short term trading week starting - 29th jan

Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 28th Jan 2013 (No. 50)

Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week).
All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).

Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!


Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects
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KFE - Iron Ore in Nigeria, Back on it in anticipation of MET results for their IO project in Nigeria which are due by the end of the month. SP seems to have found resistance at 22ish. Provided they can remove the phosphorus this should fly up to previous highs of 38c. (Mcap:$64.1m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: MoeSizlack Date: 29/01/2013

TAS - Iron Ore, Copper , Gold, Uranium in South Australia, TAS own 48% of EDE, so given $7mil cash in bank and $10 mil EDE valuation the Vulcan JV with RIO is now effectively valued at $3mil, not sure that can stay that way given they are looking for Olympic Dam at Vulcan!
. (Mcap:$22.7m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: V8 Date: 29/01/2013

CTR - Oil/Gas in Guatemala, CTR are 90% of the way through a problematic drilling program in the South Peten Basin in Guatemala that has nearlogy to existing oil producing fields. The share price has dropped on the back of drilling delays and problems. The most significant of which blocked off a target lower zone through excess concrete (the next well will target these zones however and hopefully the company will learn from this initial mistake). The company is still bullish about the top zones with good cap pressure and gas flares all being reported (see announcements). Schlumberger, who are running the drilling program, are in the final stage of acid washing the target zones to establish flow rates. So there is oil - but how much? Anything above 250bpd will see appreciation. Anything around 1000bpd will see recent highs well and truly tested. (Mcap:$8.9m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Motboy Date: 29/01/2013

PPX - Paper supplier internationally, The company is due to report the half year result in Feb , which wont be flash in my view but the new board will have their first opportunity to tell the market what they have done in the last months and this will be heavily scrutinized by large instos who used to own the stock when it was $$$ not cents . PPX should come in with just under $2 billion in revenue for the half year and I am hoping will tell the market they are capable of turning the boat around I anticipate that we will see some more buying , AND THIS should soak loose stock up below 10c , a market cap of $60 m Any hint of a return to profit in the 2nd half could see the stock rise dramatically. There is a lot of risk in this one , but if PPX can show a signal of being capable of maintaining $4 billion in revenue and returning to profit the market cap of $60 million is low
. (Mcap:$50m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Firsova Date: 29/01/2013

AQD - Copper Gold, Nickel and Magnesium in Australia, Peru and Burkina Faso, Currently drilling Earoo (Ni) to test 2 strong conductors...Results pending in around 4 weeks ( "Provincial”, read large, implications hinted to. Smallish number of share (160m)...Tightly held , Large directors interest ,Recent buying by directors around 5c. AJM presentation worth a read. (Mcap:$11.4m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: "3500" Date: 29/01/2013

AKK - Oil/Gas in the US, For their current well very soon and also their. Quarterly is about to be delivered in the next few days. Last it only took a positive announcement of. Oil and gas flow to increase the sp by over 50 %.if a positive oil flow rate and a positive quarterly this could be very positive for the sp. This stock requires very little positive or negative announcements for a large move in the sp. (Mcap:$37.4m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Malmoe Date: 29/01/2013

KKO - Oil/Gas in South Africa, Now hold 15000 square kms of the Karoo basin in SA. That’s like 3.7 million acres. Two wells into a 6 well gas pilot production drilling program and the first 2 wells have flowed better than expected. They have infrastructure running through their tenements and are close to market which is currently paying approx $10 a Gj which is eminently economic. Have put this one up before when they started drilling but still no price movement even with success. Interestingly they are only drilling down about 400m into the shallow Karoo Coal measure for this production so very cheap and quick drilling i.e. given price it will be very profitable project shortly one would think.
. (Mcap:$12.1m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: V8 Date: 29/01/2013

CSD - Tin in Queensland, Signing of JV deal imminent . Rumour mill says today .
It has had a great run already and looks set to continue the rerate . CSD are going to be a Sn producer much sooner and much cheaper than anyone thought . Numbers from the upcoming PFS are eagerly anticipated and should be extremely robust . News on the PFS should be in the quarterly , it could be extremely close A new JORC will top it off , extending mine life .
. (Mcap:$18.1m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: J8 Date: 25/01/2013

AVA - Coal in Botswana, Stock currently has a 1.3B/t thermal coal resource in Botswana. The Company recently sold an asset which takes the company to $20m in Cash. So the stock at cash backing is worth 12c a share. I expect a test of 14c shortly and then higher. (Mcap:$21.6m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Strauss Date: 22/01/2013

NMR - Coal in Botswana, Has a Jorc resource of 6.9 Bt of thermal Coal in Botswana, Recent assays graded at 6000 Kcal + which is the highest of all its peers in Botswana and defines a portion of the coal as export Quality. The stock was up on volume today with 37% due to update due this month on activities in Takatokwane thermal coal project in Botswana and other progress several brown fields in Africa. (Mcap:$9.8m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Twocents Date: 22/01/2013

OBL - Oil/gas in WA, Recent withdrawal of a prospective joint venture partner who was going to provide a cash injection for further development. Current capital raising could possible be at a sizeable discount to current sp due to the short time frame the company has been allotted to raise capital. Oil/ gas exploration western Australia. (Mcap:$15.9m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Malmoe Date: 22/01/2013

