Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week...

Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 28st Apr 2014 (No. 112)
Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).

Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!



Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects
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CTM - Iron Ore in Brazil,

25/04/2014

Current price $0.12/share, Shares on issue 196 million, Market cap ~23.5 million52 wk range $0.105 – $0.25/share. Major s/holder Atlas Iron (AGO) - around 20%Poised to begin construction of initial 1Mtpa Jambreiro Project targeting Brazilian domestic market. Fully permitted for development and operations. Initial capital development cost of A$53M, forecast C1 cash costs + royalties of A$22/tonne. Construction planned for H1 2014, commercial production planned for H1 2015.Off-take and funding announcements expected in coming weeks to enable construction to commence in H1 2014 – these are likely short-term price catalysts.DFS undertaken on 3Mtpa operation – wound back to 1Mtpa but near-time expansion likely once cash is being generated. Four separate brokers with Buy recommendations – 12mth target prices ranging from $0.40 to $0.61/share.
Poster: CougarTrading (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$22.5m)

DMY - Cloud Computing,

24/04/2014

Cygnet capital brokers report will give a better summary than I can. See link below..http://www.dromanaltd.com.au/
Poster: Rexhunt (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$1.5m)

KSN - An IOCG explorer in the Gawler Craton district of South Australia ,

24/04/2014

On a TA basis I am liking the look of the sell side on KSN at present , one seller ( a very large one ) has been selling down the stock for months in very small lots and I sense we might have found a TA bottom at .02c The company raised money at 20 cents and purchased leases at the equivalent value , and traded as high as .18c for a few sessions not that long ago . The MD was moved on , the spend of cash stemmed and all we have seen as far as activity is the share trading with large seller , pushing it down on small volumes ( Between $5 and $10 worth at times )Min brokerage is $20 roughly so the seller of these parcels actually incurred a cost more than the sale proceeds to force the stock lower ....had to understand why I did notice a few weeks ago a cross trade of size has taken place with a new substantial shareholder emerging in what appeared to be a friendly deal With very few shares on issue and for the first time for a long time a few buyers are putting in orders for 50000 lots and not getting any stock .A seller , maybe the same seller , sold a measly $15 of stock today at .02c , and the next real size of selling is closer to 5c Might be worth a punt at 2 -3c for a turnaround story , especially if they drill some of the leases and find something .
Poster: Firsova (STT Accuracy: 30.4% - Ranking No.17 )
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(Mcap:$0.7m)

CDV - Gold in Africa,

23/04/2014

MC 1.4 million, 55 million shares on issue, cashed up 2.3 million......nearly double cashed up than MCbought their own brand-new drilling rig for RC and diamond drilling, exciting tenements near existing large goldmines, currently testing and drilling on high charge ability zones on nagondi prospect in Ghana, interesting geology with heaps of faults to drill ready, weekly updates on drilling and lab results.MD 20 years experience of west African gold assets. Other tenements in Africa, all near existing bigger goldmines. No debts, excellent proven management team. Drilling since 1 week, results due any day plenty of upside.
Poster: Hedrox (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$2.8m)

PBP - Multinational manufacturer of dairy protein, pharmaceutical and diet supplements.,

23/04/2014

MC: $32.2mH1 Turnover: $32m, down 5.4pc.H1 EPS: 1.89c, up 227pc.NTA: 76.1c1. Dairy protein: Australia's fourth largest producer of infant formula ingredient, lactoferrin after Warnambool Cheese & Butter, Bega Cheese and Murray Goulburn Coop. New $20m plant at Jervois, SA can produce 14 tonnes of lactoferrin grossing $14m and 50,000kg of immunoglobins grossing $5m. NB. Capacity can be doubled with capex of $2m-$3m.2. Weight management: About to launch CSIRO subscription-based weight program into 200 pharmacies with each store paying PBP an annual fee and budgeting for a turnover lift of $500,000-$1m per annum. Using the brand name Impromy, the program will feature a CSIRO weight management app and on-site testing of weight, cholesterol, blood pressure and blood glucose. 3. Manufacture: Cranking up production of a range of diet/health related pharmacy products being marketed under various PBP brands and the Pharmacy Guild's iconic Blue Cross brand. H1 manufacturing sales up 90pc.4. Distribution: Recently negotiated deal with Canadian Big Pharma, Valead, MC $50b, under which Valeant will accept responsibility for sales, marketing and distribution of key PBP brands.
Poster: Cadence1 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$25.9m)

