mill has been converted to CIL processing to improve recovery of both Ag & Au
Poster: Pmd3nka (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14640423/single (Mcap: $16.5m)


BCN - Gold in WA [27/01/2015]
Price .004 MC $6m Cash $1.2m (Sep qtr). About every 6 months, they get over 3k oz from Halley East, milled at the Greenfields facility at Coolgardie. This provides cashflow to support their drilling exploration at Younami South Deeps.
Poster: Pmd3nka (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14640423/single (Mcap: $6m)


CDV - Gold explorer active in Ghana [27/01/2015]
MC - $4.8m cash - $1.3M SP - 5 cents, Directors hold 19% of stock so plenty of skin in the game ,top 20 hold about 54% Since mid August there have been 8 announcements by CDV detailing decent high grade gold assays with good intervals at shallow depth. In late September they announced a option entitlement issue where holders could buy a 2019 expiry option with a 15c exercise price for 1c .It initially closed under-subscribed and last Thursday after close of trade an announcement appeared to the effect that the option shortfall had been taken up. I think sophisticated investors have taken them up and will now have the incentive to move the price sharply higher. There is still assays outstanding for about 3000 metres of drilling at Namdini so I expect a steady flow of news regarding good gold hits. In their Mines and Money Presentation in December on pages 7 and 8 mention was made of the Shaanxi Gold Processing plant 6.5kms from Namdini under a photo"titled" Path to Production". It seems to me that management are negotiating a toll treatment agreement for their shallow ore to quickly monetize this deposit. IMO last Thursday's announcement was the "smoke signal" to indicate a sharp mover higher over coming weeks. Below are just some of the assay grades and intersections from Namdini between August and November. The last two weeks have seen further releases of good assays results as well.
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 60% - Ranking No.1 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14639006/single (Mcap: $3.9m)


CVT - Cloud Based Enterprise Network Security [27/01/2015]
Cocoon was incorporated on 15 October 2007 to develop and commercialise a new approach to IT security. Cocoon has designed and implemented a data protection solution that incorporates three core principles: Strong encryption (securing the data); Rights management (defining what you can or can’t do with the data); Audit (visibility into who did what with the data). Using this patented technology, Cocoon has developed the Covata Platform which for patent purposes is referred to as “Secure Objects Technology”. The Covata Platform (a name derived from “covert data”) was developed as an enterprise specific solution to manage data security at an object level, providing an outward facing data-centric approach. The Covata Platform technology is designed such that cryptographic keys, which are used to encrypt and decrypt data files, are stored separately from the data and managed centrally. This provides the customer with the flexibility to choose to maintain control of their encryption keys on-premises, while using another location, such as cloud storage, for protected data. This enables the organisation to be confident that the integrity and security of their data is maintained, whilst leveraging the cost effectiveness and scalability of the cloud. The Covata Platform also allows other technologies, applications, or application connecting code to run on, or alongside, it. This allows the technology to be integrated to connect into existing systems within an enterprise, thus enabling the organisation to leverage the functions of the Covata technology whilst still using its existing applications/services. Things have gone very quiet over at CVT. After an initial a slight sell off after listing and then a tech frenzy based run thereafter. I think punters lost enthusiasm for CVT as other tech stories like OIL and NXR etc began to boil and I also do not think the fact that it has an MC of $70m before it really sells anything has made peeps wary . However..... I am confident Trent Telford and his team have been diligently working behind the scenes to land a commercial agreement and I do not think it will be long before this is announced and we will see the start of a re-rate to well past 52 week highs....or....a bag from the current SP. In a recent phone call to the company I was told Trent was away in Europe on business so I would not be surprised to see something come from that. And let's not forget who they have on their team . Google Chuck Archer, Vic Winkler, Phillip Dunkelberger. Serious US hitters in their fields
Poster: Deltatrader (STT Accuracy: 33.3% - Ranking No.13 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14635924/single (Mcap: $65.9m)


SEN - Growing demand for encryption solutions [27/01/2015]
Market cap $81 mill Revenue: EBITDA:$2.7 mill Net Profit $2.9 mill : Net Cash $10.0 mill Capital Structure • Shares on Issue: 1,065 m• No. shareholders: 4900 Overview •Head office in Melbourne, Australia •Products deployed across 29 countries •Growing demand for encryption solutions •Blue chip customer base •40 employees •Offices in Melbourne Sydney and UK Mission • Excellent innovative R&D • Leverage world wide SafeNet relationship to build pipeline and revenue • Enter new markets (near-term focus is Eastern Europe & 100G encryption market) NEAR TERM MARKET DRIVERS ? GROWING AWARENESS OF RISK TO SENSITIVE DATA • Unprecedented level of cyber threat; • Awareness of the risk of vulnerability of high speed data transmissions; and • Growing data volumes leading to increase in use of Layer 2 networks. ? NEW DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION RELATIONSHIP WITH SAFENET • Far greater access to key global markets; • Direct customer contact with largest customers; and • Relationship strongest it has ever been. ? SPECIFIC MARK
ET ENCRYPTORS • Custom algorithm encryptors; • New NATO certification; • Products just released; and • New Technology relationship with Layer 2 Network and CCTV companies
Poster: Vogliobene (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14635471/single (Mcap: $81.9m)


