An interesting problem. I had sold down parcels bought at 5.13 and 4.13 for about break-even, anticipating further weakness, say to between 2.00 and 3.00, keeping a parcel at 4.01. Just as well I did hold some.
Now we have a takeover offer at 5.80 and a CR at 4.20. SHV is trading at ~5.00, so holders have every incentive to take up the CR - some are selling down to raise the cash, others just playing the arbitrage. There is money to be made.
I think the SPP will be very well supported by little shareholders - well beyond the $20m projected.
My gratuitous advice to SHV: don't scale back eager holders and return the excess over-subscription, please. I think the growth choice (no pun intended) is to plant more almond trees.
The Canaccord broker report (thanks inchiquin) values plantations at $17 to $30,000 an acre. An extra $10m would fund at least an additional 333 acres at $30k per ac in June 18 - probably more. If some kind soul has a better estimate of plantation costs please share.
I want to see an heavy planting program to grow the business. Yes, it is a looong 7 years until they mature, but that barrier stands before all almond growers. The grower who plants aggressively secures their future and frightens their rivals. I appreciate the buying of existing plantations is another way to grow. I want to SHV to pursue both, as they have done with considerable success.
Ash
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An interesting problem. I had sold down parcels bought at 5.13...
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Last
$4.38 |
Change
0.130(3.06%) |
Mkt cap ! $530.2M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$4.26 | $4.44 | $4.25 | $2.414M | 551.8K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 186 | $4.36 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$4.38 | 14544 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 155 | 4.350 |
1 | 155 | 4.340 |
1 | 155 | 4.330 |
1 | 155 | 4.320 |
1 | 155 | 4.310 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
4.380 | 12914 | 1 |
4.390 | 155 | 1 |
4.400 | 10155 | 3 |
4.410 | 155 | 1 |
4.420 | 155 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 19/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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SHV (ASX) Chart |