SUR - Oil and Gas in East Texas,

23/04/2014

Price. 2c 12 month trading range. 1.8c to 4.5c. 3 year historic trading range 7c-8cCash in bank. $16million as at end December 2013Forecast cash as at end March 2014 is $11.5milTrigger event due. Just spudded Normangee Oil project in Texas. High historic oil producing province From Ann. Normangee Oil Project: Jack Howe #1H Drilling Update• Sun is pleased to announce that its first operated well in the Normangee Oil Project (Sun 50% WI and Operator) has commenced successfully and has now been drilled to a measured depth of 4,653 feet; the current operation is preparing to drill ahead after setting 10.75 inch intermediate casing.• The Jack Howe #1H vertical pilot well was spudded on 15 April 2014 and Sun expects the operation to take around 15 days to drill, core and evaluate the primary objectives of the Lower Woodbine and underlying Buda Formations. Sun Resources NL (Sun or the Company) (ASX: SUR) is pleased to update shareholders on its latest Woodbine well, Jack Howe #1H located in Madison County, East Texas, onshore USA. Normangee Oil Project (Sun: 50% WI and Operator)Sun, as Operator, is pleased to announce that the Company’s first operated well named Jack Howe #1H has reached a vertical measured depth (MD) of 4,653 feet (1,418 metres) after spudding on 15th April 2014. An intermediate string of 10.75 inch (273mm) casing has now been run and cemented with the rig currently preparing to drill out of the casing shoe. An 8.75 inch (222mm) diameter hole will be drilled towards the coring point in the Lower Woodbine Formation, where two conventional cores are planned to be cut. The vertical pilot well will then be drilled to a target total depth (TD) of approximately 8,550 feet MD (2,606m MD) after drilling through the Buda Formation secondary target and prior to wireline logging both objectives once TD is reached.
Poster: BrookeCE (STT Accuracy: 11.1% - Ranking No.20 )
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(Mcap:$55.5m)

CXO - Silver in NT,

21/04/2014

shares on issue 106,800,740 cash $1.7MMC $5.1M Share price 5c I think that CXO must be very close to being ready to drill their Bluey's and Inkheart prospects at their Albarta Project in the NT. Given the extremely high silver in soil geochem results for both prospects I am confident that they should be able to come with some very high grade assays for silver akin to what IVR found in their initial drilling at their Paris Prospect. Furthermore with the huge difference between the two companies respective MC's I think we should see CXO achieve at least an increase of 25% in their SP whilst drilling is underway.If they can emulate the grades of IVR then I expect we will see gains of at least 100% in their SP and MC
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 43.8% - Ranking No.10 )
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(Mcap:$4m)

KNL - Graphite and nickel projects in Tanzania.,

16/04/2014

Mcap ~$19m Shares on Offer ~105mGraphite is regarded as a critical material for future global industrial growth, destined for industrial and technology applications including nuclear reactors, lithium-ion battery manufacturing and a source of graphene. In comparison to some of the other runners in the sector this graphite play still has some catching up to do imo. Main price drivers for KNL in the short term are the expected completion of a fully funded drilling program and an announcement regarding possible JV - see below The Company’s primary focus is its 100%-owned Epanko deposit, located within the Mahenge Graphite Project. Epanko currently has an Inferred Mineral Resource Estimate of 14.9Mt, grading 10.5% TGC, for 1.56Mt of contained graphite, defined in accordance with the JORC Code. This initial estimate only covers 20% of the project area. Metallurgy has found Epanko graphite to be large flake & expandable in nature.
Poster: Pac23 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$14.5m)

PDY - Iron Ore in WA midwest,

15/04/2014

Current SP of 3.3c and Market Cap of $111m.The story; PDY holds the intellectual property rights for developing the Oakajee port near Geraldton in WA. It is envisaged that the port will export approximately 40mt of iron ore per year, that being magnetite concentrate or DSO product. The stock is currently in trading halt with the identity of equity funding partners for the port and rail to be released by PDY to the ASX tomorrow (Tuesday 15th April).
Poster: Rainmakerfaker (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$109.5m)

SPZ - Smart Parking ,

15/04/2014

Business - the future of smart connected car parking in high population areas. Business in England, ME, Australia, NZ, and Europe (Spain and The Netherlands) Cash recently raised $12.5m – add that to this pic, less spending since Dec. low cost income. At the bottom of this post is a roughie idea of how the tech. works - previously posted. Again - note that Chris Morris AND Penelope Maclagan - his sister are heavily investing in this company -- the ONLY time they have invested since being together as a multibillion corporation team who built CPU - never underestimate a winning team - especially when the win is a SP that went from cents to over $12 - you reckon they haven't got a bit of experience?
Poster: Pintohoo (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$35.4m)