MKB - Apps and websites for influential consumers in Politics, Colleges, Sports and Fitness [27/01/2015]
Dual listed ASX and Nasdaq Market Cap-93mill. SP .15.5c Shares 603million Currently have 6 apps either in development or live and are rising rapidly in website rankings. They have started to get some decent press coverage in the USA yet the market is waiting to see if they can turn their large active monthly users into cash. I believe a re-rate of the stagnate SP will occur when the next set of figures are released to the market. MOKO has been expanding it's offerings for a few months now but has been largely ignored by the market
Poster: GobbleDok (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14634720/single (Mcap: $93.6m)


BYR - Gold in West Africa, particularly Congo [27/01/2015]
Market Cap: $23M Current Price: 4cFA Reasons; Announcement released on 14-Jan entitled 'Significant drilling results at Giro Gold Project'. These are the first drilling results from their Giro Gold Project in Kibali Belt, NE Democratic Republic of Congo. I'm not great at the exploration\mining speak so I've copy and pasted. -> Results received for 8 holes from the Kebigada Shear Zone-> All holes targeted mineralisation at depth-> Significant results included: o GRRC058: 97m at 2.67g/t Au from surface to bottom of hole, including 55m at 3.28g/t Au from 21m o GRRC062: 24m at 1.99g/t Au from surface o GRRC063: 15m at 2.46g/t Au from 40m o GRRC064: 6m at 22.68g/t Au from 7m, including 3m at 44.2g/t Au from 7m-> Drilling confirmed mineralisation remains open to the NW and SE and at depth-> Drill holes completed since arrival of additional casing reached depths exceeding 100m Additionally CBA have become substantial shareholders as of 14-Jan. What a coincidence in dates. They have 29,000,000 shares (Voting Power: 5.04%) . Acorn Capital Limited have also become substantial holders since the announcement (Voting Power: 5.04%). Cash: They conducted a share placement to sophisticated investors in late November to raise $1M. The funds were for exploration at the Giro Gold Project and general working capital.
Poster: Ibza (STT Accuracy: 36.4% - Ranking No.10 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14634336/single (Mcap: $23m)


PYL - Phytotech Medical Limited - 1st Asx listed medical marijuana company. Perth [27/01/2015]
MC: $35M but fluctuating wildly. Cash $5.8M Shares: 25M Listed yesterday, has already 4x bagged for those who bought as part of the IPO. As a result of that I feel some will take profits early next week after allowing the market to have a free swing today. There will no doubt be some volatility over the coming weeks until we settle down with a more accurate sp and MC. The initial euphoria of the listing will wear off shortly and I expect the trading to settle around the 40-50c markin the near future, until of course we start to get some news flowing.
Poster: Marty386 (STT Accuracy: 27.8% - Ranking No.16 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14633852/single (Mcap: $34.8m)


ARI - Consumables, Steel, Recycling & Mining [27/01/2015]
Market cap: $602m Net debt: $1.4bHalf year results: EBITDA for first half year of 2015: $180m ~ $190m - Iron ore mining: profit A$3.8/t 2015HY1: EBITDA $12.5m, down approx. -97% 2014HY1: EBITDA $423m - Consumables, Steel & Recycling: 2015HY1: EBITDA $167.5m - $177.5m, up approx. +30% 2014HY1: EBITDA $133m Overall, EBITDA for 2015HY1 down 64%. Positive, re-design mining: - All-in cash cost reduce 20% to A$56/t, and annual production reduced from 13Mt to 9Mt. At current spot price US$67/t, mining division would make profit of $100m p.a. [(US$67 * Realised 0.8 / AUD 0.80 - cost A$57) * 9Mt] If spot price recovers to US$80/t, ARI would make profit of $207m p.a As Iron ore spot has been already halved, and currently is on seasonally low as Winter and New Year in China, expect to bounce next month. ARI share price was doubled over 12 trading days just weeks ago. Share price could move fairly quick if iron ore spot rises. Allan Gray Fund keeps loading up ARI shares, they hold 395m ARI share at average price of 28. 2c as at 19 January 2015.
Poster: Accaeric (STT Accuracy: 42.1% - Ranking No.8 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14633307/single (Mcap: $602.1m)


