The yield inversion also occured a couple of months ago as well. There is a reasonable chance now that the Fed might cut rates over the next 3 months. The stats are not that strong the inversion is forecasting a recession over the next 6 to 18 months. Sometimes it does, but whether Trump carries out his Tweeted threats to increase tariffs a lot more on Chinese imports, is the big issue that would derail a lot of markets.
Looking at it from a purely selfish perspective, Trump would be crazy to continue on that path, as it could easily mean he is going to be a one termer. He would then join a select few, that were unable to control the economy, and booted at their second attempt for office. But then he is I think.
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