FCS, check your sources before posting. Click on the tropical cyclone outlook link that points to 73% and it's a dead link.
Because THIS is the outlook for 2021-22
Outlook by region
The outlook indicates that an average to slightly-above-average number of tropical cyclones is most likely in the Australian region and all sub-regions for 2020–21.
The Australian region has a 65% chance of having more tropical cyclones than average. This also means a 35% chance of fewer tropical cyclones than average. Typically, around 9 to 11 tropical cyclones form or pass through the Australian region in a season, with around four of these crossing the Australian coast in a season. Outlook accuracy for the Australian region is high.
The Westernregion is forecast to experience an average number of tropical cyclones this season, with the likelihood of more than average at 61%. The chance of fewer than average is 39%. Typically, about 15% to 40% of tropical cyclones in the Western region create coastal impacts. The average number of tropical cyclones to form in or pass through the Western region is seven each season. Outlook accuracy for the Western region is low.
The Northwestern sub-region has a 62% chance of more tropical cyclones than average and a 38% chance of fewer tropical cyclones than average. Typically, five cyclones form in or pass through this area each season. Around 40% of tropical cyclones, or their associated tropical lows, affect coastal areas of the Northwestern sub-region. Outlook accuracy for this region is moderate.
The Northern region outlook suggests a near-average number of tropical cyclones with a 57% chance of more tropical cyclones than average and a 43% chance of fewer tropical cyclones than average. Typically, the Northern region experiences between 2 and 3 cyclones. About three-quarters of the tropical cyclones in the Northern region impact coastal regions. Outlook accuracy for this region is very low.
The Eastern region outlook has a 66% chance of more tropical cyclones than average, with a 34% chance of fewer tropical cyclones than average. The average number of tropical cyclones for this region is four, and about a quarter of tropical cyclones in the Eastern region make landfall. Outlook accuracy for this region is low.
