SEA 0.00% 16.5¢ sundance energy australia limited

Good thought there TT."I think what causing lower than...

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    Good thought there TT.

    "I think what causing lower than equilibrium price is that speculators that stored oil are selling it (I.e. inventories)."

    Chief among the owners of that inventory are the Saudi's are they not? And the major Integrated Oil Companies (e.g. Shell). I wouldn't call them "speculators".
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-oil-stranded-in-supertankers-as-backlog-piles-up-11587478831
    its behind a paywall but you get this gist from the first paragraph

    And also https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2098358-crude-floating-storage-doubles-to-114150mn-b
    "Of the tankers being used for storage, 32 are very large crude carriers (VLCCs) each with 2mn bl of capacity, Vortexa data shows. Shipbrokers estimate 48-55 VLCCs are now used as storage."

    "One of the VLCCs used for storage now is the Shell-chartered Eliza that since 9 April has held a Mars crude cargo in the US Gulf coast just five miles from its loading point, the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (LOOP). Shell booked the tanker for six months at $120,000/d with an option to extend for three more months."

    So $120K/day for 2,000,000 Bbls = $0.06 per day or $1.80 per Bbl per month or $10.80 Bbl for 6 months of storage ... would you call that expensive?? Well yes compared to $7.60/yr (~$0.65/mth) for onshore tank storage and ~ 3 times the price. But cheap if you could take advantage of contango that exist(s) or existed.

    The timing of SA & Russia price war could not have been worse wrt to COVID-19 Black Swan arrival. When demand returns, even if it takes longer than expected, the surviving O&G companies will do very well I expect.

    Some good discussion from the tanker owners
    https://oglinks.news/saudi-arabia/news/floating-storage-is-far-from-dead-in-the-water
 
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