AJQ - Oil/Gas in NT, Shale play in the NT. Most people know CTP. Farm ins at around $30 acre. AJQ are valued around $1 acre. Massive land holdings and massive upside. Management are ex BOW Energy. Already flowed a well at 3.3mmcf with a small 150m horizontal non-fracc’ed well. (Mcap:$74.1m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: TwinTurboCelica Date: 21/01/2013

WCN - Copper/Nickel in WA, Fully funded drilling programme coming up (2 weeks) consists of RC drilling at Mt Gordon and air core drilling at Lake Johnston. 2x of the targets are on the same basal contact as the Maggie Hays find. This drilling is the most prospective to date straight from the horses mouth (management) Nearology to Maggie Hays 20KM away massive nickel find. (Mcap:$3.4m)Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Bonkers89 Date: 21/01/2013

IOG - Oil and Gas in US, Nearology to AKK. IOG have 20,000 acres at Pathfinder project right next to AKK. AKK ann today Oil and Gas flows from well opened up on 20th January has oil and gas at unexpectedly high pressures. AKK was up 40% in the afternoon. Expect the good news to flow to IOG in the short term.. (Mcap:$32.3m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: J0hnny1 Date: 22/01/2013




Weekly Technical Analysis Prospects
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DYE - Solar/DSC Technology, Predictable pattern, higher highs & higher lows, with volume confirmation. Good support at the previous high of 16c. Expect a target in the mid 20c in a few weeks. (Mcap:$34.3m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: "3500" Date: 29/01/2013

AQD - Copper Gold, Nickel and Magnesium in Australia, Peru and Burkina Faso, Simple predictable bottom forming pattern of higher highs & higher lows. Currently testing obvious resistance around 0.055. Strongly up trending OBV (as a matter of fact OBV stands at the highest ever in its history) STT target 8c , but 10c is quite achievable. (Mcap:$11.4m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: "3500" Date: 29/01/2013

MOO - Tin in Australia, Broken out above 0.8c resistance on high volume spike. Next clear levels of resistance are 1.6c then 2.3/2.4c OBV strong, MACD turning up, buy side 20M + vs 2M sellers, The trend is up. (Mcap:$13.1m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: McKagan Date: 29/01/2013

SRM - Copper/Gold in Philippines, Consolidation at this price . I thought it was exceptional . There is a very large past move which could be duplicated . Volume is superb of late . (Mcap:$76.8m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: J8 Date: 25/01/2013

ROL - Base/Precious metals in Indo , Potential change of trend after a flurry of volume activity in December. The share has now broke through resistance at 0.4 with no subsequent waning in strength and vigor. A nice breakout can be seen in the P&F chart. Also note a lack of sellers in the market depth at the time of my entry submitted. (Mcap:$47.5m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: N6412297 Date: 24/01/2013

AVA - Coal in Botswana, Six month chart broke 10c rallied to 12c on news of asset sale deal, 12c being the expected cash backing once the sale went through. Went back down to test 9c-10c level found support now has rallied back and broken through 12c and sale has gone through
I expect a test of 14c shortly and then higher. (Mcap:$21.6m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Strauss Date: 22/01/2013

AJQ - Oil/Gas in NT, From a TA point of view, listed at 50c. Trading range 20c to 28c. Broken through into low 30s, and fell back to retest 29c. Currently 30c.. (Mcap:$74.1m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: TwinTurboCelica Date: 21/01/2013

ARM - Nickel in WA, Market Cap $8m Cash in the bank of $12m and fully funded WA Nickel Sulphide exploration program by DSN and holds 40% of DSN First target 12c to get to cash backing. Second target? Skies the limit last time it was a 10 bagger on a discovery, based on long term chart just needs it WA Nickel Sulphide Exploration program to discover something and 30c-$1 possible? Reminds me a little of DRK which I picked pretty early on at 7c
. (Mcap:$8.9m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Strauss Date: 21/01/2013

CBS - Iron ore in Brazil, right on 2c resistance, notable volume spike last Tuesday, below cash backing, awaiting project acquisition 1M capper at 2c pulled last week, sell depth thin, ready to be pumped hard imo. (Mcap:$4.9m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: McKagan Date: 21/01/2013

CKA - Coal in Indonesia, She's looking very strong chart wise, buy depth stacked up needs to close above 20c which looks imminent then a swift move to 25c would not surprise
If the resistance at 25c can be cleared there is little in the way of a move to 40c. Big volume spike last Thursday punters look to be getting set . (Mcap:$80.2m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: McKagan Date: 21/01/2013

TPL - Coal in Canning Basin and in QLD, Director was aggressively accumulating shares 2-months ago since then the stock has been quiet, keep in mind there's a 2 month lock out period where nothing material can happen after a director buys or sells shares. Company has been targeting an acquisition for over 12months. A look at the chart shows the last time it was down here it rallied hard almost 600% on a proposed acquisition . (Mcap:$3m) Click Here for full detail
Spotted by: Strauss Date: 21/01/2013





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Links to Previous Weeks Lists

No.49: Short Term FA & TA Leads (21st - 25th Jan) Click HERE

No.48: Short Term FA & TA Leads (14th Jan- 18th Jan) Click HERE

No.47: Short Term FA & TA Leads (7th Jan- 11th Jan) Click HERE

No.46: Short Term FA & TA Leads (31st Dec - 4th Jan) Click HERE