XJO 0.39% 8,013.4 s&p/asx 200

The following suggest that at least a couple of days...

  1. 9,448 Posts.
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    The following suggest that at least a couple of days consolidation are imminent:

    % of 50 Leaders above:
    10SMA - 82% (overbought)
    50SMA - 86% (overbought)
    150SMA - 98% (Golly Gosh)

    OK - so overbought can get more overbought.

    Then add this to the pot.

    Current 5SMA of % Advances/Declines = 61.4%.

    The 5SMA of ADV/DECL% has been above 60% six times since mid-April.

    Five of those six times the market declined soon after for at least a couple of days.

    The odd one out was in Mid-July which precipitated the current rally. That occurred after a significant decline and was part of a 13-Day consecutive run-up in the A/D Line.

    Given that the current figure is occurring at the top of a rally (as in all but one of the cases) - not the bottom - the probabilities lie with a retracement of at least short-term duration.

    The June-July correction was precipitated by a 5DSMA % reading of 60.3%.

    I'll leave those figures for you to think about.

    By the way - I tried to add this to the Tuesday list for XJO - but that list is so congested it froze my computer. Could someone start a new one for Thursday?

    Cheers
    Red
 
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