VLA - Biotech in Sydney. [23/01/2015]
The company has a Oncolytic Virus Technology (CAVATAK) that promotes an immune response to target and kill cancer cells. Bioshares tipped the company as one of their top 6 stocks for 2015. Bell Potter analyst believes fair value is $0.75. The company has $25 mil in cash which is unheard of for a biotech completing trials, they are funded through 2016. The company raised the funds last year through specialist healthcare insto investors - they know what they are on to. On 4/12 the company announced commencement of trial. In the announcement the company states: Treatment with CAVATAK will be on days 1, 3, 5 and 8 and then both agents will be co-administered on days 22, 43, 64 and 85. Counting the number of days passed, news flow could be imminent - this has coincided with share price spike today.
Poster: OnePipWonder (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14627081/single (Mcap: $58m)


RVR - [23/01/2015]
175.6million shares on issue cash -$3.8M MC -$28M I already have RVR as an active pick but a new FA event has occurred which I think might propel it past 20c currently in TH for a maiden JORC resource for Thalanga Far West, one of the many deposits on their ground at Thalanga .If this maiden JORC is of decent quantity and quality to have a material impact for the company (and obviously the company thinks it is) then I think those looking for a near term zinc producer will buy .Bear in mind there are seven more VHMS deposits on their ground which might also be in line for a maiden JORC resource or JORC 2012 upgraded resource Free please consider this for a pick and let me know if the event qualifies for a new pick or not,if it doesn't that's OK
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 60% - Ranking No.1 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14626630/single (Mcap: $27.7m)


BSM - Shell Company [23/01/2015]
370M shares on issue, so at 0.3c its capped at just over $1M $800k cash by my calculations MFC who were the overhang with 29M shares were bought off market at 0.4c Cons Mins a private company took a placement of 50M shares at 0.5c So 89M shares have been bought at up to a 66% premium in the past few months The company said to expect an update in early February. So hopefully they will announce a new project or asset coming in, and you would expect the price to rerate to at least 1-2c. 1c would be capped at $3.7M, with $800k cash and a project - very reasonable Now the kicker is they have a case against Liongold for $13M, mediation is planned for middle to end of February. Most people expect them to chase a settlement of $2-3M, which would be several fold the current cap in cash. Chance of winning, who knows but it is an added bonus to an already cheap play IMO 2 potential catalysts within the next few weeks, both seem fairly substantial if successful
Poster: VonTrader© (STT Accuracy: 23.1% - Ranking No.18 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14625792/single (Mcap: $1.5m)


MNW - Mobile payments [22/01/2015]
OBV strong formed strong base seller capitulation looks like it may have climaxed today lowest seller now 7.8c lost of soaking around this level over last 4 weeks
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.6% - Ranking No.2 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14620290/single (Mcap: $32.5m)


MNW - Mobile payments [22/01/2015]
Tech allows smartphones and tablets to accept credit card payments market cap $35 million sp 7.5c cash $3.5 million cash flow for the quarter ended 30 September 2014 - total cash receipts of $1.7M, up 61% from previous corresponding period. Total net operating cash outflows was $0.6M for the quarter. At the end of the quarter MNW had total available funds of $9.5M ($3.5M in cash at bank and $6M in undrawn working capital facility).
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.6% - Ranking No.2 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14620290/single (Mcap: $32.5m)


POP - Software for the Legal Sector [22/01/2015]
SP-5c MC-6.8mill Cash- Best guesstimate 3mill Primary Opinion is a digital content and community platform for the legal sector. Very much a niche tech play and intend to develop a similar offering in the tax and accounting sector. Very illiquid but some signs of interest today with few shares on issue.
Poster: Ormond (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14618890/single (Mcap: $5.8m)


AUQ - ZInc Copper mine, [Saudi Arabia] [22/01/2015]
News today that the much awaited court case to rule on ex JV partners Cameltoe and Sons' claims against Alara has been now delayed 2 months was greeted by punishment ( or profit taking ! ) from shareholders almost immediately . Alara has two issues that need solving before any re-rate can or will occur a) the claims against them and b) the cancellation of the JV mining license they held with Cameltoe and Sons which will see that license either out on the open market again ( in which case Alara are already well ahead of the pack with a completed DFS and a Prince hovering in the background ) or...even better....awarded straight to Alara. At any rate selling today may continue but it will hit a bottom at some stage.. WARNING WARNING ; High risk / high reward.
Poster: Deltatrader (STT Accuracy: 33.3% - Ranking No.13 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14618595/single (Mcap: $2.2m)





Weekly Technical Analysis Prospects

VTX - Pipeliner Technology [27/01/2015]
Buyers building around the 1.2c mark, obv is strong, price steadily trending up on good volume since recapitalisation and consolidation not much technical resistance to 2c
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.6% - Ranking No.2 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14642451/single (Mcap: $4.2m)


