IEL 0.45% $15.57 idp education limited

Its such a strange phenomena. The experts always say, "Buy when...

  1. 1,888 Posts.
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    Its such a strange phenomena. The experts always say, "Buy when the market hates it" or "Be greedy when everyone is cautious".

    The financials of this company are "relatively" good.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6214/6214141-fcd9c66a43fc81aa9d0e27b3ffa925de.jpg

    NPAT up ~300%+ since 2021, up 200% from the pre covid levels.

    Share price is down over 50% from 2021 highs of ~$39.

    The PE ratio averaged above 50 for the last 7 or so years. The market is certainly pricing in a huge drop in earnings, but I feel this might be one of the stocks that has quite a bounce if revenues/profits dont drop as much as expected.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6214/6214171-976ab546bbe7af0b1ea08e93735392d9.jpg
    NPAT for 1H24 is $97.4m, so in the 2H they only need to do $50m to match 2023's numbers. If they even saw, say, a 30% reduction in from 1H numbers, that would still see $60m, and therefore see even a small increase on FY23 numbers.

    This might easily see a short squeeze of some sort. Look at the reaction from the 1H23 report, even though it did give back those gains within a week or so.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6214/6214177-a2bb7eb0bdf1cc6d7441cf93557c8357.jpg

    This really is a tricky one. Might just have to buy small parcels and average up or down until the next result confirms the numbers.

 
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