FMG 1.04% $19.37 fortescue ltd

Shorters Beware CS sees rally ahead in iron ore, page-25

  1. 1,362 Posts.
    I agree with the Oracle.

    To get to $23/dmt IO, the wheels would
    have to fall off the cart in China.
    It would then have to be pushed off the cliff!

    Only a war with the west could bring a short term
    pull back of that magnitude.

    They have close to 3.9 Trillion US dollars in foreign exchange reserves!

    http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/foreign-exchange-reserves

    They carry a lot of local government debt and mountains of private debt but they own most of their own infrastructure. I suspect the housing
    debt bubble will come home to roost but IMO there is no chance of that happening in the short term.
    They also have a debt fueled stock market rally
    which may come unstuck.
    However the government and central bank has clearly shown they are prepared to act when necessary.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...ak-of-gains-since-july-on-china-stimulus.html

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...oss-as-morgan-stanley-says-worst-is-over.html
    Last edited by er6n: 08/01/15
 
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