CVT - Cloud Based Enterprise Network Security [27/01/2015]
Price now back down to below listing price and the same 19c I originally paid, bounced off a new low at 17c and is holding and rising support has been building over the past few days and the bulk of the big selling around these levels appears over not much technical resistance to 26c
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.6% - Ranking No.2 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14642451/single (Mcap: $65.9m)


DUO - Gold and Copper [WA] [27/01/2015]
Expecting price to be smashed on open tomorrow morning, prob open at .003 - but expect it to trade at .004 and higher at some stage over the next 4 weeks plenty of interest in the stock so if/when the quarterly cashflow report is clarified should lead to a lot of buying pressure
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 55.6% - Ranking No.2 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14642451/single (Mcap: $2.5m)


CAS - Gold and cheap iron ore miner [ in Brazil] [27/01/2015]
On the TA side, Moving averages and technical indicators tend to agree as a "buy", although volume dried up towards the end of the week.
Poster: 383hq (STT Accuracy: 45.5% - Ranking No.6 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14642182/single (Mcap: $35.2m)


PGL - Biotech - Cancer Drugs Victoria [27/01/2015]
SP plummeted from lofty +$1.20 heights after a previous drug failed to show effectiveness. SP currently just below breakout resistance of 23c, would like to see a test of this level this week, then we might see a sojourn into 30-40c region. Recent volume has also increase marking renewed interest in this stock
Poster: Marty386 (STT Accuracy: 27.8% - Ranking No.16 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14640998/single (Mcap: $12.2m)


NEU - Biotech [27/01/2015]
Regarding NEU. I think it's due for a settling at this price, may be a little more in it for a crack at nineteen. Probably no higher just yet. I've been trying to sus out the charts and have at looked at weeklies, monthlies short and long. It seems to me the pullback will be short and the next rise will be a while but it's going to double from here. It's got liquidity. The Stochastics read different over different times and it's bollies show a need for restraint but the OBV is strong and moving averages are all positive, that's short and long. The MACD is very strong. Nice 11c spread from recent bottom of eight cents is a repeating range. So technically a high of around thirty cents. Strong buying interest should continue but it's slightly overbought right this week
Poster: J8 (STT Accuracy: 32% - Ranking No.14 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14639541/single (Mcap: $271.2m)


BYR - Gold in West Africa, particularly Congo [27/01/2015]
The share has been on a strong uptrend this month since the new year. The RSI on the daily chart indicated that the share was overbought and is now stable with an RSI of 69 after two red days. There seems to be a pattern with the RSI at the moment. The share price (accompanied by the RSI) increases, then becomes overbought when RSI is around 88. The sp then decreases while the RSI is cooling off. The RSI is now sitting at the bottom of that pattern and I anticipate there may be future upward movements. I am slightly apprehensive about this stock because RSI on the weekly chart indicates that this company is overbought with an RSI value of 77. However previous highs for weekly RSI for this stock have been in the 80s, so this stock may go for one more run before it turns.
Poster: Ibza (STT Accuracy: 36.4% - Ranking No.10 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14634336/single (Mcap: $23m)


PYL - Phytotech Medical Limited - 1st Asx listed medical marijuana company. Perth [27/01/2015]
Not much to go on, but the sp tried to hard to break a nice flag pattern but failed, may now retreat early next week, there is the attraction of the $1 mark but that may have been asking too much. There is a bit of overhead and early buyers may start to take profit causing stops to be hit.
Poster: Marty386 (STT Accuracy: 27.8% - Ranking No.16 )
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14633852/single (Mcap: $34.8m)


VLA - Biotech in Sydney. [23/01/2015]
The stock traded in a tight channel of 27 - 29c for six months between April and September before spiking on a high volume day in late September. Since then on 6 separate occasions the stock has failed to break through resistance at 32. Today it punched through the 32 level before going on to close at 34.5
Poster: OnePipWonder (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14627081/single (Mcap: $58m)


RMS - Gold – Australia & USA [22/01/2015]
Long based cup with teeny weeny handle between June 2014 and 15.1.2015. Target expectation (based on rim of cup at 0.12 with base of 0.039) Target is 0.20 or 0.205
Poster: Trevor12 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14621863/single (Mcap: $63.3m)


RMS - Gold Producer [22/01/2015]
Gold Producer 100K ounces pa Market cap $60 mill Cash and gold in bank is $24 mill Zero debt Earnings per quarter which has increased the last 3 quarters are adding $8 million cash to its bank balance per quarter or $32 million per year. Gold is about to break through U$1300 which at current falling A$ rates is almost A$1600 per ounce. RMS COP is under A$1300. Lots of upside from here.
Poster: HarajukuIsland (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
http://hotcopper.com.au/posts/14619940/single (Mcap: $63.3m)