WCU 0.00% 23.5¢ white canyon uranium limited

show me the down side please......, page-5

  1. SBC
    1,006 Posts.
    Well you called for downside, so I will try to do my best.

    1. GDN management on board (John Hasleby and Richard Sciano) - enough said.
    2. Have a history of not meeting stated timelines - originally they said they would commence mining in late 2008.
    3. Have previously given sensational headlines to ramp their projects.

    "On 9/5/08, WCU released drill results from their Daneros deposit where the headline stated intervals of 3.4% U3O8 and 17% copper, but if you read on it was only over 30cm."

    4. No details that I can find of how much they will receive for their ore, or processing costs/margins from the White Messa mill. Economics, whatever they are, will no doubt get better as the uranium price improves. This is probably pending the granting of a permit.

    I need to check some calculations on their potential cash generation before I offer any opinion on the value of the shares at the current sp, but will note:

    187,933,555 shares on issue at the current sp of $0.345 gives an undiluted mkt cap of $64.8 m. (48% of the shares are in escrow until March 2010, but should still be counted)

    91,564,902 options gives a current fully diluted mkt cap of ~$96.4 m (@$0.345).

    Although this will also lead to a cash injection of ~$23 m. The enterprise value for their uranium projects upon option exercise would be about $73 m.

    Either way the issue of a mining permit is a definite positive for the company.

    Cheers
    SBC
 
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