First how many coalition state governments are there?
Second what has been the difference between the coalition and labour votes at the last two Federal elections?
I know that the right wing keeps repeating the mantra that Labour is gone. But this is propaganda. John Howard won because his party lied about the boat people and by making massive handouts.
Now if there is a quick win in Iraq He will have a double dissolution election and pass the legislation that the Senate has been refusing to pass.