XAO 1.31% 8,189.9 all ordinaries

Short Term Trading Weekend Lounge: 20-22 Sept, page-30

  1. 1,190 Posts.
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    STTCOMP MEP FA LONG
    Current SP 6.0c
    Cash $3.9million.

    MEP is the JV partner to ADN and their kaolin-halloysite project. I tipped this in August and it fell just short of a win, so I’m going in it again. I currently hold this stock as well..

    A quick look at the Poochera JV value base from ADN’s perspective gives a compelling argument for MEP to push higher

    ADN Cash currently 1.6 mill in bank, 650,000 cash for Rover sale, plus option conversion of 700m options at 1.2c.
    Total = 11million. Given they’re in the money I’ve counted them.

    Enterprise value of ADN = (2.05bill (fully diluted) x 6.8) - 11million cash
    Total EV= $128 million

    Let’s say ADN JV share for Poochera is currently representing 65% of their EV value, which I think is pretty conservative.
    The JV value for ADN is (128millionEV x 65%) = $83.5 million (75% share)

    MEP 25% share using the above gives our stake a value of $27.8 million

    MEP EV value current total (334mill x 6.0) - $3.9mill cash
    Total current EV = $16.2 million.

    A deficit of $11million alone excluding any value associated with Jericho and our other JV interests.
    If Poochera JV was the only project based on the above we should be at a SP of 9.5 cents to have any correlations to ADN current value

    Last edited by Resq22: 22/09/19
 
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