ICG - Copper Gold in Chile/Australia,

15/04/2014

Currently major projects in Chile and Western Australia. Chile copper and gold porphyry project in progress. Drilling starting next week. Majors showing interest in project through confidential approaches. Latest project in Western Australia dingo range nickel project. Sampling and drilling in April or May
Poster: Forrestfield (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$7.8m)

CTP - Oli and Gas in Australia,

14/04/2014

Cash $12.5m and generating approx $25k per day from Oil sales. Company has been very active of late with the switching on production of Surprise west oil well (Flowing well above the forecast 400 BOPD), Acquisition of a producing gas field and one about to go into production and associated pipeline infrastructure from Magellan. The planned drilling of Surprise East which is expected to be multiple times (5x?) the size of Surprise west. The drilling of 4 unconventional wells due to start in 6 weeks by JV Partner Total ...and last but not least going into a "trading halt" today with the possible success of the MT Kitty well . IF Mt kitty is a success it could be huge with a seismic structure "...The structure at Mount Kitty, if filled to spill, would cover an area of 229 km2 and would host nearly 3 Tcf of gas resource-in-place..." Some of it is touted to be the very valuable Helium (Maybe) .. That is "IF" its a success we will find out on Tuesday.
Poster: Freehold© (STT Accuracy: 36.4% - Ranking No.14 )
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(Mcap:$162.3m)

MNC - Copper Chile,

14/04/2014

Total Mineral Resource 1.419 billion tonnes at 0.47% copper and 0.022% moly. Activities for the quarter ending 31 December 2013 largely focused on advancing the Mollacas Copper Leach Project, and preparatory work for the planned Pre-Feasibility Study at Los Calatos. Mollacas Project - Chile: Results from the column leach testwork recently completed by SGS (Chile), and supervised by an independent expert, concluded the following: • A recovery rate of approximately 85% of the average “sequential” assayed copper grade for the deposit should be attained; • The recovery rate for the supergene ore could be as high as 90%;Los Calatos Project – Peru: On 12 August 2013, the Company announced the results of further optimisation work undertaken by RungePincockMinarco at its 100% owned Los Calatos Project, the key results of which are summarised as follows: • Life of Mine of 34-years; • Comprises an open pit and underground block cave operation; • Total tonnes treated over Life of Mine of 811Mt at 0.47% copper and 0.03 % molybdenum; Open pit with a life of 7-years and underground operation with a life of 24-years at a mining and processing rate of 21.9 million tonnes per year. Cash operating costs of US$1.12/lb Cu inclusive of by-product credits. Net assets $209 million$8 million cash. Market cap $38 million EV $30 million for NTA of $201 million
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 56.7% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$36.7m)

ALY - Gold in WA,

14/04/2014

The Bryah Basin Project comprises a 630km2 ground package, located 130km NE of Meekatharra, Western Australia. The Project is located along strike and west of Sandfire Resources’ DeGrussa copper-gold mine and southeast of Horseshoe Metals’ Horseshoe Lights copper-gold project, and adjacent to Peak Hill where about 1Moz of gold has been mined from several deposits. The Project currently has Indicated Resources of 300,000oz gold (4.7Mt @ 2.0g/t gold) at Hermes and Wilgeena. Alchemy holds 100% in the majority of the landholding with the exception of several tenements held in joint-venture with Jackson Minerals Pty Ltd (20%), a subsidiary of Fe Ltd. Currently drilling in bryah basin near sandfire last holes ended in very high grade gold mineralisation small market cap of $6 million
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 56.7% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$4.5m)

BOA - IOCG explorer Fraser Range WA,

11/04/2014

Boadicea Resources is one of many Australian explorers on the ASX that has fallen out of favour in a market not to keen on holding on to Aussie listed explorers for more than 20 minutes at a time .BOA is situated 5 km to the North east of the world class Bollinger and Nova nickel discoveries owned by Sirius resources .Most investors still prepared to buy and hold Aussie explorers would realize SIR has appreciated in value by 200-300 times since the Nova discovery was proven up BOA will have results on their initial drilling of their project out to the market in 2-3 weeks , the BOA market cap has 23 million shares tradeable at tonight's close of 20c is now about $5 million . A few More might be issued dependant on how many options are exercised 20c on the March 2014 series .BOA don't spend money ,they were actually cash flow positive last quarter and hold about $3 million in cash .The quarterly released tonight certainly was short as follows :Symons Hill – Fraser Range, WA ? Drilling Program of Work (POW) approved by Department of Mines & Petroleum. ? Mark Creasy to sell 30% of adjoining Nova Licence to Sirius Resources for approximately $188 million in cash and shares. ? Drilling commenced on 18 March 2014 and has recently been completed. ? Results of the drilling are expected late April 2014Ends As far as I am concerned despite a really poor market for explorers and a board that is not a promoter of any kind , any sign of even half reasonable results out later this month could see the market cap of $5 million rise in multiples not cents Long at 20c for me looking to take out the top position 2 months in a row Freehold .I hold BOA and did buy some more shares just below 20c recently but did not elect to exercise my march 20c options as I am happy to see less shares on issue .
Poster: Firsova (STT Accuracy: 30.4% - Ranking No.17 )
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(Mcap:$4.6m)

CSS - Aquaculture in S.Aust,

10/04/2014

Company’s main activities include the propagation of Kingfish, producing fingerlings for sale and grow out; the grow out of Kingfish for sale; and Southern Bluefin Tuna research and development Should benefit from free trade agreements with Japan recently and is showing continued progress with fingerlings with reports due soon hopefully! Has a reasonable cash balance sheet and income hopefully growing with the fish size. Technically looks to be forming a higher low now in the charts with a 52 week high of 0.077 Who knows with this market currently but a bit of long term pressure could come on the price as investors sift through the free trade agreements and where value can be found . This one i think should benefit long term and with blue fin tuna tariffs gone its in a box seat if its successful sometime in the future breeding them . Currently is the largest king fish producer in the world?
Poster: Valen1828 (STT Accuracy: 42.9% - Ranking No.11 )
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(Mcap:$59.7m)

ITT - Cloud based Recruitment Software ,

10/04/2014

Resource exploration company that has just entered an exclusive option agreement to acquire 100% of the issued capital of 1-Page, which is a USA online cloud-base recruitment system (yes that is some change of business direction). Lots of buying today without any real increase in SP, but the deal appears to have potential. Deal will be paid for by issuing 50,000,000 post-consolidation ITT shares.
Poster: Srb123 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$2.7m)

MZI - Mineral Sands in WA and Twiw islands,

10/04/2014

We could see a rise for MZI after it comes out of Trading Halt. One of my dog stocks that I've held for a while. Looked promising at the back end of 2012 but management struggled to get financing over the line and over-promised and under-delivered. In the TH announcement today, it mentioned 'completion' of Financing. If a favourable deal has been secured, the Keysbrook Project is de-risked.
Poster: Dlm696 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$32.2m)

SGQ - Nickel/copper sulphides,

8/04/2014

79.48m shares on issue ,current cash about $800k. I think we must be due news soon as to a start of their next drill campaign targeting exceptional and strong conductors(see announcements March 13 and February 24)St George have also been conducting a property wide EM survey looking to identify further conductors. Their head geologist is Tim Hronsky who is also an executive director and I think the brother of Jon Hronsky who recently joined the board of CZI and was formerly BHP's principal nickel sulphide consultant. St George hold a commanding ground position in the Stella Range-Minigwal area. Below are a couple of maps showing the tenement positions in the area. A start to drilling in the area should raise interest and awareness of the whole area and any success by St George should really rub off on another recent pick of mine RVR as well who hold 2 blocks southeast along the main Stella Range Fault system. See map in Link
Poster: John435© (STT Accuracy: 43.8% - Ranking No.10 )
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(Mcap:$9.1m)

CTR - Oil explorer/producer in Guatemala ,

7/04/2014

I already have an FA tip, but I'm adding extra info it. Aztam-5 well is extremely close (24 hours away according to latest Ann) from hitting the first targeted oil zone. There is also a deadline of approx four weeks to spud the well at 4100ft. Four zones are being targeted, and oil in the background has risen from 1% to 15%. The well will also be multi-zone tested. There has also been a brokers report suggesting a price target of anywhere between 4.6-15c.
Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 28% - Ranking No.18 )
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(Mcap:$16.7m)

IDZ - Indoor Skydive,

7/04/2014

MC $47mCash $8m. IDZ have just officially opened the doors to their world class windtunnel facility in Penrith. These windtunnels generate revenue in the order of $1500-2500 per hour and can be operational 7 days a week. There are successful skyventure facilities across the globe catering for specialist skydiver needs and the general public, along with the new emerging sport of tunnel flying, which opens up the art of "bodyflying" to a wider base. Generally speaking, bookings need to be made many months in advance to secure tunnel time at any of these facilities.
Poster: Mowibble© (STT Accuracy: 68.8% - Ranking No.1 )
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(Mcap:$48m)

Weekly Technical Analysis Prospects
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CTM - Iron Ore in Brazil,

25/04/2014

1. chart is approaching medium term double bottom 2. stochastics are showing a slow in the downward trend3. volumes are rising as the downward trend is slowing, accumulation4. Stochastics are bouncing as the trend is dropping, showing signs of a reversal
Poster: Rainmakerfaker (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$22.5m)

AUQ - Zinc Copper Gold in the Sudi Arabia and Oman,

23/04/2014

A clear medium term uptrend has been confirmed, higher highs and higher lows are in play since late 2013.Bullish activity in the past few weeks has shown increased interest in AUQ, buyers chasing orders. Today saw an intra-day high of +40%.
Poster: Rainmakerfaker (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$24.2m)

PBP - Multinational manufacturer of dairy protein, pharmaceutical and diet supplements.,

23/04/2014

MC: $32.2mH1 Turnover: $32m, down 5.4pc.H1 EPS: 1.89c, up 227pc.NTA: 76.1cAfter hovering near 52 week highs at a time when many biotech stocks have fallen 20pc, PBP has now eased back to 52.5c on low turnover. This gives a cheap entry point ahead of the launch of the company-transforming weight management strategy. A re-rate may be imminent.
Poster: Cadence1 (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$25.9m)

SPZ - Smart Parking ,

15/04/2014

Now - as posted earlier today. If you believe that stocks have a personality and repeat patterns - then this is a winner - MACD weekly of SPZ. How more perfect a breakout for it and, it's habit is to break up a week or so before the MACD crosses the line that makes it now on the way -on the way to about 35 if history is a guide - certainly 28.
Poster: Pintohoo (STT Accuracy: Unknown)
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(Mcap:$35.4m)

CTP - Oli and Gas in Australia,

14/04/2014

Cash $12.5m and generating approx $25k per day from Oil sales. The Stock has developed a very strong base over the last several months at around the 36-40c mark then broke up into a Uptrend on the Start of production and the Acquisition.. That strong uptrend was broken to the downside recently possible by a single trader dumping and triggering stops. The stock is now poised to re-enter that uptrend and possible even break out the top if it depending of FA. Personally I think it should never have dropped out of it.
Poster: Freehold© (STT Accuracy: 36.4% - Ranking No.14 )
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(Mcap:$162.3m)

MNC - Copper Chile,

14/04/2014

Stock has just touched double bottom, retrace on low volume, corresponds with various fib levels from various recent highs
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 56.7% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$36.7m)

ALY - Gold in WA,

14/04/2014

Formed solid low at 2.1clow volume retrace from 12c in December obv increasing after drilling commencement announced
Poster: Fibonarchery© (STT Accuracy: 56.7% - Ranking No.3 )
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(Mcap:$4.5m)

CTR - Oil explorer/producer in Guatemala ,

7/04/2014

After having a base near 1-1.1c in mid Feb., the sp has been rising with volume supporting it. Currently at 1.6c, the region is the pivot for an attempt at 2c. Should positive news come from the company, 3c, 3.9, 4.6 and 5 are resistance zones.
Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 28% - Ranking No.18 )
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(Mcap:$16.7m)

IDZ - Indoor Skydive,

7/04/2014

MC $47mCash $8mindoor skyventure (windtunnel facility in Penrith).Technically IDZ has just pulled back to support price on its LT trendline. I would anticipate a bit of a buzz over the coming weeks as the facility goes operational and live. Not a lot of volume, but a consistent and well defined trend.
Poster: Mowibble© (STT Accuracy: 68.8% - Ranking No.1 )
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(Mcap:$48m)

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Links to Previous Weeks Lists

No.111: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 21st Apr) - Click HERE

No.110: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 14th Apr) - Click HERE

No.109: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 7th Apr) - Click HERE

No.108: FA & TA Leads (for week starting: 31st Mar) - Click HERE